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Posted

Magic Number formula

 

2nd place team has X losses ... suppose they win out, they have 162-X wins.

1st place team has to win 162-X+1 games to win the division

 

(162-X+1) - (number of wins 1st place team currently has) = Magic Number. Obviously when 2nd place team loses, X goes up - and then a team wins their current wins goes up. So both drive the magic number down.

Posted

Maths wise Redsox must be over 99.7%.

 

Tampa Bay might get 12 wins but they have a tired pen and such cold bats that frankly 12 wins they would take from here no doubt!

 

Baltimore and Yankees are simply too far behind for us to heavily be concerned with them taking the division. The only way that would happen is with a 7-0 sweep!!! Considering our depth in pitching and ability to score 20 runs ocassionally- this is a 1000/1 shot. Especially as we aint lost 4 in a row all season.

 

It would be nice if we win at least one more of the tampa series to put them further behind

Posted
magic number is down to 10 with last night win against the closest team behind them. 5 more wins and 5 more Rays lost the Sox clinch the division. Could happen this weekend.
Posted
Win was huge - basically clinches our position over Tampa. Even if we lose the next 2, Tampa is still 6.5 games back with 14 games to go. That two game swing earned last night should be enough (barring the usual) to win the division though the math won't shake down for a while.
Posted
Yeah, I think winning tonight or tomorrow would absolutely nail it down. Take one of the next two and the Sox would be up 8.5 with 14 left. Almost impossible to overcome that for Tampa.
Posted
So if the Sox win 2 out of 3 in each of the series left this month and sweep the two-game series against the Rockies, that will be 100 wins. Awesome.

 

Certainly very possible.

Posted
So if the Sox win 2 out of 3 in each of the series left this month and sweep the two-game series against the Rockies, that will be 100 wins. Awesome.

 

I will do my part. Got tickets to both of the Rockies games. Will be cheering them on in Denver. Such a great season. I really want to say I saw the 2013 Sox play.

Posted

I have to say, this stretch of baseball by the Sox starting with the SF series has been one of the most enjoyable I can ever remember as a fan.

 

vs. SF - took 2 of 3, lost one in tough fashion, but it was a good way to kick off the west coast swing

vs. LAD - took 2 of 3 from the hottest team in baseball; starting pitching was really rolling at this point

vs. Bal - took 2 of 3, lost a tough last one, but still, playing great

vs. ChW - swept a 3-game series, in impressive fashion; Chi isn't very good but still, nice to sweep a series

vs. Det - took 2 of 3, beating Scherzer and then putting up the 20-spot; great two-day stretch

vs. NYY - took 3 of 4, winning in incredible fashion, and putting up two BS against Mariano

vs. TB - have taken the first 2 in this series as well, beating Price and Cobb in the process

 

That's 16 out of 21, with some prodigious offense and great pitching thrown in there, along with a handful of dramatic, clutch hits. It's just been awesome to watch.

Posted
This stretch has coincided with Middlebrooks beefing up a dreadful 3B position - and a series of strong, effective starts ... basically aside from a couple of Doubront stinkers - the rotation has continually kept the team and the pitching staff on schedule.
Posted
I will do my part. Got tickets to both of the Rockies games. Will be cheering them on in Denver. Such a great season. I really want to say I saw the 2013 Sox play.

 

How is it going to games at that stadium?

Posted
This stretch has coincided with Middlebrooks beefing up a dreadful 3B position - and a series of strong, effective starts ... basically aside from a couple of Doubront stinkers - the rotation has continually kept the team and the pitching staff on schedule.

 

Demster has been much better lately. He looked pretty bad mid season. I thought he'd be the obvious choice to go to the BP but with Doubront's last 2 starts, I don't know. Not sure how that'll pan out.

Posted
How is it going to games at that stadium?

 

I've been to Coors Field twice. I actually got to take batting practice there once, believe it or not. My best hit was a one-hopper. Couldn't clear the fence.

 

Anyway, BEAUTIFUL place to watch a game, IMO. People are friendly, the park is nice, and Denver is a pretty place to be in general.

Posted (edited)

Another thing to see in our recent play (not that this insight is especially brilliant) is who we did it against. SF's not great, but they were at home on the West Coast. LAD was incandescent. BAL and NYY are wild card contenders. Admittedly, CHW blows and a half-decent team would not have gotten swept in that series. DET is very very good, and TB is in current possession of a wild card. So we're pounding the patsies and more than holding our own against good teams.

