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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    I thought you were one of the 'Flags fly forever' brigade. Must be some other Fred.
  2. JoeBrady
    I'm not sure what the guys we traded this year has to do with sustainability. For the most part, they aren't big pieces, nor are they good fitts.
  3. JoeBrady
    That #12 is on a cash basis, which holds -0- relevance. All that counts is that we were #7 in spending.
  4. JoeBrady
    I don't have much hope for Hicks. But the more important part is the amount of payroll relief we get. Yates is getting $5M after posting a 5.23. Thinking about it in reverse, if Hicks was available for $2M as a FA, he'd already be signed. Weaver just signed a $22M/2 after almost being out of BB. Every team in BB has at least one RP that has reverted to their historic numbers. If we're only gaining $2M in relief, I'd let him come into ST to try to win a job.
  5. JoeBrady
    His 23-24 OPS was .775. The league OPS was about .749. It's not ideal, but I don't see why it's a stretch.
  6. JoeBrady
    I find the 'dump Yoshi' talk a bit far afield. The salary is a sunk cost, so that's irrelevant. Past that, like you say, he's a good hitter. I wouldn't trade Duran straight-up for Lodolo (close enough), but if the choice was Duran replacing Yoshi and the RS getting $6M salary relief, or the RS trading Duran for Lodolo+, and keeping Yoshi at DH, I'd go for the Lodolo+ package every time.
  7. JoeBrady
    We also saw what happened without a true #2.
  8. JoeBrady
    A 6-year deal would take him thru age 37. He might become the happy wanderer after that, but I think a 6th year, at Fenway, playing for a contender, would definitely hold some non-monetary value for him. 16.9/6=2.82. He should land 2,000 hits. Again, it'll be more than enough to get on the ballot for ten years.
  9. JoeBrady
    I would treat that as a completely separate issue. Trade him for value/need, not because of salary. I'd blow thru the payroll caps unless I had a good deal.
  10. JoeBrady
    IMO, with little doubt in my mind, you should be ranked where your revenue is. But that said, your level of talent impacts your salary, and vice versa. Our record was 'okay' from 2020-2024, but we were only fringe contenders. Signing phat long-term contracts was probably not in our best interests. Of more concern, imho, is the structure. While I like Bregman, we gave up 2 draft picks & int'l money to get him. For a l/t contract, that's acceptable. For one year, plus his options, it is too much. IMHO, I see no problem with l/t alternating between being under the cap, and then exceeding the 2nd level. That minimizes JH's tax burden, and helps us control the CBT penalties. Where I do have a problem is when we exceed the first cap by $5M. IMO, you're either in or your out. If we go to $244.01, then we should go to $263.9.
  11. JoeBrady
    I'm not a Sandoval fan, but folks are under-estimating his numbers. From 2021-2024, including his injury numbers, he had a 3.80 ERA, and Fenway-favorite 0.8 HR/9. I'm not sure he will even make the rotation out of ST. But he could also easily be a #4 SP.
  12. JoeBrady
    On paper, we're better than the NYY and TO at the #1, #1-2, #1-3, all the way out. Last year, our 1-3 were great. Our 4-5-6-7-8 wavered from bad to awful. Not everyone will work out, but my bet is that our #4>>> will be 5 games better than 2025.
  13. JoeBrady
    The AAV's are easy enough to manipulate. Add one more useless year at $5M and your $125M/5 CBT hit becomes a $130M/6 CBT hit. And I've mentioned this before, but I'd bet that Bregman has HOF aspirations. He might like the idea of hanging around in Fenway 1-2 years past his expected retirement age. A 60 bWAR and 300 HRs are within reach. That might not do it, but it definitely would be enough to get him 10 years on the ballot.
  14. JoeBrady
    So, no WSC in the past 7 years? Is that what the new standard is?
  15. JoeBrady
    Were there two 'Laws'? I remember one of them posting these 1,000 word screeds that he must have stayed up all night writing. I remember thinking how badly his head must have exploded when we won the WS in 2007. Of course, a few of them survived long enough to complain about 2013 and 2018, and 2026, 2027, 2028, etc.
  16. JoeBrady
    If I had a dollar for every time you mentioned the name Inepstein or Francoma, I'd own the RS. And both guys will be 1st ballot HOFers.
  17. JoeBrady
    This is why I always recommend saving while young, if you can. The investments, even in a mundane market, can grow real quickly. And if you are laid off in your mid-50s, there is a pretty good chance you aren't getting your previous salary anymore. And once you've banked enough, you can work without a care in the world.
  18. JoeBrady
    Just a couple of thoughts. I think last year hurts Bregman a little. His bat looked good, but the injury will remind GMs that he will be 32 this year. We'll be a better team with Bregman, but it is worth mentioning that we will be better with any $25M player.
  19. JoeBrady
    Hopefully there is a nice retirement package available. I know two people that just got laid off. One was at retirement age, and was just wondering when. The other was 5-6 away from retirement anyway, so they basically just paid him to stay home. I didn't really care, but I was hoping that, when I walked into my boss's office with my retirement letter, he'd tell me, 'Sorry Joe, but you gotta go. And here is your 10-month severance'. And there's Joey, stuffing his retirement letter into the shredder.
  20. JoeBrady
    Given that we have 4 WSC since the early 2000's, I feel pretty okay about that argument.
  21. JoeBrady
    I want my Raiders to draft the guy that hit him.
  22. JoeBrady
    It's funny that you mention Mexico, for two reasons. The first is that I thought everyone in Texas was from Mexico:). The second is I was going to mention the same thing. When I went to HS, a long time ago, every Latino was Puerto Rican. During our reunion, I was talking to one of them. For some reason, he told me he grew up in the housing on 136th. I said '136th & Alexander?" He says yeah. I told him that the city tore down my house to build that housing complex, and that he stole my land. I was kidding, but I thought it was fascinating that we both started off on the same plot of land. FWIW, The Bronx is the ultimate 6 degrees of separation.
  23. JoeBrady
    That leaves us with two guys (Bello & Tolle) that might be part of our regular rotation in 2026, and probably definitely part of our 2027 rotation. That would make our 2027 rotation: Crochet Webb Early Gray (maybe) Witherspoon, Harrison, Sandlin, etc. I don't think I'd do it, but I also don't think it is that far off. Unfortunately, SF won't trade their ace whether or not it makes sense.
  24. JoeBrady
    I'm on record many times that JH should spend to a dollar of the second tier. I just see no point of complaining about it. And I am going to enjoy the season regardless if he spend $240M or $260M.
  25. JoeBrady
    I'm not sure you can make a case for trading for a player that was never traded.
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