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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. jung, I agree with some of this, but you won't be shocked to hear that I disagree with some as well. -One of the big reasons Epstein jettisoned Nomar and acquired Cabrera was because he recognized the team badly needed to improve its infield defence to have a chance at a title. -A big reason Renteria was shipped out and replaced with Gonzalez was Renteria's shockingly bad defence (30 errors). -I think they liked Stephen Drew because he had a decent bat but also because he was a relatively solid defender. And he has been solid most of the time. My pet theory is that the Red Sox see Derek Jeter as the template for an AL shortstop - excellent hitter, makes the routine plays on D - lack of range yes, but so what.
  2. And some Springsteen tunes.
  3. Ah yes, that's why they had Peralta there until they had to trade for Iggy. Peralta was the best hitting shortstop in the league until he got suspended.
  4. For games like this, GameDay is your friend.
  5. Bad case of offensive constipation right now.
  6. Good analysis. I suppose the typical manager would say 'Hell, yeah, I'd love to use my closer for 4, 5 and 6 out saves all the time but I'm afraid I'd burn him to a crisp.' One other piece of data that might be interesting is something like Papelbon's OPS against for Pitches 1-10, 11-20 and 21-25 etc., to see the effects of fatigue.
  7. Here are the top 10 alltime in saves. But I am ranking them by save %. 1. Rivera 643/721 89.2% 2. Hoffman 601/677 88.8% 3. Percival 358/415 86.3% 4. Wagner 422/491 85.9% 5. R. Myers 347/407 85.3% 6. Eckersley 390/461 84.6% 7. L. Smith 478/581 82.3% 8. Franco 424/525 80.8% 9. Reardon 367/473 77.6% 10. Fingers 341/452 75.4% Papelbon is at 277/316 87.7%
  8. I agree that the save stat, as it is currently defined, is a poor one. However, we need a save stat of some kind, because we need a blown save stat. I think blown saves are actually the crucial stat. If a closer only blows two or three saves over the course of a season it usually means they've done an excellent job.
  9. In 2012 Johnson only blew 3 saves in 54 opportunities, for a 94.4% success rate. This year he has blown 9 out of 48, for an 81.2% rate.
  10. That's right. Wow, Johnson blew his 9th save last night. That is a huge number. The bad seasons of Rodney and Johnson are a big reason we're ahead of the Rays and the Orioles in the standings.
  11. Mind you it was a complete disgrace that Bailey was on the team throughout the season. He was as washed-up as washed-up gets. We did not have a good bench that year. Everything but.
  12. I’m fascinated by the topic of closers. Why is that? I don’t know, maybe it’s because of Red Sox history. In 1986 we lost the World Series because Calvin Schiraldi and Bob Stanley couldn’t close it out with a 2-run lead, 2 outs and the bases empty. Schiraldi actually had two blown saves in that game, amazingly enough. Bob Stanley also played a part in us losing the playoff game to the Yankees in 1978. So he's got quite a lot going for him as far as how Sox fans remember him. Same with Schiraldi. Then in 2003 we lost the ALCS because Grady didn’t like his Closer by Committee options. So then they fired Grady and they signed Keith Foulke. And lo and behold, Foulke did an incredible job in 2004 and was a huge factor in beating the Yankees and bringing it home for the first time in my 35 years of fandom. In 2007 we won it again, and not coincidentally, Papelbon pitched 10.2 scoreless innings that postseason. Some other things that stand out for me about closers... Pressure – is the pressure of being a closer really that great, or is it overrated by fans and the media? I think the answer is that the pressure really is that great in important games, especially playoff games. In 1986 when we pulled off an amazing comeback against the Angels, the closer who blew the series was a man named Donnie Moore. The failure haunted Moore the rest of his days. In 1989 he committed suicide, after first shooting his wife, who survived. Dennis Eckersley. Fantastic, Hall of Fame career. But the enduring image for me, the one that’s been replayed a million times, is one-legged Kirk Gibson taking him out of the park to win Game One of the 1988 WS. Eck also gave up a huge, season-turning home run to Roberto Alomar in the 1992 ALCS. Rivera. The best closer of all time. But two blown saves by Mo in 2001 and 2004 prevented the Yankees from adding two more titles.
  13. Oh well, Brock started last night's thread and we won so we may be OK.
  14. I agree with you on some of these points. I do, however, think that pitching the last inning carries its own special pressure. I've been thinking of starting a thread about closers. The topic has always intrigued me. I will do this in the next day or two.
  15. I disagree. It took us a year and a half to find the right replacement for Papelbon. And it was not an easy process at all.
  16. Middlebrooks has looked like a focused player since he came back. Good to see, we need him.
  17. You do say the strangest things sometimes.
  18. Blue Jays closer Casey Janssen got lit up for 4 runs in .2 innings in yesterday's game.
  19. Iggy was a 'perfect fit in Detroit', but only from the time they found out Peralta was going to be suspended.
  20. Just have to point out that his games played for previous years all include at least 57 starts at catcher. You would think that playing first would be keeping him a lot fresher. And he's had some days off. His problems may have a lot more to do with getting 'baseball old' than being tired.
  21. Yeah...but I am loving the 7 blown saves by Rodney. Some really ugly ones too.
  22. Unbelievable about Kalish. Two promising young outfielders, both named Ryan (Westmoreland the other), two sad stories.
  23. Tazawa isn't eligible for free agency until 2017.
  24. Not meaning to gang up on you here, but Bailey is a goner. Who knows if he'll even pitch in the big leagues again. And Tazawa? He's not going anywhere. He's been our second-best reliever and his numbers since returning last year are outstanding.
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