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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    That's funny, I own that book and I literally just looked at it last night as I was putting "The Panic of 1907" back on the shelf. Seems like me and you have a simliar interest in books.
  2. Hugh2
    Your opinion is well shared me thinks. That's also one of my favorite lines of all time "the smartest guys in the room" also a great book about the all the "smarties" who ran ENRON into the ground.
  3. Hugh2
    I'd have less of a problem with it if Henry zagged again.....but lately it just feels like he's doubling down.
  4. Hugh2
    Obviously there are many other factors at play, I was trying to avoid a larger in depth conversation at which we could go at ALL day when it's entirely un-neccesary. Apparently I was replying to a point that wasn't even being made and that's ok those things happen. And I'm not a proprietor, we are a coporation I just own 51% of the stock with the rest in the treasury. I'm a finance guy. "deep pockets" means nothing, I want to see financial statements. My personal wealth isn't connected to my business but I did pump some capital into here back during COVID, but I took out a loan against it.....and that was reflected in my financials. But still, the financial advantage the dodgers have over the Red Sox is being entirely pumped into their payroll for the time being.
  5. Hugh2
    I found an old tweet from November, obvioulsy teams have added/subtracted so it's not 100% accurate but the NYY are #1 with 25.4 position player WAR. If they subtracted Aaron Judges proction they would slip to 19/20th If they subtracted his 2025 WAR they slip to 23rd, right behind the Sox at 22. Who I'm sure have taken a small step forward after adding Contreras. My point is.....one signing can heavily sway those projections.
  6. Hugh2
    Exactly in line with MLBtraderumors projections.
  7. Hugh2
    Me as well. Henry always seems to Zig when others Zag, and it's worked in the past. But I do think you leave the door open to FAIL miserably with that philosophy. Which is what I think has happened 2020-2024.
  8. Hugh2
    "It would certainly be nice to have the Dodgers wealth to put into development and international scouting." We do....that was and is my only point.
  9. Hugh2
    I'm not cheering for them on this, I wish they spent even more on it. Into both personel and "THE MACHINES" I'm not sure the A's are comparision. Boston could spend a lot more if they wanted too, as they have a more favorable market.
  10. Hugh2
    I would do signature line bets around here. I am a man of your word
  11. Hugh2
    The numbers are what the numbers are. And as I said, the Soix reliance on computer models over scouting is a philosophical move, if it is $$$$ based, it's not because they have to, it's because they chose to. If me and you each have $100 and you save $50 but I save $75 I don't have the capacity to saving more money than you......I'm just chosing to do so.
  12. Hugh2
    I literally run a business, TWO actually with an accounting base degree. It's not overaly complicated. If I make $100, and you make $50 But you spend $10 on payroll and I spend $75 Then you have $15 more left over than me. As I said before, the extra revenue LAD spends is less than the excess amount the spend on payroll and taxes. This means THEY DO NOT have more cash flow to spend on scouting and development than the Red Sox.
  13. Hugh2
    No it doesn't and perhaps I need to go back further more and read to understand. But the numbers are what they're so as of right now, the gap between Boston and LAD's revenue is smaller than the gap between their payroll expenses. What LA spends on MLB talent completley wipes out the $$ advantage they would have over the Red Sox and a few other teams towards the top of the revenue stream. Personally I think the Red Sox should be a scouting/analytics machine $$$
  14. Hugh2
    Full disclosure, I didn't actually bet any money. I thought I could will something into existence.
  15. Hugh2
    A lot of that was philosophical in my opinion. It's not that they don't value scouting, they just put more weight behind their models, computers, ai etc etc.
  16. Hugh2
    Boston has zero excuse for not spending as much as any other team on development and scouting. Pay roll is a different story.
  17. Hugh2
    I don't really care where its' coming from. I mean I do, but it's just irelevant to the bottom line of this topic. At the end of the day revenue is revenue and if the Mets generate have less money than the red sox (after adjusting for payroll expenses) then the Sox have more cash. Now I was looking at 2024, but I wouldn't expect things to be much different for 2025.
  18. Hugh2
    I do remember reading teams projected war by Steamer and Boston was towards the top for pitching, but they were not at the bottom for hitting, after adding contreras they are about middle ground. But you can only project with the guys you have on the roster, the Sox since I read those projections have added Contreras, and if they add Bregman or Bichette they're likely shooting up those rankings into the top ten. absence of some very bad luck, one more good signing in the infield should make this a very good team. Not without flaws, but very good.
  19. Hugh2
    I haven't seen 2025 numbers yet, but in 2024 the LAD had $174 million more in revenue than the Boston Red Sox. But LAD spent $307 million more on payroll and tax than Boston did. The Red Sox actually had more operating income than LAD. LAD brings in more money, but they spend MORE than that amount on payroll alone, which means hypothetically they have actually less money than Boston. Now I'm just looking at 2024, and not other years, but I'd expect recent history to be similiar and my point is this. The Red Sox have all the wealth and more to put just as much resources in the development and interanational scouting that the LAD do. Actually, given their reluctance to go over the higher luxury tax limits I'd say they're in a position to be spending more than LAD right now.
  20. Hugh2
    Well some fans doesn't make it real, I could blame Garrett Crochet for the Red Sox not signing any other players because they pay him too much. Doesn't make it true, even so....while he's paid...it's not a mammath contract by any means. Any time you can have a 6 WAR player taking up less than 10% of your payroll.....that's a win.
  21. Hugh2
    He's 18, and I'm sure they got him in their bat speed program. It will be interesting to see how he progresses. I feel like he could be one of those guys that pops once he reaches Greenville.
  22. Hugh2
    Bogaerts and Machado are a much larger part of the issue. Tatis is 6 years younger than both those guys, making $24 million a year aav. He's far from the issue. After Jackson Merrill he's their most valuable asset.
  23. Hugh2
    Frazier is going to 28 in just a few days, he's a depth option.
  24. Hugh2
    I'm placing my bets, Bregman will sign today with Boston for 5/$125
  25. Hugh2
    That might be the early projection for when he could start throwing off a mound again this year but he probably wouldn't be ready for games until a few more months after that. If he's going to return to form or possibly even get better, I wouldn't expect him to be that guy until sometime around 2027/28, The next 2/year project pitcher contract guy might be in our very own back yard.
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