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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    The A's are only 1 back of the Stros now after being 11.5 back at one point. If the A's momentum continues you're facing the Stros.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Getting out of the AL will be tough no matter who we face.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Everyone's expecting him to get hurt so he probably won't this time. He's got a big financial incentive going for him too.
  4. Bellhorn04
    The usefulness of anything in the realm of sports is purely subjective. And from a fan's perspective, can only be useful in the sense of providing some sort of pleasure.
  5. Bellhorn04
    There's a big difference between believing that WAR is a useful tool and believing that it's an absolutely reliable determinant in comparing players. On this forum we see a lot of different numbers put up. moonslav puts up the most numbers and I think it's more often OPS or ERA rather than WAR. For me WAR is kind of a starting point. If I see a WAR that seems oddly high or low I want to look into it and see what's going on. Examples: At first I was a bit surprised when I looked at Big Papi's WAR, much lower than I expected considering his huge numbers. But the explanations of course were that he didn't play defense and he was slow as molasses. Last year I was surprised at how low Pedroia's WAR was. Looking into it I found it was because of his terrible baserunning numbers. It really highlighted how much of his speed he had lost. Just little nuggets like that make it useful for me.
  6. Bellhorn04
    JD's numbers blow away Harper's numbers this year. How do you get 'no sweat' out of that?
  7. Bellhorn04
    In a field of science as imprecise as measuring the performance of a baseball player I think 17% is probably acceptable. The underlying question is, can the margin of error be made any lower? If yes, I'm sure it will be done. If no, we all just have to accept it for what it is.
  8. Bellhorn04
    I have no enthusiasm at all for Harper.
  9. Bellhorn04
    How bout WAR per 150 games?
  10. Bellhorn04
    Of course Mookie hasn't merely bounced back offensively this year, he has rocketed into the stratosphere. It might have all happened anyway, sure, there's really no way of knowing.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Which all makes for good reading in the Yankee Fan Forum and the NY Post.
  12. Bellhorn04
    You could be right. OTOH he's only 24 and the .889 OPS at Pawtucket is pretty impressive. May be some real potential there.
  13. Bellhorn04
    You could always figure out WAR per game or per inning, too...
  14. Bellhorn04
    Some might argue that you should be rewarded for showing up and playing.
  15. Bellhorn04
    He should get no love for 50 games over .500?
  16. Bellhorn04
    I get what you're saying, but it's just a hypothetical value - like I said, bare minimum major league level. That's why when you see a negative WAR, it is big-time sucking LOL
  17. Bellhorn04
    I think replacement level is essentially defined as the caliber of a guy you would call up from AAA to replace an injured player. Bare minimum major league level.
  18. Bellhorn04
    It's possible, of course, that some teams contacted him and he said no thanks. There wouldn't be much financial incentive for him, after all.
  19. Bellhorn04
    You facetious devil.
  20. Bellhorn04
    But even if you had a 100 mph fastball, if it was down the middle every time, a lot of major league hitters would tee off on it.
  21. Bellhorn04
    A lot of it comes down to luck, Slash. Kapler used some relievers with some pretty lousy numbers and it just so happened they didn't give up any runs on this particular night. Tends to make your decisions look better.
  22. Bellhorn04
    The coaching is the big X factor. If JD really did give Mookie some useful stuff with his swing and his approach, that would be pretty big in itself.
  23. Bellhorn04
    I think it's been tried 4 times all year. For a pitcher of Kimbrel's caliber, going for a 4 out save should mean an extra 5 pitches or so. But as we have all seen, Kimbrel seems to have some sort of issue with 4 outs or 4 run leads and generally doesn't do very well with them.
  24. Bellhorn04
    My only beefs with Manny were a handful of plays where he didn't give it full effort. Overall Manny was a joy.
  25. Bellhorn04
    You're talking about players that everyone knows are having great seasons. But I also look at the WAR for players that I haven't seen play and don't really know much about.
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