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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    For 6 years of Teel, and 6 years of Montgomery+ for just 4 years total of Crochett. You gotta swing somewhere. Trades, extensions, bringing up rookies, signing free agents. If you don't want to take a risk anywhere eventually we will be the passive hitter who watches every pitch go by.
  2. Hugh2
    Players can't be offered Q.O.'s if they've already received one. Bregman received one this year. So you'd be giving up a pick to sign him for just one year.
  3. Hugh2
  4. Hugh2
    LAD also brought their two largest commitments BACK to market. That strongly suggest they're very very much in this.
  5. Hugh2
    I highly doubt that, he put up 4.1 War last year, it wasn't really a down year besides a dip in the BB% I don't think there's much of an incentive to how much his value will go up with a monster year next year vs. being 1 year older. He could have a good year next year, but I think putting up 7-8 WAR seasons is behind him. It is more likely that he losses money by waiting a year. He also strikes me as the kind of guy that just wants to get paid and go play somewhere, he wants to get paid but I suspect whoever is the highest bidder this year will be enough for him to take the long term deal.
  6. Hugh2
    Sasaki to either LAD or SDP seems like a forgone conclusion at this point. With spring training coming up on us fast, we should expect to hear something on Scott/Bregman/Arenado and others soon enough. I get the sense the Sox are waiting for the price to come down on Bregman, as Detroit is not signing him either I wonder if Bregman prefers Boston but is waiting on the Tigers to up their offer. If they bite, and Bregman is gone I think the Sox pivot to Arenado. Honestly, as much as we need a RHB, I'd be content if they just sign Scott but I'm most certainly prefer Bregman over Arenado at this point.
  7. Hugh2
    Fair, I was just saying they both make them incomparable.
  8. Hugh2
    Glasnow was also extended at 30 years old with one year of team control left, while Crochet will be extended at 26 years old with 2 years of team control left. It's not apples to apples.
  9. Hugh2
    You know it's funny, I find the statement that there's truth in numbers and crowds are idiots both somehow tend to be true. I remember one time reading a book on probability that talked about test in which they took the average of "guess how many pennies are in the penny jar" from schools all across America. What they found, is by large that the average of everyone's guesses was almost always closer to the exact number than any individual guess. I've actually tried this in my mind trying to predict some FA signings in the past and it's bared some fruit. Point is. If that logic were to hold true here, Crochet is probably going to get an extension in years between 5-8 million in the $25-$28 AAV range. I understand that the aggregate of a dozen or so posters isn't probably anywhere close to an appropriate sample size yet that range still feels right.
  10. Hugh2
    It only has to be good enough to make him happy enough to get some money today rather than risk all the bad things that can happen in two years. If the offer isn’t tantalizing enough then he will just wait and have 29 other teams negotiating with him.
  11. Hugh2
    Spencer Striders extension bought out 5 years of team control vs 2. That’s a HUGE difference. also, with baseball inflation around 10% the last several years signing that today would be like getting a $90 million extension. That buys out 5 years of control. Sox are only buying out 2 here. you don’t want to go big on free agency, that’s a risk you’re unwilling to take, well this is what you do if you actually want elite pitching talent on your team.
  12. Hugh2
    I don’t think $170 is insane, depending on the years. I threw my hat in the ring with $160/6
  13. Hugh2
    Crochet certainly is unique and gifted, but Yamamoto had 30 teams bidding on him because he was a free agent. Free agents don’t make good comps for extensions.
  14. Hugh2
    I’d pay $3 dollars for Alonso sure
  15. Hugh2
    He’s going to get closer to Dorian Soto money than he is Juan Soto.
  16. Hugh2
    Arenado over Bregman makes zero sense unless the Cardinals take back Yoshida. it makes zero sense for St. Louis to trade Arenado and take on Yoshida salary if they’re trying to shed payroll. just sign Bregman, or stick with what you got and pivot to the bullpen.
  17. Hugh2
    Those are ALL FREE AGENT contracts. None of those guys have to risk staying healthy for two years and they all had longer track records than Crochett. A lot can happen in that time frame. Those are total apple to oranges comparisons.
  18. Hugh2
    Nick Pivetta probably ends up in Toronto.
  19. Hugh2
    I forget, somewhere around 3/60
  20. Hugh2
    Oh no, I was talking about my offer.
  21. Hugh2
    I love these arguments because the numbers thrown out here are going to vary wildly. I'll be interested to see how close my 6/150 is. I was the only person on earth who predicted Xander Bogaerts would get well over 200 million, then again, I also predicted $75 million for Verdugo (hangs head in shame). Remember when Juan Soto turned down a record $440 million and everyone called him crazy? not such a crazy decision now.
  22. Hugh2
    He might take less than that, he might laugh at that offer. He'd certainly get much more if he has a good 25'. The thing about Crochet, is he's young and you're paying for his 20's. Sometimes you have to swing, and if the Sox believe in him I say make the investment.
  23. Hugh2
    If Crochet repeats last year, his price tag doubles. I'd offer 6/150, not opt outs and see if he bites.
  24. Hugh2
    A 5-6 year extension is most likely. 99% of people here are going to either call it an over pay, or an underpay.
  25. Hugh2
    This is also true, it's kind of a conundrum. Steroids' are both an injury risk and have preventative properties as well. Steroids' are a blanket term, there's a lot of different types that have different benefits and adverse affects. More so if you want to throw a blanket term around like PED's. The human body is at an increased risk of injury when one is tired. When a muscle is fatigued, other parts of the body overcompensate which can lead to imbalances and overloads that result in an acute injury. Steroids' allow for rapid healing that can prevent this. But on the other hand....as you said, they can also lead to weakening of the bones because they can decrease the amount of Vitamin D and Calcium that is absorbed into the bones.
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