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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    We should not be unduly influenced by minuscule samples, but Kutter Crawford tossed five shutout innings in each of this poster's last two Red Sox games at T-Mobile Park in Seattle: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA202206120.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA202308020.shtml Kutter Crawford has value.
  2. harmony
    Steamer ranks Luis Castillo 38th among all pitchers in projected 2025 WAR with 2.8, a fraction ahead of Tanner Houck: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?pos=&stats=pit&type=steamer ZiPS is more bullish on Castillo with a projected 2025 WAR of 3.3. A trade of Castillo would not be a salary dump. The veteran righthander may well open the 2025 season in the Seattle rotation.
  3. harmony
    On the issue of transparency, we all have the privilege of assigning appropriate weight to the valuations of detailed system: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/articles/notes-on-our-valuations ... and the bald, opaque opinions of an anonymous dude on the internet.
  4. harmony
    The site's founder addresses BTV's offseason updates: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/articles/notes-on-our-valuations
  5. harmony
    Events and circumstances can impact the stock market -- and any market -- on a day-to-day basis. That's what we see every year in the MLB offseason. Baseball Trade Values is not perfect but the site regularly reviews its projections: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/history Each MLB front office presumably reviews its projections.
  6. harmony
    Red Sox pitchers might say the same about Connor Wong.
  7. harmony
    Perhaps Ken Rosenthal's article that places the Red Sox trade in a positive light should not have been shared on this forum. FWIW the comparison that has not withstood the test of time involved Jarren Duran and Taylor Trammell, who is currently listed as the starting right fielder for the reigning AL West champion Houston Astros: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/astros
  8. harmony
    From Ken Rosenthal at The Athletic: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5988459/2024/12/11/mlb-winter-meetings-notes-garrett-crochet-trade-red-sox/ subscription required
  9. harmony
    This year the Mariners matched the Red Sox with a wRC+ of 104, including a league-leading wRC+ of 118 after August 15 when the Red Sox slumped to a wRC+ of 83. Like most teams, the Mariners and Red Sox seek to improve their hitting.
  10. harmony
    Thank you for asking. Seattle remains a longshot to land Roki Sasaki but the Mariners ... 1. have a strong reputation of developing starting pitchers 2. have a solid record of maintaining the health of their starting pitchers 3. play their home games in MLB's most pitcher-friendly ballpark https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors 4. have averaged 88+ wins over the past four seasons, landing one postseason berth, twice finishing one game behind the final Wild Care berth and once finishing two games back 5. return a relatively young core with multiple years of team control, losing only the likes of Jorge Polanco, Josh Rojas and Luis Urias (plus midseason acquisitions Justin Turner and Yimi Garcia) 6. currently employ Hisashi Iwakuma as a special assignment coach and Ichiro Suzuki as a special assistant to the chairman 7. play in MLB's closest market to Japan (4,769 air miles from Tokyo)
  11. harmony
    Roki Sasaki is subject to restrictions on the international bonus pool money that render the monetary bidding process meaningless. Sasaki will be under team control for six seasons, including three years at the league-minimum salary. https://www.mlb.com/news/roki-sasaki-posting-mlb
  12. harmony
    The provided link rebuts your allegation:
  13. harmony
    It’s not that simple. Why would Roki Sasaki sign with the Red Sox?
  14. harmony
    A month ago this poster wrote that the Mariners "might consider a trade of Luis Castillo at a value higher than his BTV value" when BTV valued Castillo at a negative $30.6 million. https://talksox.com/forums/topic/88909-a-realistic-view-of-the-2025-red-sox-part-i/page/42/#comment-2984867 Please refrain from unfounded accusations.
  15. harmony
    This poster is not the Seattle Mariners. Sorry. However, after today's trade of Kyle Teel, the Red Sox might be interested in Seattle farmhand Harry Ford, MLB.com's seventh-ranked catching prospect who is a year younger than Teel, the third-ranked catching prospect: https://www.mlb.com/milb/prospects/c/
  16. harmony
    Only after the Mariners sign Roki Sasaki. 😀😃😁
  17. harmony
    Does specific evidence support those conclusions? https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179540 https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179544
  18. harmony
    In a trade proposal barely 13 months ago, Baseball Trade Values assigned Garrett Crochet a negative $300,000 value: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/146753 ... before the left-hander turned in his impressive 2024 season. In the fierce competition for perhaps the top pitcher on this offseason's trade market, the winning bid likely needed to be more than the merely fair offers of other suitors. The Red Sox fared well.
  19. harmony
    Sean Manaea would cost a comp pick.
  20. harmony
    One source considers the trade fair: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/179467
  21. harmony
    Those irrelevant hypotheticals ignore the needs of each team.
  22. harmony
    One debate in Seattle is whether Bryce Miller and Bryan Woo have peaked after less than two MLB seasons or whether the young, controllable right-handers have only scratched their potential.
  23. harmony
    Specific examples? Feedback is welcome. This poster holds Nick Pivetta, Kutter Crawford and Brayan Bello in higher regard than many posters on this forum.
  24. harmony
    Evidence to support these conclusions? Just today a post questioned whether Nate Eovaldi's signing reduced the trade value of Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo: https://talksox.com/forums/topic/89103-rumor-mariners-listening-on-offers-for-right-hander-luis-castillo/page/2/#findComment-2987897 Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear.
  25. harmony
    Indeed an avid Red Sox fan's valuation of Sox players often differs from a valuation of a more objective outsider. 😃
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