 

Sure, luck has factored in. We've missed some of the opposing teams' aces, like Kershaw and Sale (though he has to throw a CG to get a win, judging by the results vs. NYY). We've hit 173-foot grand slams (Napoli say thanks, Yankee Stadium). But then we've also just matched up, strength to strength, and won (i.e. Scherzer vs. Lester).

 

So it looks like we're going to win the division. We're scoring runs and we have a fearsome 4 man postseason rotation. We all know the playoffs are a crapshoot, but let's just say there's no one saying, "Man, I hope we end up playing the Red Sox!"

Edited by Beaneater
Posted
I've been to Coors Field twice. I actually got to take batting practice there once, believe it or not. My best hit was a one-hopper. Couldn't clear the fence.

 

Anyway, BEAUTIFUL place to watch a game, IMO. People are friendly, the park is nice, and Denver is a pretty place to be in general.

Once my kid is old enough, I plan on having a few summer trips to stadiums I haven't been to. Really want to go to Seattle, Pittsburgh, Wrigley, San Diego and Baltimore. If Tigers Stadium was still used, it'd be first on my list.

 

I've only been to Fenway, SF, Dodgers Stadium, Oakland and Olympic Stadium (Expos!).

Posted
Demster has been much better lately. He looked pretty bad mid season. I thought he'd be the obvious choice to go to the BP but with Doubront's last 2 starts, I don't know. Not sure how that'll pan out.

 

What we have seen I think is that Dempster is pretty effective one time through the order, where he can throw his splitter without thinking about it. In relief the FB could be more like 92 than 89 and he can feel free to throw the splitter as much as he wants. He could be very good for 6 outs at a time. Heck, I think that about Doubront too, but Doubront has more stretches where he just cannot find his mechanics at all.

Posted
Once my kid is old enough, I plan on having a few summer trips to stadiums I haven't been to. Really want to go to Seattle, Pittsburgh, Wrigley, San Diego and Baltimore. If Tigers Stadium was still used, it'd be first on my list.

 

I've only been to Fenway, SF, Dodgers Stadium, Oakland and Olympic Stadium (Expos!).

 

I haven't been that many places: Fenway, Yankee Stadium (both the old and new), Shea Stadium (never been to CitiField), Camden Yards (AMAZING), Philadelphia (the old stadium), Nationals Park (another great place), and Coors Field.

 

I highly recommend Camden Yards at some point. There are actually a lot of places I'd like to go.

Posted
Yeah, Camden Yards is a really nice park, I always try to go to at least one Sox/Orioles game in Baltimore since I live by the park. I love that stadium.
Posted
What we have seen I think is that Dempster is pretty effective one time through the order, where he can throw his splitter without thinking about it. In relief the FB could be more like 92 than 89 and he can feel free to throw the splitter as much as he wants. He could be very good for 6 outs at a time. Heck, I think that about Doubront too, but Doubront has more stretches where he just cannot find his mechanics at all.
He seems to be getting a second wind and he is experienced pitching out of the bullpen. He could be helpful in the playoffs.
Posted
How is it going to games at that stadium?

 

This will be my first time there. While it's the closest mlb park to me, it's still like 8 hrs away.

Posted
Once my kid is old enough, I plan on having a few summer trips to stadiums I haven't been to. Really want to go to Seattle, Pittsburgh, Wrigley, San Diego and Baltimore. If Tigers Stadium was still used, it'd be first on my list.

 

I've only been to Fenway, SF, Dodgers Stadium, Oakland and Olympic Stadium (Expos!).

 

Comerica Park is a great place to catch a ballgame, let me tell you.

Posted
Once my kid is old enough, I plan on having a few summer trips to stadiums I haven't been to. Really want to go to Seattle, Pittsburgh, Wrigley, San Diego and Baltimore. If Tigers Stadium was still used, it'd be first on my list.

 

I've only been to Fenway, SF, Dodgers Stadium, Oakland and Olympic Stadium (Expos!).

 

Major points for an awesome dad.

Posted
I haven't been that many places: Fenway, Yankee Stadium (both the old and new), Shea Stadium (never been to CitiField), Camden Yards (AMAZING), Philadelphia (the old stadium), Nationals Park (another great place), and Coors Field.

 

I highly recommend Camden Yards at some point. There are actually a lot of places I'd like to go.

 

I've been dying to go to Camden Yards. My sister-in-law's sister is a huge Baltimore sports fan. I'm sure she can hook me up.

 

I've only been to Fenway, Yankee Stadium (both), Cleveland, and Oakland. My goal at some point in life is to go to all 30.

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