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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    What's a core guy anyway? Rafaela played more than Abreu and has a long-term contract. If Rafaela isn't core, how is Abreu core? Just because we think he's actually better?
  2. Bellhorn04
    It's a heap o' scratch, I'll say that much! I really think this is going to end up as a Yamamoto-style decision. The money is insane regardless, now where do you actually want to play?
  3. Bellhorn04
    It's the plane, boss! 🙃
  4. Bellhorn04
    I will go to Fenway at least one more time if they sign Soto.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Seriously? What browser?
  6. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, I'm certainly not opposed to it. They might have to give Cora a few weeks of shock therapy, though, after they tell him he has to hit lefties back to back every day. Listen to me talking like this is real. 😛
  7. Bellhorn04
    MLB average OBP was only .312 this year, though. My go-to stat for power hitters is OPS+. It's a simple stat and it's adjusted for ballpark factors and league averages.
  8. Bellhorn04
    It's what keeps the lights on, as the saying goes. It's worth it for all these pearls of wisdom, though, right? 😄
  9. Bellhorn04
    Yes, I've already seen references to that LOL.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Mind you the logic is really simple and the stats have borne it out - the 3 hole gets fewer RBI opportunities than 4 or 5, mainly because of a lot of first innings with the first 2 guys getting out. A lot of managers disregard this anyway.
  11. Bellhorn04
    And Jared Carrabis tweeted "Thankful for Juan Soto." Better be effin' real now...
  12. Bellhorn04
    And if they miss out on both Soto and Fried they're going to look like tools, again.
  13. Bellhorn04
    The Soto contract will be about 50% riskier than the Trout contract. The truth is, it stands an excellent chance of becoming a monster albatross in 5 years or so, with Soto becoming a subject of abuse like Trout is now. Soto will get an injury or two and everyone will be clamoring to move him to DH. He'll be untradeable without eating a pile of money, of course. Signing him would probably be a horrible move in the long run. Not that I'll complain if it happens. Not that it's likely to happen.
  14. Bellhorn04
    You guys are brutal. He's got a torn meniscus.
  15. Bellhorn04
    How much safer is corner OF than CF?
  16. Bellhorn04
    You can also look at Mike Trout's present status. I'd say he has officially become an albatross, barring a remarkable return to health. (Which is a shame, I hasten to add.) Baseball just seems to be much harder on the body than we want to give it credit for.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Depends what rate of inflation we assume, of course. To be brutally frank about it, if you're paying a guy $45 million a year and the last 3-4 years of the contract he's useless, that's gonna be an albatross under any reasonable estimate of inflation. We could look at the AAV assessment on Ohtani's contract. The AAV is about 2/3 of what it would be with no deferrals. $70 = $46. So they have calculated that $45 million paid in 10 years would have a present value of about $30 million.
  18. Bellhorn04
    You probably won't have to wait until spring to know if there's reason to be pissed or not. I agree that we can't freak about every signing. But the fact Kikuchi and Snell are already signed for pretty big money suggests that we could be seeing a much faster pace of action than last year. It might be a really bad year for waiting around for just the right deal.
  19. Bellhorn04
    I do think the age benefit might get overplayed just a wee bit in some cases...Soto is young but he's also played a lot of MLB games, been through the grind of long seasons, hasn't missed many games...all that might age you just a bit in itself.
  20. Bellhorn04
    15 might be the max before MLB starts to consider it a tax dodge (AAV spreader).
  21. Bellhorn04
    Crochet had the big bad peripherals this year, that's why he's a hot commodity.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Abreu/DHam/Wink = the 2024-2025 offseason moon standard package. 😀
  23. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, but that's only because he's the true unicorn, a player who excels at everything...
  24. Bellhorn04
    Stop it! (LOL) How can Pivetta get $100 mill+ just one season after Snell and Montgomery got stiffed? Did Boras really torpedo his clients that badly? I thought maybe the Snell/Montgomery stiffing meant teams were getting a bit more leery of handing out megabucks to pitchers. Kikuchi seems to have been revalued upwards based on the haul the Jays got for him, and then he kind of validated it with the Stros.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Based on pure offensive numbers, Manny is a pretty good comp. Without digging into it, I'm guessing his WAR took a pretty big hit from bad D.
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