4/25 @ Atlanta Baseball Team

[User Name]

Two of Porcello's four starts have come against Toronto's high-powered offense. Those don't count?

[a700hitter]

Two of Porcello's four starts have come against Toronto's high-powered offense. Those don't count?

He pitched to a 5.11 ERA in those 2 games.

[User Name]

He pitched to a 5.11 ERA in those 2 games.

 

Context. A quality start, and a 15-2 K/BB ratio.

[iortiz]

Context. A quality start, and a 15-2 K/BB ratio.

 

The context is that he is not going to be a 3.5 ERA pitcher. His K/BB is meaningless if he can't settle down his HR/FB %.

[FredLynn]

The context is that he is not going to be a 3.5 ERA pitcher. His K/BB is meaningless if he can't settle down his HR/FB %.

 

My guess is that he will be closer to 3.5 this year than 4

[iortiz]

My guess is that he will be closer to 3.5 this year than 4

 

Hopefully you are right Fred.

[a700hitter]

Context. A quality start, and a 15-2 K/BB ratio.

He is going to pitch more games against the jays than the Braves. That is context too. I hope that he pitches to a 3.5 ERA, but realistically I am not holding my breath.

[mvp 78]

K/BB% is never meaningless.

[iortiz]

K/BB% is never meaningless.

 

If you want a low ERA it is when your HR/FB% is high, like in Porcello's case.

[User Name]

If you don't allow a lot of baserunners, you're not going to give up a lot of runs even if you give up some homeruns. And his HR/FB% is unsustainable. His K% and HR% should stabilize, but there will probably be more benefit than harm.

[iortiz]

You just need 2 baserunners and 2 HR in different IP to drive your ERA north.

 

He has posted above 14% HR/FB% in 3 of his 7 years of duty. 2016? 21% thus far. Say he normalizes that number to his 12% career HR/FB%; it still awful.