harmony
-
Posts
6,313 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Boston Red Sox Videos
2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking
Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
News
2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by harmony
-
From where should your numbers be pulled?
-
Read up: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/background/ https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/history/ https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-major-leaguers/ https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-minor-leaguers/ Baseball Trade Values does quantitatively what we for years have tried to do qualitatively. BTV is not the final word but it's a good place to start the discussion. Or not.
-
??? The automated Baseball Trade Values calculation concluded the Yankees made a "major overpay" in the trade.
-
Steamer and ZiPS project Jameson Taillon with 2021 WAR of 1.8 and 1.6. Extrapolated, the Yankees may get 3.5 WAR from two years of Taillon. Or not. The issue is whether the four distant prospects -- ages 18, 21, 21 and 22 -- will ever combine for more than WAR than Taillon tallies in two years. Given prospect attrition, chances are at least two or three of the prospects will never post a positive WAR. But the hypothetical threshold of 3.5 WAR is attainable if only one prospect has an MLB career of at least four years. Every transaction carries risks on each side. The Pirates spread their risk across four prospects while the Yankees concentrated their risk on two years of a 29-year-old pitcher coming off two Tommy John surgeries. Let's hope the trade meets the contrasting needs of each club.
-
https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-39110/
-
Did Xander Bogaerts, Jurickson Profar's teammate on The Netherlands' World Baseball Classic team in 2017, have any influence on Profar's decision? Netherlands' roster announced for 2017 WBC WWW.MLB.COM The World Baseball Classic is just around the corner, and we now know which players will be taking the field as part of the international tournament. The rosters for the 16 competing nations were unveiled Wednesday evening on MLB Network.The Netherlands team boasts a loaded infield with five big leaguers, https://www.google.com/maps/place/Curacao/@12.169359,-69.6851845,9z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m5!3m4!1s0x8e849dca0d03000b:0x6fe4811f5861c52b!8m2!3d12.1224221!4d-68.8824233
-
Thank you for the clarification. Because of the present-value calculation, the deferred money reportedly reduces Chris Sale's AAV about 15 percent (from $29 million to $25.6 million). A 15 percent reduction would drop Kike Hernandez's AAV from $7 million to about $6 million.
-
Rick Porcello. Seriously.
-
The Yankees reportedly are the frontrunners for Jameson Taillon:
-
Nathan Eovaldi isn't far behind with a $17 million annual salary.
-
From the San Diego Union-Tribune's Kevin Acee: "Another source said Profar’s choices had been narrowed to the Padres and Red Sox before he made the decision to return to San Diego." https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/padres/story/2021-01-22/padres-jurickson-profar-free-agent
-
jacksonianmarch nails it.
-
One or two years of Christian Vazquez probably does not fit within Pittsburgh's dreamed-for competitive window. The Pirates would likely target the top prospects in a pedestrian Red Sox farm system. Too steep a price. Or not.
-
The deferred money should not impact the luxury tax calculation. It's the guaranteed money divided by the guaranteed years (adjusted later if options are exercised).
-
MLB Trade Rumors churns out trade rumors about Pittsburgh righthander Jameson Taillon, an occasional target of forum posters: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/01/could-jameson-taillon-be-the-next-pirates-player-on-the-block.html#respond A trade of outfielder Gilberto Jimenez and righthanders Bryan Mata and Ryan Zeferjahn for Taillon, second baseman Adam Frazier and reliever Richard Rodriguez would be perfectly balanced, according to Baseball Trade Values. Those Red Sox prospects are precisely the types the Pirates would target ... and precisely the prospects the Red Sox can ill-afford to lose as the Sox restock the farm system. On the plus side, Taillon, Frazer and Rodriguez are projected to earn only a combined $7 million this year.
-
Salaries rarely drop in arbitration. Andrew Benintendi will be working off his 2021 salary of $6.6 million when he enters his final year of team control in 2022. A modest salary increase to $7.4 million -- a low-end hike of about 12 percent -- would bring Benintendi up to Kiki Hernandez's two-year total of $14 million. Despite a disappointing 2020 season, outfielder Kyle Schwarber was projected to earn between $7.01 million and $9.3 million in his final arbitration season working off his 2020 salary of $7.01 million. Of course Schwarber was non-tendered and signed for one year at $10 million.
