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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Definitely some interesting ball and strike calls so far in this one.
  2. Johnson had the Jays fishing big time that inning.
  3. Let's compare bullpen salaries, Cubs vs. Red Sox. Top 5 salaries based on AAV: Cubs Morrow 10,500,000 Cishek 6,500,000 Strop 5,925,000 Wilson 4,250,000 Duensing 3,200,000 30,375,000 Red Sox Kimbrel 13,000,000 Kelly 3,825,000 Thornburg 2,050,000 Smith 850,000 Barnes 605,000 20,330,000 So who's the big bullpen spender? Looks like it's the GOAT.
  4. We can get him?
  5. But the big picture on Rivera is: 96 postseason games/141 IP with that 0.70 ERA 7 League Championships 5 World Series Championships
  6. I certainly can't speak for what Atlanta's thinking was. It looks like the main objective on this deal was to cut payroll. They did offload a fair amount of payroll between Upton and Kimbrel.
  7. Theo Epstein has generally been willing to pay top dollar or close to it for his closer. That says a lot to me.
  8. You are touching on something that IMO accounts for a lot of the suspicion many fans have with a stat like UZR. It's a phantom. We can't see it.
  9. On the flip side of that, signing Keith Foulke worked out pretty good. There are never any guarantees no matter what you do.
  10. notin's analysis was a tad incomplete because he didn't include all the dollar figures. The Atlanta-San Diego Kimbrel trade was a whole different animal. In trading Kimbrel Atlanta unloaded the final 3 years of Melvin Upton's colossal bust contract. It appears this saved them about $50 million.
  11. Thunder Magic rolls on. He's even winning the ugly ones.
  12. Fair analysis but why not finish it off with the remaining dollars on Upton vs. Quentin/Maybin for the total picture?
  13. He sure did. And a certain clinching opportunity in 2004 as well. Overall his postseason numbers were absolutely insane though. A 0.70 ERA and a .76 WHIP in 141 innings.
  14. Sure, just follow Ben's approach with Bailey/Hanrahan/Melancon/Koji. 'If at first you don't succeed, try, try again!' It's more fun that way.
  15. Wouldn't a 200+ point differential in OPS qualify as significant?
  16. A few points on this: a) They only insurance a small number of contracts. The actual recovery on Ellsbury is about $16 million, per Forbes. c) How much are the insurance premiums? That's a rhetorical question, I'm sure the info isn't available, but they're probably pretty hefty.
  17. "A dizzying array of injuries"
  18. That statement is a little too general for me. If stealing bases was that simple we would see a lot more of them. You could also say that if you have a pitcher who's good at holding runners and a catcher with a strong arm, it's pretty hard to steal any bases off them. Or think about the most famous stolen base in Red Sox history. Great base stealer, and he got the job done, but he didn't beat the throw by much!
  19. An interesting piece from FanGraphs suggesting that there may indeed be some extra value in a closer like Kimbrel not measured by WAR: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-extra-value-of-having-an-elite-reliever/
  20. I love it that others are aboard the train with me.
  21. There were runners at first and second, so the intentional walk was a questionable move. But if there was only a runner at second and everything else was the same, the intentional walk would have been a no-brainer, right?
  22. It wasn't an overpay compared to other contracts for top closers, though, which is what is normally used as comps for analysis purposes. Sure you can find some examples of similar production for less money, but you have to cherry-pick.
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