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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    If I might intercede for a moment-No one knows except Breslow, the AZ GM and maybe a few other people. Just like my comment on Anthony the other day, none of us know anything. And none of the press knows anything. If I did want to add one thing, it is that teams that don't trade a player, were probably never inclined to trade that player. Basically, AZ didn't like one offer from the other 28 teams, so it seems unlikely that the RS could've forced their hand.
  2. JoeBrady
    Sure, if his predicted OPS is .729. He hits 32-35 HRs consistently. OPS consistently .825+. You could be correct that he will be a .729 player going forward, but I'd wager against that. He's not even 30 yet, so his decline should be 3-4 year away.
  3. JoeBrady
    Masa had no market. Story's 2025 bWAR was 4.1. Duran had a 4.9. That said, I am curious what your plan to replace was. Bichette?
  4. JoeBrady
    Why not? He won't be here next year, unless we sign him as a FA.
  5. JoeBrady
    I agree on Gray and Chapman, but it's difficult to know the best possible 'sell by' date is. Would you accept 90% of their value today, or 110% of their value a month from now, with the inherent risk? IRT Contreras, too many articles are overlooking the need to replace anyone we trade. With current year players, trade all of them. With those here thru 2027, I'd be open to trading them. Past that, I'd have to be talked into trading them
  6. JoeBrady
    I'd be open to trading anyone, but for the right price. The guys like Duran, Mayer, Slaten might be more valuable to us than they would be on the trade market.
  7. JoeBrady
    IMO, you not only do both, you try to improve in every possible category.
  8. JoeBrady
    Slaten is an example of a zero-sum arrangement. If he is good, then why shouldn't we keep him? If he is overrated, then why would anyone trade for him? I'm open to trading anyone, but with an ERA of 12.46 in his last ten games, I don't see anyone lining up for him.
  9. JoeBrady
    4 errors by the EE tonight. Nice to see. Good game by Early. My brain tells me to sell. And i am sure that is correct. But I'd love to see the team add at least a little hitting with this rotation. But that's just my heart talking.
  10. JoeBrady
    That's basically my point. This was never going to be a great offense, but they projected to be much better.
  11. JoeBrady
    There is no way to model this, since half the players do better and half do worse, But figured Contreras, Raffy, Abreu, Durbin, and Mayer don't surprise me with the +/-. Wong & IKF don't have enough PAs to surprise one way or another. But I was surprised by just how far off Duran is and should've included him. I've done this exercise before, but if Story, Narvaez, and Anthony hit their FG projections, the RS would have a .721, good for 16th. If we include Duran reaching his FG projection, then our OPS is .738, good for 7th.
  12. JoeBrady
    IMHO, Devers had a little reason to be irked. He had just gotten demoted from 3B to DH, and then we asked him to go back to the field. In addition, he was unlikely have done well initially. That said, he should've just taken his new assignment and not said a word. At least, that's what I'd have done.
  13. JoeBrady
    We are rarely in sell-mode, so it won't be a lot. ERod was pretty big. Pivetta was good.
  14. JoeBrady
    That could well be true. But run differential will still tell you what your record will be. The more you outscore your opponent, the better your record will be.
  15. JoeBrady
    It's still a surprise. FG projected .683 for Narvaez, .735 for Story, and .802 for Anthony. So .563, .547, and .675 are surprises.
  16. JoeBrady
    Like us, or the league? I doubt we see much of a work stoppage, if any. The RS, well, they have a lot of variables. But my guess on the payroll is about $210-215M, so we'll have $40M to spend before hit the first cap, and maybe $80M before we start seeing some pushback.
  17. JoeBrady
    I said this in another thread. Half kidding, but we're in a fun spot. For 3-4 years, we weren't in position to buy or sell. Now we three guys for certain to be sold, and if they don't revert or get injured, we should get some good value. We can then play every questionable player like Mayer, Seigler, etc., without fear of losing. And we can sit back on players that we like and tell teams, 'we have no intention of trading so-and-so (Contreras), but we will listen'; And since the draft is based on a lottery, we can still get lucky, even if we manage to stay out of #30. Good times!
  18. JoeBrady
    I think too many fans view medical calls as an extension of the FO. If they don't like the FO, then the medical calls are some type of conspiracy. A lot of medical calls might be coin flips. I've had differing medical opinions on a couple of issues. It didn't mean either one was right or wrong.
  19. JoeBrady
    ERod, Price and Eovaldi were probably better than Porcello.
  20. JoeBrady
    IMO, for the regular season, you need 5 good SPs, a closer, and at least a modicum of hitting. But to succeed in the playoffs, you need 3 good SPs, and preferably one is an ace.
  21. JoeBrady
    I have no idea what's happening with him, which is kind of my point. None of us have a single clue.
  22. JoeBrady
    Define 'surprise? Narvaez -163 Story -204 Anthony -184 (SSS) Duran -150
  23. JoeBrady
    Run differential will predict what your record will be. It doesn't matter how you get there. Sort by Py W/L. The top-10 almost always make the playoffs. The bottom-10 very rarely play .500
  24. JoeBrady
    With a guy like Duran, you might have to know him personally. Everyone knows his issues. But no one really knows where his head is at right now.
  25. JoeBrady
    I think someone will jump. There are always GMs out there that thing they are the smartest one in the room. And RPs are always traded at the deadline. While all of them have longer records than Guerrero, none of them have a 19/1 K/W.
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