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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    There are 11 teams?
  2. notin
    Joined. I’ll get the PayPal out ASAP
  3. notin
    Spring training for vets is for two goals: 1. Get loose 2. Don’t get hurt Nothing else matters, especially for players who know they’re already on the team
  4. notin
    Especially the Post-Spider Tack versions…
  5. notin
    I replied but haven’t seen an email with an invite yet
  6. notin
    True. Not since last October. WTF is holding him back?
  7. notin
    Except that in theory, the Sox could finish forth in the AL East and still make the postseason…
  8. notin
    I think they did cover that. I also think there is a good chance that the bulk of the 27th and 28th man roster spots go to players already on the 40 man that most teams don’t really worry about years of control over. Like Arauz and, say, Bazardo…
  9. notin
    Well, for the hypothetical 42 man roster, nothing, since it only exists in this thread. For the league-wide 28 man roster, each team is likely to demote two players who each have an option year remaining. Although it is possible some players (I’m looking at you, Austin Davis) could play their way into a DFA after one month…
  10. notin
    The green text is sarcasm. Suzuki can’t pitch…
  11. notin
    To an island off the coast of Costa Rica, where he can feast upon scientists, lawyers, and Wayne Knight? Travis Shaw might be ok with that…
  12. notin
    He is a dream killer…
  13. notin
    And then after the first month, would everyone team have to DFA two players?
  14. notin
    I haven’t figured out a method of projectimating RBIs…
  15. notin
    I’m close on HRs. I think they sell JBJ short on BA. But he also has a long track record of doing that to himself…
  16. notin
    Much has been made of the acquisition of JBJ and the anchor he will be on the lineup. My personal mathematical WAPM projection (which I understand has zero credibility on this site) is the following for JBJ .248/.318/.395 with 13 HRs in 500 PAs. Can you live with that from the number 9 hitter?? JBJ is a bit of a projection enigma for me. His hitting profile sugge4sts a much, much higher BABIP than he seems to be capable of in real life. But I can live with this projection as being definitive. So that should settle that... .
  17. notin
    Rich Hill threw more IP last year than ERod did...
  18. notin
    His days of getting 150 starts are over. But he will see MLB time off and on. He does have the advantage of not demanding a lot of money to play, and a lot of teams like that...
  19. notin
    And to answer your question, no metric, old school or advanced, has shown actual accuracy in predicting the future. And if you expect them to, you will be disappointed often enough. Statistics in baseball (all of them) are really just a measure of accomplishments, and while we all like to think those accomplishments readily translate into ability, they don't. They are a record of the past. It's a past we like to think can predict the future. but it really can't. You can hope to spy consistency and trends, but at the end of the day, you are trying to predict the actions of human beings, and even those who are the best at what they do have their weaknesses, frailties, shortcomings, and stumbling blocks that can skew any sample size. Many have tried with varying degrees of success. But when it does come to small sample sizes, some of the old (other website) folks will attest, nothing predicts the future like a WAPM...
  20. notin
    Don't go there!!! We just left that one!!
  21. notin
    I was looking for a way to somewhat compare them to some of the Sox prospects. Fangraphs hasn’t done a Padres’ system review and their Future Value system is as close as I can find, but even that is a little vague sometimes…
  22. notin
    Crying noises?
  23. notin
    Right. I was nit-picking. Not the guy who tried to turn the defense of “old school vs new school” stats into a debate about a misapplied quote. This post may contain sarcasm…
  24. notin
    Ok fine, but explain how I attacked its veracity. And you didn’t provide the link until after I provided the quote’s origin…
  25. notin
    A resurrected version of WAPM has JBJ hitting .268/.335/.414 with 13 HRs in 500 PA. Even I am having a little doubt there. At least on the BA…
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