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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. One source considers the trade fair: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179467
  2. Those irrelevant hypotheticals ignore the needs of each team.
  3. One debate in Seattle is whether Bryce Miller and Bryan Woo have peaked after less than two MLB seasons or whether the young, controllable right-handers have only scratched their potential.
  4. Specific examples? Feedback is welcome. This poster holds Nick Pivetta, Kutter Crawford and Brayan Bello in higher regard than many posters on this forum.
  5. Evidence to support these conclusions? Just today a post questioned whether Nate Eovaldi's signing reduced the trade value of Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo: https://talksox.com/forums/topic/89103-rumor-mariners-listening-on-offers-for-right-hander-luis-castillo/page/2/#findComment-2987897 Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear.
  6. Indeed an avid Red Sox fan's valuation of Sox players often differs from a valuation of a more objective outsider. 😃
  7. Save the prospects in a Red Sox trade for Miami right-hander Sandy Alcantara: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179325 😃😀😃
  8. Does the reported three-year, $75 million contract for right-hander Nathan Eovaldi reduce the trade value of Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo? Castillo has three years and $72.45 million remaining on his contract with a vesting option for a fourth year at $25 million. Eovaldi is nearly three years older than Castillo, but Steamer projects 2025 WAR of 2.9 in 176 innings for Eovaldi and 2.8 in 184 innings for Castillo. This year Eovaldi posted 2.7 fWAR in 170.1 innings while Castillo posted 2.3 fWAR in 175.1 innings. The Eovaldi re-signing cost the Texas Rangers neither a comp pick nor a player in trade. Castillo's no-clause does not help his trade value. In a heated free agent market for starting pitching, not all deals enhance the trade value of Luis Castillo.
  9. The Red Sox are probably exploring the trade market where the asking prices may rise with the rising free agent market ... especially for pitchers. Will trade demands go up or down in the pitching market?
  10. The BTV valuations for Luis Castillo and David Hamilton were in the ballpark but Hamilton is a highly, highly unlikely trade target for the Seattle Mariners. Trades don't occur in a valuation vacuum ... an assessment of needs is usually a prerequisite to any valuation.
  11. It’s only December 10.
  12. The Red Sox get the 15th pick in the July 2025 draft: https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-2025-draft-lottery-results ... the Sox would have landed the 11th pick under the old pre-lottery system.
  13. The point is that Seattle won't eat Dylan Moore's guaranteed 2025 salary of $3.7 million to take on at best equal production from David Hamilton.
  14. The point is that Seattle would have little interest in David Hamilton's career OPS+ of 85 (92 OPS+ in 2024) when Dylan Moore has a guaranteed 2025 contract with the Mariners.
  15. FWIW this year Dylan Moore posted 2.4 fWAR in 135 games.
  16. Podcaster Jim Riley suggests a trade of Triston Casas for Houston left-hander Framber Valdez and two lesser pieces: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCuNECdZj44
  17. Unrealistic offseason expectations produce annual suffering.
  18. Seattle would never offer Luis Castillo for 27-year-old infielder David Hamilton, whom Steamer projects with a 2025 WAR of 0.6 in 50 games. In the utility role the Mariners already have Gold Glove winner Dylan Moore, whom Steamer projects with a 2025 WAR of 2.1 in 136 games.
  19. The Boston front office is probably leakier than the Seattle front office.
  20. Seattle reportedly will listen on Luis Castillo ... and any current Mariner: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nECI_Ti18AA
  21. Alex Cora says little in a nearly 18-minute press conference at the Winter Meetings: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRpzgg3UsAU More from the Winter Meetings: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jMQf0VKw-FA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hUkxJeVNsg
  22. The Red Sox and Cubs were in similar situations in terms of 2025 contention and a need for a catcher. The Cubs reportedly face more financial constraints so it's interesting that Carson Kelly may sign with the Cubbies..
  23. No doubt that the Mariners are listening to offers on Luis Castillo.
  24. Perhaps that reporting is imprecise. Here is what the top beat reporter wrote: https://x.com/RyanDivish/status/1840164420204540316
  25. FWIW Luis Castillo's value at Baseball Trade Values has jumped from a negative $30.6 million on November 8, to a negative $6.1 million on November 22, to a positive $5.5 million on December 2 to a positive $2.8 million today.
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