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drewski6

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Everything posted by drewski6

  1. I dont think Marte is available anymore, and Im note sure 20m/yr for 2 gets it done for Geno. I do like the team though
  2. Nobody cares if you care. But its widely reported that Bregman and Breslow were talking past each other and now Bregman is a cub. You may say that you applaud value blah, blah , blah , blah blah , i really dont care. But Bregman/team said "I have a better offer from the cubs" and breslow didnt believe it, thats bad. Its so dysfunctional its almost funny, but its bad.
  3. Sticking to Paredes, a 3 WAR player making about 9m is worth more than 11 trade value units, then you have a whole second year. 2 WAR players are getting 22m QOs. FOr his next 2 years, I would think Paredes WAR about 6.5. Expected to be paid like 25m. I think each WAR is worth like 10m. I think Paredes should be about 30 himself , maybe even more (not a lot more). I think we are all buyers of Paredes at 11 trade value units. Its low, if you can get him for that, we definitely should.
  4. I honestly have seen it get corrected by a large amount for a given player. Ive seen it be way off. Its usually good , but I think its just off on Paredes. I think his trade value units is about 30. How is Duran near 50, and Paredes is like 11 with both having 2 yrs of control left around the same money. Granted Paredes may make like 9.5m this year vs durans 7.7m, so that accounts for 2 of the 36 delta between em. It just feels off.
  5. I think Elly and Hays are both in for better offensive seasons. Probably McClain too. Also, I may have wrote that before Gray, Contreras....
  6. So another words, there was bad communication.....hmmmm
  7. Alonso and Bregman (and Schwarber) , total packages were all very close. Yes Breg cleared 170m but enough deferred to make the hit and present value closer to 30-31 per. This is a triple down that a player of around this caliber in their early 30s (ish) gets around 5 yrs at a little over 30 plus annum. Thats fair market value for a FA of this tier. If you see this moves as gross overpayment, then either you are hoping for a market correction or you are unwilling to shop at the second tier of free agency, which the sox may be unwilling to do as well.
  8. Now you are overlooking the deferrals, though.
  9. Probably. But the Orioles offer was pretty far ahead of us, so not as confident it would have been enough more to make us serious bidders.
  10. If you could combine Breslow's willingness to take risks with Bloom's interpersonal skills, you'd have a GM....who would probably be out of our price range.
  11. Bloom was a capable communicator, and very professional. He was just scared money at the poker table and too gun-shy.
  12. I dont get why BTV has Paredes so low and Im not buying it. BTV is mostly good, but on certain players for some reason, the formula seems off. Right now casas has like 19 trade value units and paredes has like 11. It doesnt feel right.
  13. How much drama we talking about here? They have better options than to give us a 125 OPS+ guy for someone with reliever risk. I would not entertain this if I was Houston, and they have some flexibility with their position player mix. They could send out Christian Walker and play Paredes or Correa at 1b, they could play Altuve in the outfield.... Tigers and/or Dbacks, I would imagine would be willing to top an offer of just Philips. Maybe Philips and Harrison.
  14. Paredes would be a great get. If they get Arrenado, they should also get a DH with the cost savings from Bregman to Arrenado. If they get Arrenado for cheaper than Bregman was, they should be more willing to consider Yoshida's salary sunk. Geno starts making sense to me. Or maybe his ability to play third and remain healthy is higher than I credit, and hes a plug at 3b. I kind of see him as a DH, and not because I think defense is as or more important as hitting, but because Im concerned how a mid 30's body that isnt particularly slim holds up at 3b. Geno got a belly.
  15. Got the wrong guy. Do not confuse Notins acceptance with his approval.
  16. Paredes for Phillips sounds too good to be true. I dont love Duran for a backup catcher and a reliever.
  17. It really does sound like our bres, doesnt it. Sitting there smug look, arms folded across the chest. I call your bluff! He declares. Okay, buddy, as Bregman walks out chuckling to himself.
  18. Yeah, agreed. At this point, you start looking for anyone who can move the needle. At least in terms of free-agency. Probably still a few quality guys can be had via trade route
  19. Relishing in his fellow fan's pain and disappointment
  20. Yeah, I really dont see how the combination of 10m lighter vs cubs offer (but in actuality quite a bit lighter than that because of the excess deferrals) + A NTC Gets it done. Maybe they thought there offer was the most competitive, but nobody would sign here at a discount without a NTC. Whats the point? If someone is taking less to come here its becuase they want to be here not to let the sox trade them whenever to whomver.
  21. Exactly, on all of your points. I understand every dollar above 244 hurts more and more, but they dont start hurting much more after 264. After 244 you pay 1.3 for every dollar spent until 264 when that number bumps to 1.42 (for every dollar past 264 up to 284 where it bumps again). JH is still taking steps in the right direction. We will almost 100% be over 244. We are likely to be over 264 (my opinion). On a 263m payroll, our tax is 5.7M (30% of each dollar above 244, so 30% of 19m) On a 265m payroll our tax is 6.42m (30% of each dollar between 244M and 263.99, so 6m+ 42% of each dollar after 264M).
  22. Another words, the darn yanks are in our crosshairs and i love it!
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