Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

JoeBrady

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,920

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    I would bet on the RS as well. He hasn't gotten a huge offer, or else he'd already be signed. And since we haven't signed anyone that would be a Bregman-equivalent, I assume he is still out #1 target. And I'd say the 5/125 is ballpark accurate. Some might be deferred to squeeze under the cap, but I'd guess you are within a few percentage points either way.
  2. JoeBrady
    It's not arbitrary; it's a rule. If you go past $244M, you pay a tax and a penalty. But I will give you a more concrete reason not to use cash. How do you want to account for the $50M we still owe Sale? How about the $14M we owe Bregman? Or numerous other deferred liabilities? Or if Sale and Bregman want to settle their receivables today, because we're going to buy the Angels. So they settle for $50M. Does that mean JH is now one of the most free-spending owners in BB because his cash outlay is $300M? The CBT is the measure.
  3. JoeBrady
    I always said this in defense of Preller. He got bashed on the payroll, but part of the payroll issue was that he locked in Tatis long-term.
  4. JoeBrady
    I always said this in defense of Preller. He got bashed on the payroll, but part of the payroll issue was that he locked in Tatis long-term.
  5. JoeBrady
    I'd bet against both teams. Both have a SS and a 2B, and other needs to spend money on. Probably agent disinformation.
  6. JoeBrady
    IMHO, these things are far more complex than the civilians seem to realize. If you own 100% of everything, then everything is easy. Past that, you have partners you have to be accountable to. IRT his legacy, it's already logged in. Some fans will always hate him. Most fans will remember the 4 WSCs.
  7. JoeBrady
    But that's the way the tax is calculated. Otherwise, there is no reason to even reference the $244M cap. It's like judging the Ohtani signing based on his $2M cash outlay instead of his $46M CBT hit.
  8. JoeBrady
    Not to mention that Breslow would get hired before the day was out.
  9. JoeBrady
    I thought you were one of the 'Flags fly forever' brigade. Must be some other Fred.
  10. JoeBrady
    I'm not sure what the guys we traded this year has to do with sustainability. For the most part, they aren't big pieces, nor are they good fitts.
  11. JoeBrady
    That #12 is on a cash basis, which holds -0- relevance. All that counts is that we were #7 in spending.
  12. JoeBrady
    I don't have much hope for Hicks. But the more important part is the amount of payroll relief we get. Yates is getting $5M after posting a 5.23. Thinking about it in reverse, if Hicks was available for $2M as a FA, he'd already be signed. Weaver just signed a $22M/2 after almost being out of BB. Every team in BB has at least one RP that has reverted to their historic numbers. If we're only gaining $2M in relief, I'd let him come into ST to try to win a job.
  13. JoeBrady
    His 23-24 OPS was .775. The league OPS was about .749. It's not ideal, but I don't see why it's a stretch.
  14. JoeBrady
    I find the 'dump Yoshi' talk a bit far afield. The salary is a sunk cost, so that's irrelevant. Past that, like you say, he's a good hitter. I wouldn't trade Duran straight-up for Lodolo (close enough), but if the choice was Duran replacing Yoshi and the RS getting $6M salary relief, or the RS trading Duran for Lodolo+, and keeping Yoshi at DH, I'd go for the Lodolo+ package every time.
  15. JoeBrady
    We also saw what happened without a true #2.
  16. JoeBrady
    A 6-year deal would take him thru age 37. He might become the happy wanderer after that, but I think a 6th year, at Fenway, playing for a contender, would definitely hold some non-monetary value for him. 16.9/6=2.82. He should land 2,000 hits. Again, it'll be more than enough to get on the ballot for ten years.
  17. JoeBrady
    I would treat that as a completely separate issue. Trade him for value/need, not because of salary. I'd blow thru the payroll caps unless I had a good deal.
  18. JoeBrady
    IMO, with little doubt in my mind, you should be ranked where your revenue is. But that said, your level of talent impacts your salary, and vice versa. Our record was 'okay' from 2020-2024, but we were only fringe contenders. Signing phat long-term contracts was probably not in our best interests. Of more concern, imho, is the structure. While I like Bregman, we gave up 2 draft picks & int'l money to get him. For a l/t contract, that's acceptable. For one year, plus his options, it is too much. IMHO, I see no problem with l/t alternating between being under the cap, and then exceeding the 2nd level. That minimizes JH's tax burden, and helps us control the CBT penalties. Where I do have a problem is when we exceed the first cap by $5M. IMO, you're either in or your out. If we go to $244.01, then we should go to $263.9.
  19. JoeBrady
    I'm not a Sandoval fan, but folks are under-estimating his numbers. From 2021-2024, including his injury numbers, he had a 3.80 ERA, and Fenway-favorite 0.8 HR/9. I'm not sure he will even make the rotation out of ST. But he could also easily be a #4 SP.
  20. JoeBrady
    On paper, we're better than the NYY and TO at the #1, #1-2, #1-3, all the way out. Last year, our 1-3 were great. Our 4-5-6-7-8 wavered from bad to awful. Not everyone will work out, but my bet is that our #4>>> will be 5 games better than 2025.
  21. JoeBrady
    The AAV's are easy enough to manipulate. Add one more useless year at $5M and your $125M/5 CBT hit becomes a $130M/6 CBT hit. And I've mentioned this before, but I'd bet that Bregman has HOF aspirations. He might like the idea of hanging around in Fenway 1-2 years past his expected retirement age. A 60 bWAR and 300 HRs are within reach. That might not do it, but it definitely would be enough to get him 10 years on the ballot.
  22. JoeBrady
    So, no WSC in the past 7 years? Is that what the new standard is?
  23. JoeBrady
    Were there two 'Laws'? I remember one of them posting these 1,000 word screeds that he must have stayed up all night writing. I remember thinking how badly his head must have exploded when we won the WS in 2007. Of course, a few of them survived long enough to complain about 2013 and 2018, and 2026, 2027, 2028, etc.
  24. JoeBrady
    If I had a dollar for every time you mentioned the name Inepstein or Francoma, I'd own the RS. And both guys will be 1st ballot HOFers.
  25. JoeBrady
    This is why I always recommend saving while young, if you can. The investments, even in a mundane market, can grow real quickly. And if you are laid off in your mid-50s, there is a pretty good chance you aren't getting your previous salary anymore. And once you've banked enough, you can work without a care in the world.
×
×
  • Create New...