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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. From Ken Rosenthal at The Athletic: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5988459/2024/12/11/mlb-winter-meetings-notes-garrett-crochet-trade-red-sox/ subscription required
  2. This year the Mariners matched the Red Sox with a wRC+ of 104, including a league-leading wRC+ of 118 after August 15 when the Red Sox slumped to a wRC+ of 83. Like most teams, the Mariners and Red Sox seek to improve their hitting.
  3. Thank you for asking. Seattle remains a longshot to land Roki Sasaki but the Mariners ... 1. have a strong reputation of developing starting pitchers 2. have a solid record of maintaining the health of their starting pitchers 3. play their home games in MLB's most pitcher-friendly ballpark https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors 4. have averaged 88+ wins over the past four seasons, landing one postseason berth, twice finishing one game behind the final Wild Care berth and once finishing two games back 5. return a relatively young core with multiple years of team control, losing only the likes of Jorge Polanco, Josh Rojas and Luis Urias (plus midseason acquisitions Justin Turner and Yimi Garcia) 6. currently employ Hisashi Iwakuma as a special assignment coach and Ichiro Suzuki as a special assistant to the chairman 7. play in MLB's closest market to Japan (4,769 air miles from Tokyo)
  4. Roki Sasaki is subject to restrictions on the international bonus pool money that render the monetary bidding process meaningless. Sasaki will be under team control for six seasons, including three years at the league-minimum salary. https://www.mlb.com/news/roki-sasaki-posting-mlb
  5. The provided link rebuts your allegation:
  6. It’s not that simple. Why would Roki Sasaki sign with the Red Sox?
  7. A month ago this poster wrote that the Mariners "might consider a trade of Luis Castillo at a value higher than his BTV value" when BTV valued Castillo at a negative $30.6 million. https://talksox.com/forums/topic/88909-a-realistic-view-of-the-2025-red-sox-part-i/page/42/#comment-2984867 Please refrain from unfounded accusations.
  8. This poster is not the Seattle Mariners. Sorry. However, after today's trade of Kyle Teel, the Red Sox might be interested in Seattle farmhand Harry Ford, MLB.com's seventh-ranked catching prospect who is a year younger than Teel, the third-ranked catching prospect: https://www.mlb.com/milb/prospects/c/
  9. Only after the Mariners sign Roki Sasaki. πŸ˜€πŸ˜ƒπŸ˜
  10. Does specific evidence support those conclusions? https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179540 https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179544
  11. In a trade proposal barely 13 months ago, Baseball Trade Values assigned Garrett Crochet a negative $300,000 value: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/146753 ... before the left-hander turned in his impressive 2024 season. In the fierce competition for perhaps the top pitcher on this offseason's trade market, the winning bid likely needed to be more than the merely fair offers of other suitors. The Red Sox fared well.
  12. One source considers the trade fair: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179467
  13. Those irrelevant hypotheticals ignore the needs of each team.
  14. One debate in Seattle is whether Bryce Miller and Bryan Woo have peaked after less than two MLB seasons or whether the young, controllable right-handers have only scratched their potential.
  15. Specific examples? Feedback is welcome. This poster holds Nick Pivetta, Kutter Crawford and Brayan Bello in higher regard than many posters on this forum.
  16. Evidence to support these conclusions? Just today a post questioned whether Nate Eovaldi's signing reduced the trade value of Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo: https://talksox.com/forums/topic/89103-rumor-mariners-listening-on-offers-for-right-hander-luis-castillo/page/2/#findComment-2987897 Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear.
  17. Indeed an avid Red Sox fan's valuation of Sox players often differs from a valuation of a more objective outsider. πŸ˜ƒ
  18. Save the prospects in a Red Sox trade for Miami right-hander Sandy Alcantara: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179325 πŸ˜ƒπŸ˜€πŸ˜ƒ
  19. Does the reported three-year, $75 million contract for right-hander Nathan Eovaldi reduce the trade value of Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo? Castillo has three years and $72.45 million remaining on his contract with a vesting option for a fourth year at $25 million. Eovaldi is nearly three years older than Castillo, but Steamer projects 2025 WAR of 2.9 in 176 innings for Eovaldi and 2.8 in 184 innings for Castillo. This year Eovaldi posted 2.7 fWAR in 170.1 innings while Castillo posted 2.3 fWAR in 175.1 innings. The Eovaldi re-signing cost the Texas Rangers neither a comp pick nor a player in trade. Castillo's no-clause does not help his trade value. In a heated free agent market for starting pitching, not all deals enhance the trade value of Luis Castillo.
  20. The Red Sox are probably exploring the trade market where the asking prices may rise with the rising free agent market ... especially for pitchers. Will trade demands go up or down in the pitching market?
  21. The BTV valuations for Luis Castillo and David Hamilton were in the ballpark but Hamilton is a highly, highly unlikely trade target for the Seattle Mariners. Trades don't occur in a valuation vacuum ... an assessment of needs is usually a prerequisite to any valuation.
  22. It’s only December 10.
  23. The Red Sox get the 15th pick in the July 2025 draft: https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-2025-draft-lottery-results ... the Sox would have landed the 11th pick under the old pre-lottery system.
  24. The point is that Seattle won't eat Dylan Moore's guaranteed 2025 salary of $3.7 million to take on at best equal production from David Hamilton.
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