harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
But Bryan Woo reportedly is not available. -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The Red Sox reportedly have brought back Isaiah Campbell and Bryan Mata on minor league contracts: https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2024/11/red-sox-re-sign-two-pitchers-including-ex-top-prospect-hours-after-cutting-them.html -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Looking back on the trade of Luis Urias for Isaiah Campbell, Seattle paid Urias $5 million this year to post 0.2 fWAR (0.4 bWAR) in 41 games with the Mariners (in addition to posting decent numbers in 77 games at Triple A). Boston paid Campbell $746,000 to post a negative 0.4 fWAR (-1.2 bWAR) in six appearances with the Red Sox (and a 2.20 ERA in 14 appearances at Worcester). Both players have been cut loose this offseason. Because of the money difference, the frugal Seattle Mariners can't claim a win in the trade.🤨 -
FWIW Baseball Trade Values has upgraded Triston Casas’ surplus trade value from $18.7 million to $28.4 million.
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
What if the trade proposal subtracts Triston Casas ($18.7 million surplus value) and Luke Raley ($19 million surplus value), who each have four years of team control? https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/175846 Would Randy Arozarena be a better fit than Raley in the proposal? -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Seattle is unlikely to trade a starter this offseason although the Mariners might consider a trade of Luis Castillo at a value higher than his BTV's value. This three-way trade proposal involving the Red Sox, Mariners and Rays remains intriguing: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/175846 😁😁😁 -
Would anyone prefer three less costly years of Seattle right-hander Logan Gilbert over an expensive long-term contract for Corbin Burnes? https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/175846 It's curious that Baseball Trade Values assigns Triston Casas (18.7) and Luke Raley (19.0) roughly the same surplus value. Each comes with four year of team control. With his younger age Casas probably has the higher ceiling while Raley has position versatility and better recent production. How would the removal of Casas and Raley impact the trade proposal? Do the Tampa Bay Rays get shortchanged in the proposed trade?
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- corbin burnes
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Right-handers started 161 or Seattle's 162 games this year. Of course the Mariners fell short of the postseason where their vaunted starters could have been formidable. Or not.
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A podcaster proposes a trade of Garrett Crochet for Wilyer Abreu, Franklin Arias, Yoeilin Cespedes and Wikelman Gonzalez: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g3Fl-mZsukA At 8:45.
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- garrett crochet
- marcelo mayer
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Should the Red Sox trade Walter Abreu, Kutter Crawford and two prospects for Garrett Crochet? https://fansided.com/mlb-rumors-red-sox-garrett-crochet-trade-white-sox-protecting-big-4 A year ago today Baseball Trade Values assigned Crochet a negative trade value: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/146753
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- garrett crochet
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Nick Pivetta and Tyler O'Neill are free agents. The Red Sox gave Pivetta a qualifying offer but did not give O'Neill a qualifying offer. Pivetta can accept the qualifying offer of $21.05 million for one season or reject the offer to test the free agent market. In the latter event, a team (other than the Red Sox) that signs Pivetta would surrender a draft pick. A team can sign O'Neill without losing a draft pick. -
Curiously, according to fWAR, the Mariners and Red Sox finished fifth and 18th, respectively, in fWAR from the third base position: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2024&month=0&season1=2024&ind=0&team=0%2Cts&rost=&age=&filter=&players=0&pos=3b The Mariners and Red Sox finished 24th and 29th in fWAR from the second base position: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2024&month=0&season1=2024&ind=0&team=0%2Cts&rost=&age=&filter=&players=0&pos=2b The latter list identifies a consensus position of need but the first list is somewhat puzzling.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
MLB even bars minimum-wage service employees of minor league teams from playing fantasy baseball. The right to remain silent is invoked.😀 -
Indeed. Many teams could upgrade at shortstop. Despite J.P. Crawford’s injuries, this year the Seattle Mariners finished 10th among 30 MLB teams in fWAR from the shortstop position: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2024&month=0&season1=2024&ind=0&team=0%2Cts&rost=&age=&filter=&players=0&pos=ss The Red Sox finished 16th.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
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Likely no one would trade Triston Casas for Randy Arozarena straight up. 🤨 Add Masataka Yoshida's significant negative value and the Red Sox would have a bargain, according to Baseball Trade Values.
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- masataka yoshida
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Assuming Seattle exercises the $750,000 buyout of the $12 million team option on Jorge Polanco, the Mariners may turn the 2B reins over to Ryan Bliss if an upgrade can't be found this offseason: https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=bliss-000rya Gold Glove nominee Dylan Moore played 228.1 innings at third base this season but may be best remembered for committing three errors at the hot corner in the ninth inning of a 2019 win over the Red Sox: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA201903300.shtml
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
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This offseason Seattle will likely look for upgrades at 2B and 3B even though this year Gold Glove nominee Dylan Moore posted 2.4 fWAR in 135 games (nearly matching the 2.3 fWAR Luke Raley posted in 137 games).
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- masataka yoshida
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On Wednesday, Baseball Trade Values assigned J.P. Crawford a surplus value of $24.5 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades?q=j.p.+crawford&page=1
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- masataka yoshida
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At an annual salary of $10-11 million, 2.7 bWAR is a bargain. In a down year this season, Crawford posted his bWAR of 2.7 in 105 games while Tyler O'Neill, who is the same age, is lauded for posting 2.7 bWAR in 113 games.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
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The Mariners have greater needs than at shortstop. J.P. Crawford, a year removed from a 4.9 fWAR season, remains under team control through 2026 at reasonable annual salaries of $10 million and $11 million. Seattle has three shortstop prospects ranked in MLB.com's Top 100 overall: Colt Emerson at No. 27, Cole Young at No. 38 and barely 19-year-old Felnin Celesten at No. 66. Rather than surrendering value for Marcelo Mayer, the Mariners would probably prefer to spread their risk across those three shortstop prospects. Will the Red Sox be in the market for a righthanded power bat?
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
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More than one forum poster here suggested that Luis Castillo is undervalued at Baseball Trade Values.
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- masataka yoshida
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The opinion, indeed speculation but not factual disinformation, was "Which is precisely why the Mariners prefer Mitch Garver over Masataka Yoshida unless they're getting an important piece back." https://talksox.com/forums/topic/88951-article-masataka-yoshidas-shoulder-injury-threatens-season-start-and-trade-value/page/4/#comment-2983176
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- masataka yoshida
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