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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    He’s coming off TJ and one year younger than Gray. We have no ideal what he will look like when he comes back, which might be mid 2026. Unlike Gray, he heavily relies on his fastball so if the velocity comes back then he might be fine but if not…he’s cooked.
  2. Hugh2
    I think you can put Sonny ahead of Schittler and Bello and probably even Rodom at this point. Rodon last 2 years Fwar = 4.8, Gray = 7.4 you also mentioned very young g talent with very little MLB experience on other teams like Schittler and Yesavage and don’t list guys like Tolle and Early, who have big ceilings of being #2 and could be consistent contributors by seasons end. FWIW if we go by 2026 projections Crochet: 5.6 Sonny Gray: 3.9 Dylan Cease: 3.8 Max Fried 3.6
  3. Hugh2
    You assume that “how good” a player is alone dictates value? Or maybe not but whether intentional or not you certainly imply it. Valdez vs. Cease is intriguing because they have almost identical value. 21 FWar to 20.5 FWar but. Cease is one full year younger, that is probably why he ends up paid slightly more. if Cease can get 7/210 6/175 is a pretty good asking price for camp Valdez
  4. Hugh2
    I mean Crochet had an elite elite season. There’s an insanely small group of pitchers on earth that are close to Crochet.
  5. Hugh2
    Dude struck out 200 batters the last two years in a row, how many guys can say that? he still has elite swing and miss and some of the best breaking stuff in the entire game. it’s one thing to expect the moon (no pun intended) and hate it because it’s not Skubal, but it’s another entirely different thing to try and poo poo the trade and convince everyone else Gray sucks. Gray is our second best pitcher.
  6. Hugh2
    I’m not sold on the narrative that Gray couldn’t pitch in NY, but I don’t think we should ignore it either. i forgot where I read this, but someone was pointing out how Sonny should pitch well in Fenway, he gets hit to CF/RCF but rarely gets pulled down the line. This should play out well with the pesky poll and monster and spacious centerfield This seems to be back up by Sonny Grays impressive 6.84 ERA and 1.82 WHIP at Fenway park.
  7. Hugh2
    Yeah no that’s fine, I’d you’re trading one of your outfielders and adding a big bat on the infield he’s fine at DH. Not prototypical but he’s not a bad hitter and by no means a black hole in the lineup. Doesn’t strike out, makes contact, I get it.
  8. Hugh2
    Right yar
  9. Hugh2
    You literally said “the jays just signed a real #2 starting pitcher”
  10. Hugh2
    I think that is more realistic, I was going to say something similar. If they spend big on Bregman or Bichette they’re probably going cheaper with Okamoto instead of Alonso at first. that is still going to put them somewhere around the second LT line give or take.
  11. Hugh2
    I’ve generally been in favor of moving guys around and exposing them to other roles and developing versatility. but I think you’re right, that’s just not for everyone. Some guys need more continuity, I’m rooting for the kid, but I kind of wish the Sox realized that about him before dishing out the money
  12. Hugh2
    However, I still think the Sox could do that and be below the third threshold, where the penalties are the harshest. AND we have to remember the Red Sox have said time and time again they would spend when they thought the time was right. you have to consider that their actual CASH payroll is about $40 -$50 million less than the LT payroll. so while that hypothetical might be excessive i think people should accept that the team could spend more in LT dollars than they have in years. if you don’t believe that, then sitting at $220-$223 you have to pretty much believe this team is done adding.
  13. Hugh2
    They’re at 220, but going off of Moons hypothetical. Subtracting Harris/Hicks/Duran and adding Marte/Lodolo increases payroll by 3.4 million Bregman/Brochette/Alonso projected contracts all apps $30 AAV so that’s adding -+ $63 million and that increases payroll to……oh yeah about 280 I guess you guys are right.
  14. Hugh2
    I’m not in the slightest was suggesting Yoshida is a DFA candidate but that’s. 1.143 OPS in 7 plate appearances 7….with 0 XBH
  15. Hugh2
    These facts don’t happen to be….undisputed by any chance do they???
  16. Hugh2
    For someone who has been dying on the hill of the stats are what they are, he seems weirdly in favor of a guy who had worse stats last year.….…. …… …… and cost $210 million instead of $20
  17. Hugh2
    Not saying that this is realistic, but I think you might be overshooting it by 20 million. they would certainly be below the 3rd threshold where they start to lose draft picks. One I don’t think Henry’s too ever go over. But he’s gone over the second threshold before
  18. Hugh2
    I’m truly thankful, to have such horrible takes to laugh my arse off. good luck making sense of Duran not in CF at Fenway next year.
  19. Hugh2
    I mean, isn’t 18 or predicting he will hit less than he has recently (besides one half injury season) kind of a maybe issue in of itself?
  20. Hugh2
    Nothing, absolutely nothing is basic.
  21. Hugh2
    As in…..almost a #1?
  22. Hugh2
    Gray is an upgrade over Gio in pretty much every sense. Unless Gray completely falls off a cliff he’s likely better than Gio. Gray doesn’t rely on velocity to get guys out, he has the profile that ages. I still don’t like it at 37, and he can still fall off a cliff but it’s guys with his profile that last a little longer
  23. Hugh2
    I don’t know what they will do. I’m not going to complain about one move that does in fact make us better when I have zero ideal how the rest of the season will play out.
  24. Hugh2
    Gary is an upgrade over Gio too. And if he’s “replacing Gio” then that means they’re adding another pitcher
  25. Hugh2
    I could say that about his FWAR. His xFIP his k/9 his bb/9. All suggest a big upgrade. the numbers are the numbers
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