Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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Ok time to go stupid stupid crazy fantasy: Here is a trade ideal: Red Sox Get Nick Lodolo, Ketel Marte, & Noevli Marte Reds Get: Marcelo Mayer & Yordanny Monegro Diamondbacks get: Jarren Duran/Tyson Lewis. Sox Turn around and trade with the Twins Twins get: Connelly Early/Wilyer Abreu Red Sox get: Joe Ryan. Starting Rotation: Crochet/Ryan/Lodolo/Bello/Crawford Line up: C. Narvaez 1B. Alonso 2B. Marte SS. Story 3B Okamoto LF. Noevli Marte/Garcia CF. Rafaela RF Anthony DH. Yoshida/Casas That's a team that can compete for a pennant
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
Hugh2 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Well those are the exact types of things that make them sleeper picks. No one has seen Neely yet, he could be dude and not really move up at all, but if he looks like he's close to being a guy he could shoot up really quick in the rankings. -
A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
Hugh2 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I'm not the biggest guy on the Sandy Alcantara boat, but that statcast page is very misleading. I'd love to know how much red we'd see over blue if we saw the second half of his season. -
A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
Hugh2 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
My top 3 sleeper picks to take a leap in the rankings: Marcus Phillips - hits 100 MPH, I'd love to see what the Sox can get cooking with him in his first full season. He could be next years Payton Tolle. Low usage in college, get him into a pro system and watch him shoot up our rankings and get on the national radar. Sadbiel Delzine - only 17 years old, and will get his first season of stateside pro ball next year so more eyes will be on him and if the talent is there he could really fire up the rankings Brandon Neely - another pitcher to round out the list. Neely was our 3rd round pick last year right after Payton Tolle and before Brandon Clarke. received $700K in bonus money which is the most the Sox had spent on a pitcher in the draft since 2017, other than Tolle who they drafted just a day earlier. He was hurt and has yet to pitch, but we will see him next year. He's someone who could really shoot up the rankings sitting all the way down at #46. -
The voting is at 50/50 with ONE day left to go!
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Well, why are you assuming Casas starts the year in Boston? he very well may need a month in WOO anyways so it may work out great. I haven't 100% eliminated the possibility that they move on from Yoshida at some point next year.
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He would offer signifcantly more upside at DH than Yoshida does, and is a natural back up if Alonso goes down or falls off a cliff.
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WHo said he was going to banished? I think most people assume in the absence of a move he's the 1B. A lot of people want Alonso or someone else in which case he has a nice spot at DH if he can come back and hit.
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ADD: that's already counted in his career war. 20-2.2
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I'm not discounting his potential, I just don't think he belongs in the same universe as Bichette. Let him stay healthy for a few years and do more than have a few good months then we can talk. Trust me, I hope he gets there, but it's an odd comparision right now.
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I find it odd comparing Casas to Bichette and putting Casas in the same sentence as Anthony. I like Casas, I really do, I hope he's a legit middle of the order bat and finally stays healthy. But he's literally never given us much more than 1/2 a season.
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Bichette is two years older but has played in almost 500 more games. He's also put up career WAR of 20 compared to Casas 2.2 Bichette has played the full season 3 out of the 4 years and still managed more games than Casas has in 75% of his MLB career in 2024. I'd be much more concerned with Casas than Bichette
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Tristan Casas wouldn't surprise me if he puts up 0 WAR, geats healthy hits like a middle of the order bat and puts up a 4+ WAR, or never plays in a Sox uniform again. I don't think anyone can count on Casas for anything right now, but he's a real wildcard for 2026.
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omg you were making joke weren't you. *sigh* slams head into desk
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Agreed. That's just the arbitrary number I picked as an over/under. Trying to get a pulse of how people think the Sox will spend in here.
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Why?
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It's kind of funny that Bogaerts and Lester were brought up. Because what did the Sox do afterwards. Lester - literally the next season they signed David Price to a record contract. Bogaerts - literally the same season they lost him they signed Devers to a record extension. Not agreeing with or dismissing anyones point....just found that interesting.
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that 246 is a hard number for LT purposes. They will, at a bare minimum pay tax on $2 million dollars. I think it will be even higher than that.
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I'm just saying in a vacuum the team will grow with what they have. That is not anagolous with saying we should or will.
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I don't either, I want the team to make moves. I'm just saying even with the roster they have I largely expect better play from the youth movement.
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PEOPLE. Don't let any of this distract you from the fact that the 2026 Boston Red Sox will cross and go above the luxury tax threshold and that number will in fact sit ABOVE $246 million dollars.
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Ryan would clearly be an improvement for the rotation. Bregman would be status quo. So you either believe young talented guys take a step forward, or they do not. I don't think there's a right or wrong answer here, but I do believe thinking that guys like Mayer and Anthony can't add substantially more value in 2026 than they did in 2025 is a pessimistic take. Not that there's anything wrong with that, it's not like the Sox haven't given us reason to be so in years past. But I put that on the FO not the players, I believe in a lot of these young guys. I believe in them a lot more if they do MORE than just add Ryan and Bregman back.
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I mean I thought in my original statement we included adding Bregman back and Ryan. You took out Bregman, I think, regardless I went along with it so that's on me too. But even then I think the team does get better. I'll roll with that. Bregman gave us what? 3.5 and Devers 2.0? so that's 5.5 we are losing but Joe Ryan would have added 3.1 last year. so we lose 2.4 WAR Do we think the collective of Crochet/Bello/Narvaez/Casas/Mayer/Anthony/Rafaela/Duran/Abreu/Campbell/Tolle/EARLY and others on the way are going to better worse or the same as last year? Anticipating that list of stars combined with youth couldnt cross the threshold of 2.4 WAR is a very pessimistic take in my opinion. Literally just Mayer or just Anthony might do that.
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I don't think we "stand still" but adding Ryan ISN'T standing still and yes I assume some of the young guys will take a step forward. I believe in ROmany Anthony and the others. I can't predict the future, neither can you. Comparing us the Orioles? I suppose that's fair. A lot of these guys could go in the opposite direction and take steps backwards. But I think that would be 100% on brand with my comment when I said that would be a "a very pessimistic take"
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Ryan is a clear improvment in the rotation. A team that is flush with young talent, top prospects coming into their own is a good bet to provide more value this year. Is Roman Anthony 2026 not going to be better than 2025 Roman Antony, is 2026 Marcelo Mayer not going to be better than 2025 Mayer? what about Rafaela/Abreu/Duran/Narvaez? are those guys going to regress or take steps forward? What if Casas is healthy? heck, even Bregman who missed some time could conceivably be a whole WIN more valuable in 2026 if he plays a full season. The opinion that if we resign Bregman and add Ryan we have not improved is a very pessimistic take.