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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    With Wildman Craig Breslow landing Suarez, I'd be far more willing to trade Bello. There is a reasonable chance that a combination of Sandoval, Oviedo, Early or Tolle could provide value similar to Bello. While it feels like Bello should get slightly more than Paredes, I think it's pretty close, and the fit is great.
  2. JoeBrady
    There's no doubt in my mind that Duran is more valuable. My only point of contention would be by how much. I'm not sure how they develop the value side, but if it is based on WAR, then Duran is under-valued. But if Duran is worth 45.9, then Paredes is worth an easy 30. Just on my calc sheet, Paredes is a 3.4 player * 2, * $9M, less $25M salary, or $36M.
  3. JoeBrady
    But I thought he didn't communicate well?
  4. JoeBrady
    So I just got back from lunch with my lovely spouse, went for a very nice 5-mile walk thru the woods, only to find that Breslow is now the most free-wheeling spendiest GM in Red Sox history.
  5. JoeBrady
    It was worse, far, far worse. I never thought Betts was staying, but one could argue that either way. And I understood getting rid of Price and getting under the cap. But Lester was an insult. He said that they would have to 'tear this jersey off my back', and they did. He supposedly wanted the Homer Bailey contract, which he certainly deserved. Does anyone remember the poster that said Lester was a #5 SP, while he was still with the Red Sox?
  6. JoeBrady
    I wouldn't trade Campbell, unless he was part of a package for a really good pitching prospect or a 2B/3B with some control. One year of Hoerner is something we could regret for the next 9 years.
  7. JoeBrady
    And there is the #2 that some of wanted. At least we'll have at least 2-3 days off from 'JH is cheap'. Now acquire one more Suarez and the off-season is over.
  8. JoeBrady
    Good. I like our rotation, but this improves it, as well as making it more reliable. And with Gray & Sandoval likely moving on next year, Suarez won't be blocking anyone.
  9. JoeBrady
    Pass. He didn't pitch well after his injury in 2024, and was weak in 2025.
  10. JoeBrady
    I had no use for Cherry and still not sure how he has a job.
  11. JoeBrady
    If the Phillies sign Bichette, then I assume either Bohm or Stott have to go. Either one would solve our problems. Just like Arenado, Suarez, etc., they won't be elegant solutions, but not every problem needs a diamond star halo solution.
  12. JoeBrady
    Just my guess, but I think JH wanted B2B WSC, and was willing to spend for that privilege. Once that was gone, he thought we were an 84-win, #1 payroll, and #30 farm team. Both DD and Bloom made perfect sense to me.
  13. JoeBrady
    I actually proposed a JBJ for Torres/Soler during the Cubs run in 2016. So I always had an interest in him, until he got the Yankee stink on him. But if the Cubs were willing (and I suspect eager) to get draft picks for him, I think they would take a non-premium prospect return for him. They might already be thinking of McGonigle as being close to ready for the show.
  14. JoeBrady
    You lived with Devers at 3B for a long time. I think he can be a real good hitter, but I don't see a lot of glove in his future. My animal spirit thinks this guy will be a lot of fun in the #5/6 slot, but my head keeps questioning where he will play until Yoshida is gone.
  15. JoeBrady
    I'm not a fan of Gleyber, but the Tigers were probably indifferent to him at that price point. They'd be happy with him staying for $20M, and they'd be happy with the draft picks.
  16. JoeBrady
    I think a lot of RS would agree with you. The disaster wouldn't be not getting Bregman. The disaster would be putting our money back in the piggy bank. If we have $35M to spend, it'll make little difference where we spend it, so long as we spend it.
  17. JoeBrady
    It was like when we acquired Gonzo & CC almost simultaneously. Neither were my favorite choices, but it's difficult to be sad when you acquire that much talent.
  18. JoeBrady
    My thinking as well. The 'fair' calculation I came up with was $125M/5 (3.5/3.0/2.5/2.0/1.5/1.0) * 9.5. And I'd have added $10M for a 6th year for AAV purposes. Like you said, if the RS wanted to add another $5M per, because he's a good player at a key position, it would've been an overpay (by my calcs), but I'd have been fine.
  19. JoeBrady
    I'm not sure how one does that. It's like deciding whether not someone at the poker table is bluffing. If Boras told Breslow the offer was $170M/5, how does Breslow know if that's correct? Or how much is being deferred? I doubt Boras has a tell. My guess here is that Breslow put some percentages into the chances of Boras being truthful or lying, or exaggerating, compared that to whatever limits he had in mind, and made a call. But no one here knows exactly what happened.
  20. JoeBrady
    Just irt the rigidity issue, and picking lanes, etc., Breslow has been here two years. Just because he traded for and extended Crochet doesn't mean he is big-market poker player, and nor does the fact that he either didn't believe Bregman or didn't care to match the Cubs, doesn't make him cheap. You need years to attach a pattern to people.
  21. JoeBrady
    That's how it should be. Picking a single lane is not optimal, imo. If you have a prospect that you see no future in, you should move him. If you see someone out there you think has promise, you should acquire him.
  22. JoeBrady
    Since 1987. Still pretty good. And I saw nothing wrong with selling off some assets if you're not making the playoffs.
  23. JoeBrady
    One of DD's best moves was on JD's signing, and JD's opt-out. There was a story every week about the number of teams interested in JD. DD never bit, never panicked, and stuck with his offer. Many fans, including some in here, wanted DD to raise his offer to 'whatever it takes'. I agreed with DD. He ignored the stories, stuck with offer, and was proven right. But even if JD did have a better offer, I still would've agreed with DD. He made an educated decision based on the AL teams that needed a DH. I wouldn't have said it was 'bad' if he been proven wrong. No one gets all these things right.
  24. JoeBrady
    I'd have done if I were the RS. Spending $5.5M at 3rd leaves a lot of money for other imporovements (assuming they spend it).
  25. JoeBrady
    11 1st place finishes in 25 years, and 2 WSC.
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