-
Steamer and ZiPS project Andrew Benintendi with 2021 WAR of 1.5 in 134 games and 1.5 in 135 games while projecting Kiki Hernandez with 2021 WAR of 0.8 in 89 games and 1.2 in 89 games. Hernandez is guaranteed $14 million over two years while Benintendi, with a 2021 salary of $6.6 million, is likely to equal or top that over two years unless he is non-tendered.
-
Too late ... the Red Sox to sign Garrett Richards: One year, $10 million with a team option for 2022:
-
Enrique Hernandez, who posted 3.2 fWAR and 3.3 bWAR in 2018, stroked a two-run homer off Red Sox reliever Craig Kimbrel in the ninth inning of Game 4 of the 2018 World Series: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN201810270.shtml
-
Comp time! 32-year-old Garrett Richards is a 6-foot-2, 210-pound righthander taken out of college in the first round of the 2009 draft while 30-year-old Jake Odorizzi is a 6-foot-2, 190-pound righthander taken out of high school in the first round of the 2008 draft. Their career stats: GR DOB 5-27-88 187 G, 128 GS, 804.2 IP, 3.62 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 106 ERA+, 8.6 bWAR, 12.1 fWAR JO DOB 3-27-90 195 G, 192 GA, 1042.1 IP, 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 105 ERA+, 12.5 bWAR, 13.5 fWAR Their 2020 stats: GR 14 G, 10 GS, 51.1 IP, 4.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 106 ERA+, 1.0 bWAR, 0.7 fWAR JO 4 G, 4 GS, 13.2 IP, 6.59 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 68 ERA+, -0.2 bWAR, 0.0 fWAR Steamer and ZiPS project Richards with 2021 WAR of 1.6 in 139 innings and 1.1 in 70.1 innings while projecting Odorizzi with 2021 WAR of 1.7 in 149 innings and 1.8 in 119.2 innings. MLB Trade Rumors predicts a two-year, $16 million contract for Richards and a three-year, $39 million contract for Odorizzi.
-
Then perhaps it's time for the Red Sox to turn to the dependable Rick Porcello. What durable free agent starter will fit into the Red Sox budget?
-
Who can resist a fun comp? 32-year-old Garrett Richards is a 6-foot-2, 210-pound righthander taken out of college in the first round of the 2009 draft while 30-year-old Nathan Eovaldi is a 6-foot-2, 217-pound righthander taken out of high school in the 11th round of the 2008 draft. Their career stats: GR DOB 5-27-88 187 G, 128 GS, 804.2 IP, 3.62 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 106 ERA+, 8.6 bWAR, 12.1 fWAR NE DOB 1-13-90 188 G, 169 GA, 966.0 IP, 4.27 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 96 ERA+, 10.7 bWAR, 12.9 fWAR Their 2020 stats: GR 14 G, 10 GS, 51.1 IP, 4.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 106 ERA+, 1.0 bWAR, 0.7 fWAR NE 9 G, 9 GS, 48.1 IP, 3.72 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 126 ERA+, 1.3 bWAR, 0.9 fWAR Steamer and ZiPS project Richards with 2021 WAR of 1.6 in 139 innings and 1.1 in 70.1 innings while projecting Eovaldi with 2021 WAR of 2.4 in 149 innings and 1.2 in 90 innings. MLB Trade Rumors predicts a two-year, $16 million contract for Richards while Eovaldi is owed $34 million over the next two seasons.
-
FWIW Garrett Richards tossed more innings than Nathan Eovaldi in 2020. Martin Perez was the only Red Sox pitcher who tossed more innings than Richards last year. An update: https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2021/01/boston-red-sox-garrett-richards-have-momentum-toward-deal-talks-with-free-agent-starter-evolving-though-other-teams-remain-involved.html
-
From Thursday's chat with FanGraphs columnist Dan Szymborski: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/dan-szymborski-fangraphs-chat-1-12-21/
-
The Red Sox reportedly are in "active discussions" with veteran righthander Garrett Richards: