Could have everything to do with Pomeranz.
Pomeranz has a 5.95 ERA pitching to Leon. He has a 2.90 with Holoday. Most of his starts have been caught by Holoday. He pitched to Hanigan once and had a good start with ERA in 6 IP.
Winning 16-2 then losing 2-1 is frustrating but it's mostly positive - you just got 2 very well-pitched games in a row. Winning 16-2 then losing 10-9 is much worse.
I agree with mvp on this. They aren't going to exercise the option and then trade him. That's the kind of thing armchair GM's love to talk about but hardly ever happens in reality.
I tried it a few times when I was a kid. You're right, if you flip 100 times the odds are actually against it coming out 50-50.
But it will hover quite closely around 50% if you flip it 100 times or more - that's guaranteed.
Pythagoras says we are the best team in the league. That'll be small consolation if we miss the playoffs. (See you over in the Lineup Discussions thread.)
Red Sox
Night games .826 OPS
Day games .800
AL overall
Night games .753 OPS
Day games .739 OPS
So we have just a little bit more of a dropoff in day games than the league in general.