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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    OK, it's luck or randomness. But apparently it's a form of luck or randomness that can be sustained for a long time. If I'm flipping a coin it might come up heads the first 5 times in a row, but if I keep flipping it will correct to 50% very quickly. A good hitter might be able to hit .400 for 50 games, but he will regress to .300 by the end of the season. But a team who beats their Pythagorean record by 5 games might very well do it again the following season. The correction factor seems weak to me. That is my real point.
  2. Bellhorn04
    I love numbers, but if Pythagorean record can be out of whack for as long a time frame as 4 years, it really doesn't mean very much IMO. Sure it works as a general correlation-common sense tells us it must-that's about it.
  3. Bellhorn04
    There's a rumor that JF's 2 neurons mated and there's a little third one helping out now.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Yes, when I checked GameDay in the 8th it showed Porcello still in the game at 130 pitches...I guess the operator was drunk.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Nope!
  6. Bellhorn04
    Big Dick is also getting over 7 runs a game in run support, which is rather incredible. Here are the runs they've scored for him in descending order, leaving out the boring ones: 16 13 13 12 11 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5
  7. Bellhorn04
    He missed about 2 weeks with the flu so that had a lot to do with it. Farrell figures tomorrow he's got Kimbrel, Kelly, Barnes, Ross and Abad to work with at minimum.
  8. Bellhorn04
    9th straight Quality Start for 20-game winner Big Dick Rick Porcello!
  9. Bellhorn04
    I'll vouch for that Slasher, you haven't wavered a bit.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Well said.
  11. Bellhorn04
    I don't disagree. Porcello has been fantastic this year.
  12. Bellhorn04
    If we don't have Buchholz next year, we have to do something about our lack of rotation depth. Guys like Owens and Johnson don't seem to be it, and Kopech won't be ready yet.
  13. Bellhorn04
    You said by the numbers he wasn't the ace. I provided some numbers that say he is. That was the point of that post. I think Porcello has been a little better. But the expectations for Price were a lot higher so that tends to factor into perceptions. Porcello has really benefitted from run support too. When the team wins every time you take the ball it makes you look pretty damn good.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Maybe Pythagoras can be beaten. 2013 Yankees were +6 vs. Pythagorean record 2014 +7 2015 -1 2016 +5 Total +17 for 4 years.
  15. Bellhorn04
    FanGraphs has Price as our ace over Porcello, 4.5 WAR to 4.0 WAR. Prices has more innings and a better FIP.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Max carping mojo in the house?
  17. Bellhorn04
    $13 million really isn't much of a commitment any more. We're paying that much for 2 years of a platoon outfielder (and Young is making that deal look good.) It's certainly possible you could do better with the $13 mill, there are also a lot of ways you could do worse. Or I could say 'let's just see what happens', which would be the most sensible position, but as always it's more fun jibber-jabbering and arguing about it.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Has to be a coincidence. The wake-up call would have been when they signed Hill.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Without Buchholz, though, we have absolutely no depth in starting pitching. That is why he is valuable right now.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Starting pitching depth can be an extremely high need. It sure was this year.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Word of the Day: Carp To find fault or complain querulously or unreasonably; to be niggling in criticizing. Example: 'To carp at minor errors'.
  22. Bellhorn04
    He's pretty valuable to us right now...having him as a #6 pitcher/swing man for 13 million is a nice luxury...the Sox can afford it.
  23. Bellhorn04
    And if he does that you pretty much have to keep him. Sort of a Catch-22.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Clutch will always be extremely difficult to measure for hitters. Even if they are clutch they still fail most of the time. The advantage always lies with the pitcher and the defense.
  25. Bellhorn04
    I sincerely hope he's got a better reason than that for not posting.
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