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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    Crazy offseason move ideal of the week. Two Trades. Trade 1. Tristan Casas and Kutter Crawford to St. Louis for Brendan Donavan to play 3B. Trade 2. Jarren Duran and Payton Tolle to KC for Cole Ragans. Sox sign Japanese FA Kazuma Okamoto to play 1B Offense. 3B Brendan Donovan LF Roman Anthony SS Trevor Story RF Wilyer Abreu 1B Kazuma Okamoto 2B Marcelo Mayer DH Masataka Yoshida CF Ceddane Rafaela C Carlos Narvez. Bench: Wong/Garcia/Romy/Eaten Rotation: Garrett Crochet Cole Ragans Sonny Gray Brayan Bello Patrick Sandoval Why there is a greater than 0% chance of this happening???? It involves the Red Sox staying under the luxury tax.
  2. Hugh2
    Fitts had severely fallen on the depth chart, and while Clarke is e there is a ton of reliever risk in him. Sox have a lot of guys above him, he was trade bait at the deadline last year too. as someone who didn’t initially like this trade m, I’ve come around on it after doing my homework
  3. Hugh2
    Gray was 17th in all of baseball pitchers in War last year. over the last 2 he’s 10th. hes certainly not the “co ace” we all hoped for, or perhaps a #2 you’d be happy with on a World Series contending team. But he’s definitively better than just a #3 and he’s being underrated by many in here. it is what it is I suppose
  4. Hugh2
    He’s coming off TJ and one year younger than Gray. We have no ideal what he will look like when he comes back, which might be mid 2026. Unlike Gray, he heavily relies on his fastball so if the velocity comes back then he might be fine but if not…he’s cooked.
  5. Hugh2
    I think you can put Sonny ahead of Schittler and Bello and probably even Rodom at this point. Rodon last 2 years Fwar = 4.8, Gray = 7.4 you also mentioned very young g talent with very little MLB experience on other teams like Schittler and Yesavage and don’t list guys like Tolle and Early, who have big ceilings of being #2 and could be consistent contributors by seasons end. FWIW if we go by 2026 projections Crochet: 5.6 Sonny Gray: 3.9 Dylan Cease: 3.8 Max Fried 3.6
  6. Hugh2
    You assume that “how good” a player is alone dictates value? Or maybe not but whether intentional or not you certainly imply it. Valdez vs. Cease is intriguing because they have almost identical value. 21 FWar to 20.5 FWar but. Cease is one full year younger, that is probably why he ends up paid slightly more. if Cease can get 7/210 6/175 is a pretty good asking price for camp Valdez
  7. Hugh2
    I mean Crochet had an elite elite season. There’s an insanely small group of pitchers on earth that are close to Crochet.
  8. Hugh2
    Dude struck out 200 batters the last two years in a row, how many guys can say that? he still has elite swing and miss and some of the best breaking stuff in the entire game. it’s one thing to expect the moon (no pun intended) and hate it because it’s not Skubal, but it’s another entirely different thing to try and poo poo the trade and convince everyone else Gray sucks. Gray is our second best pitcher.
  9. Hugh2
    I’m not sold on the narrative that Gray couldn’t pitch in NY, but I don’t think we should ignore it either. i forgot where I read this, but someone was pointing out how Sonny should pitch well in Fenway, he gets hit to CF/RCF but rarely gets pulled down the line. This should play out well with the pesky poll and monster and spacious centerfield This seems to be back up by Sonny Grays impressive 6.84 ERA and 1.82 WHIP at Fenway park.
  10. Hugh2
    Yeah no that’s fine, I’d you’re trading one of your outfielders and adding a big bat on the infield he’s fine at DH. Not prototypical but he’s not a bad hitter and by no means a black hole in the lineup. Doesn’t strike out, makes contact, I get it.
  11. Hugh2
    Right yar
  12. Hugh2
    You literally said “the jays just signed a real #2 starting pitcher”
  13. Hugh2
    I think that is more realistic, I was going to say something similar. If they spend big on Bregman or Bichette they’re probably going cheaper with Okamoto instead of Alonso at first. that is still going to put them somewhere around the second LT line give or take.
  14. Hugh2
    I’ve generally been in favor of moving guys around and exposing them to other roles and developing versatility. but I think you’re right, that’s just not for everyone. Some guys need more continuity, I’m rooting for the kid, but I kind of wish the Sox realized that about him before dishing out the money
  15. Hugh2
    However, I still think the Sox could do that and be below the third threshold, where the penalties are the harshest. AND we have to remember the Red Sox have said time and time again they would spend when they thought the time was right. you have to consider that their actual CASH payroll is about $40 -$50 million less than the LT payroll. so while that hypothetical might be excessive i think people should accept that the team could spend more in LT dollars than they have in years. if you don’t believe that, then sitting at $220-$223 you have to pretty much believe this team is done adding.
  16. Hugh2
    They’re at 220, but going off of Moons hypothetical. Subtracting Harris/Hicks/Duran and adding Marte/Lodolo increases payroll by 3.4 million Bregman/Brochette/Alonso projected contracts all apps $30 AAV so that’s adding -+ $63 million and that increases payroll to……oh yeah about 280 I guess you guys are right.
  17. Hugh2
    I’m not in the slightest was suggesting Yoshida is a DFA candidate but that’s. 1.143 OPS in 7 plate appearances 7….with 0 XBH
  18. Hugh2
    These facts don’t happen to be….undisputed by any chance do they???
  19. Hugh2
    For someone who has been dying on the hill of the stats are what they are, he seems weirdly in favor of a guy who had worse stats last year.….…. …… …… and cost $210 million instead of $20
  20. Hugh2
    Not saying that this is realistic, but I think you might be overshooting it by 20 million. they would certainly be below the 3rd threshold where they start to lose draft picks. One I don’t think Henry’s too ever go over. But he’s gone over the second threshold before
  21. Hugh2
    I’m truly thankful, to have such horrible takes to laugh my arse off. good luck making sense of Duran not in CF at Fenway next year.
  22. Hugh2
    I mean, isn’t 18 or predicting he will hit less than he has recently (besides one half injury season) kind of a maybe issue in of itself?
  23. Hugh2
    Nothing, absolutely nothing is basic.
  24. Hugh2
    As in…..almost a #1?
  25. Hugh2
    Gray is an upgrade over Gio in pretty much every sense. Unless Gray completely falls off a cliff he’s likely better than Gio. Gray doesn’t rely on velocity to get guys out, he has the profile that ages. I still don’t like it at 37, and he can still fall off a cliff but it’s guys with his profile that last a little longer
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