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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Thank you for the correction.
  2. Back in November free agents Kolten Wong and Taijuan Walker were part of one poster's offseason plan for the Seattle Mariners: https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2020/11/15/21566234/harmonys-offseason-plan Targeted free agents Chris Archer, Keone Kela, Jake McGee and Jake Lamb also remain available.
  3. Liam Hendriks got four years: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/01/white-sox-to-sign-liam-hendriks.html
  4. Maybe the Red Sox did ... or even offered Jon Lester more. Or not.
  5. Pardon the typo: Garrett Richards turns 33 years old this season.
  6. The same can be said of Garrett Richards, who turns 33, and Chris Sale, who turns 32. Not to mention J.D. Martinez, who turns 34.
  7. Hyun Jin Ryu has posted 16.9 fWAR in 807 career MLB innings, including 6.6 fWAR over the past two seasons. Nathan Eovaldi has posted 12.9 fWAR in 966 career innings, including 0.7 over the past two seasons. Garrett Richards has posted 12.1 fWAR in 804.2 career innings, including 0.7 over the past two seasons. Steamer and ZiPS project 2021 WAR of 2.9 and 3.0 for Ryu, 2.5 and 1.2 for Eovaldi and 1.5 and 1.1 for Richards. Ryu has made 41 starts over the past two seasons; only 26 pitchers have made more starts.
  8. FanGraphs Depth Charts project 2021 starting pitching WAR of 12.9 for the Blue Jays and 12.6 for the Red Sox (including 2.6 from Chris Sale): https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=14#SP https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=3#SP
  9. With the shift of Adam Ottavino's 2021 salary, Cot's Baseball Contracts now projects 2021 40-man CB payrolls of $201,961,667 for the Red Sox and $199,071,623 for the Yankees. So the Sox edged closer to the luxury tax threshold while the Yankees retreated. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WWRsQNsGZkWuJZwlY8--xVBXMJGjh230D45KiHTHuvY/edit#gid=1520401900 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hl2xgQQReB8qPSoa2YAaDcBfkw0qYeFQFizVP3m2JZs/edit#gid=1520401900
  10. Cesar Hernandez may have preferred the Cleveland vibe at any price. Or not. And Enrique Hernandez may have needed more money to come to Boston ... despite the Alex Cora connection.
  11. Lefthand-hitting free agent Joc Pederson has played most of his MLB innings in center field.
  12. Not if a pending free agent prefers to play elsewhere.
  13. Chaim Bloom thinks outside our tiny box.
  14. First trade between the rival Red Sox and Yankees since the trade deadline in 2014 when the Sox dealt infielder Stephen Drew and cash to the Yanks for infielder Kelly Johnson. Only the second trade between the two clubs in the past 23 years.
  15. Too many fans want the Red Sox to spend right up to the luxury tax threshold. The front office might want to hold back. The Sox have already spent $17 million of the reported available $30 million on Kike Hernandez and Garrett Richards. If the Sox planned to crash through the first CBT limit they probably would have set their sights higher. Or not.
  16. Steamer and ZiPS project 2021 WAR of 1.5 and 1.1 for Garrett Richards and 0.4 and 0.8 for Brad Hand. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/garrett-richards/9784/stats?position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/players/brad-hand/9111/stats?position=P
  17. We all hope Jameson Taillon fully recovers but in this MLB interview six years ago Dr. James Andrews stated: "Most studies have concluded that 70-80% of pitchers return to their previous level of competition following surgery assuming that they follow rehab protocols." Regarding a second surgery: "The rehabilitation takes longer and the success rate of return to pitching is not as good as with the first Tommy John surgery." MLB | Pitch Smart | FAQ | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM Dr. Andrews answers frequent questions related to Tommy John surgery Perhaps the recovery rates have improved. Or not. Two months ago San Diego beat reporter Kevin Acee wrote in a piece about Mike Clevinger: "Of the 42 major league pitchers who have had two Tommy John surgeries, the majority did not pitch in the majors again after their second or fared poorly over a short period. But many of those pitchers were well into their 30s at the time of the second surgery." https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/padres/story/2020-11-17/padres-second-tommy-john-surgery-mike-clevinger-nathan-eovaldi
  18. Alex Cobb is owed $15 million in 2021 (with an AAV of $14.25 million) while Anthony Santander is projected to earn between $1.7 million and $3 million. Are those the players the Red Sox want to approach the luxury tax threshold?
  19. From where should your numbers be pulled?
  20. Read up: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/background/ https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/history/ https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-major-leaguers/ https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-minor-leaguers/ Baseball Trade Values does quantitatively what we for years have tried to do qualitatively. BTV is not the final word but it's a good place to start the discussion. Or not.
  21. ??? The automated Baseball Trade Values calculation concluded the Yankees made a "major overpay" in the trade.
  22. Steamer and ZiPS project Jameson Taillon with 2021 WAR of 1.8 and 1.6. Extrapolated, the Yankees may get 3.5 WAR from two years of Taillon. Or not. The issue is whether the four distant prospects -- ages 18, 21, 21 and 22 -- will ever combine for more than WAR than Taillon tallies in two years. Given prospect attrition, chances are at least two or three of the prospects will never post a positive WAR. But the hypothetical threshold of 3.5 WAR is attainable if only one prospect has an MLB career of at least four years. Every transaction carries risks on each side. The Pirates spread their risk across four prospects while the Yankees concentrated their risk on two years of a 29-year-old pitcher coming off two Tommy John surgeries. Let's hope the trade meets the contrasting needs of each club.
  23. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-39110/
  24. Did Xander Bogaerts, Jurickson Profar's teammate on The Netherlands' World Baseball Classic team in 2017, have any influence on Profar's decision? Netherlands' roster announced for 2017 WBC WWW.MLB.COM The World Baseball Classic is just around the corner, and we now know which players will be taking the field as part of the international tournament. The rosters for the 16 competing nations were unveiled Wednesday evening on MLB Network.The Netherlands team boasts a loaded infield with five big leaguers, https://www.google.com/maps/place/Curacao/@12.169359,-69.6851845,9z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m5!3m4!1s0x8e849dca0d03000b:0x6fe4811f5861c52b!8m2!3d12.1224221!4d-68.8824233
  25. Thank you for the clarification. Because of the present-value calculation, the deferred money reportedly reduces Chris Sale's AAV about 15 percent (from $29 million to $25.6 million). A 15 percent reduction would drop Kike Hernandez's AAV from $7 million to about $6 million.
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