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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    With Skubal, maybe McCaffrey has some inside track about who Detroit wants. My only channel is making fair deals on BTV. Skubal has a surplus value of $51.6mill. A fair deal on BTV is Campbell, Arias and Paez. But when it comes to acquiring players like Skubal, my logic is “if you’re fine giving it up, it isn’t enough.” I’m very ok with that trade package. So it probably isn’t enough. One year of Skubal is almost an even swap for Mayer and far less than Duran. But that doesn’t mean Detroit won’t insist on one or both and then some…
  2. notin
    Tread lightly. Imanaga collapsed badly in the second half of his second season. Despite this, he was immensely popular among Cubs’ fans and was a face of the franchise. The Marquee channel that broadcasts the Cubs’ most aired commercial for the team featured Imanaga in the shower singing “Go Cubs Go.” Despite his popularity, thr Cubs - the team that knows him best and knows how popular he is - still chose to release him. Most likely they don’t think of him as worth a $19mil AAV over the next 3 years. And if he isn’t, does he really qualify as that missing “#2 starter”?
  3. notin
    The Sox were a good team last year despite deploying Toro/Gonzalez at 1b and Campbell’s/Hamilton at 2b and getting sub-.700 OPS from both position. Also with Yoshida sitting out the bulk of the year and then getting off to a slow start before finally heating up in September. And then there were the injuries. Brining back Bregman, getting a full season of Mayer (likely in a platoon), getting a full season of Yoshida, and then upgrading at 1b over career AAAA bat Toro does represent an improvement. Sure they cannot bank on health, but they also cannot bank on any new free agent being healthy either. Not to mention the offense wasn’t so incompetent that it needs an overhaul. And reportedly they want to add a frontline pitching arm…
  4. notin
    Michael King slots into the 2 spot. Sox hold Early in this scenario. Hamilton has options and sticks around. Might even be a bench guy….
  5. notin
    His fielding has never earned him accolades. And at some point, even DHs are desirable…
  6. notin
    1. Sign Bichette (8 yrs $XXX Million) 2. Trade LHSP Kyle Harrison to Tampa for 1b Yandy Diaz 3.Sign Michael King for 3 years $YY million) 4. Trade Duran to LAD for C Dalton Rushing and RHP Emmet Sheehan Yes this plan involves acquiring TWO BC alumni..
  7. notin
    The Sox 2b hit .670. At first base, the upgrade is over what the Sox got from Toro/Romy. Not too difficult IMO. I di like the idea of Bichette and Bell on the right side as opposed to Alonso and ? Hamilton/Romy again? Hamilton/Grissom? Or sign Rengifo, who is really a self-platooning Hamilton?
  8. notin
    Alonso will be 31. Schwarber will be 33. Bichette will be 28. And will play a position more difficult to get production at…
  9. notin
    In the interests of avoiding ambiguity, the $32mill was a total and not his yearly salary…
  10. notin
    And years close to 8. Or more? i’d give Bo Bichette 8 years before I gave Bregman 6…
  11. notin
    We were counting on you to…
  12. notin
    That’s why I don’t attach money. I’m either going to underestimate or overcompensate. There is no third option. Trades? BTV gives me their interpretation of “fair,” and the deals probably are fair. That doesn’t mean other teams like them. Sometimes teams don’t want to make fair trades and want to rip you off. Not much I can do to guess that.
  13. notin
    I’ve literally posted dozens of them. I rarely (re: never) attach dollar values, but I do suggest trades that often are at a minimum “fair” on BTV. (I also post ones where Boston overpays, but never ones where the other team does.)
  14. notin
    Who is that Webber chap?
  15. notin
    So $37.5mill AAV? Give him too much per year and Kutter Crawford becomes the best #2 that the Sox will pay for…
  16. notin
    If Schwarber can for 4 years, does anyone think Philly lets him walk? Last time he signed for only 4 years, he was coming off a season in which he was non-tendered by the Cubs and missed the some time due to injury. (Remember he was on the IL when the Sox acquired him?) This year he put up MVP numbers and has established himself among the best sluggers in the game. Chances are good his contract demands have adjusted accordingly…
  17. notin
    So the locks are Story, Anthony, Rafaela, Duran/Abreu and Narvaez. I would add Mayer to this list at either 2b or 3b. This leaves openings at 1b, 2b/3b and DH. I could see DH filled internally with Yoshida or Casas (when ready). I assume you had Mayer as your other “internal option.” So I’m on board with this. Two additions to the lineup. Hopefully one is one of the top FA (Bichette, Bregman, Alonso) or a significant trade acquisition like Ketel Marte (currently not rumored to be available, but might Devers his way out of Arizona).
  18. notin
    He is a good pitcher, so I have zero fear of him accepting it. On one level, it makes sense for him as a lucrative value-rebuilding opportunity. But it’s also possible that his recent injuries (something new to him) have him prioritizing years over quick cash.
  19. notin
    With my name stop that list, above even Mrs. Pivetta…
  20. notin
    I would bet Bichette gets more than six years…
  21. notin
    That’s why I’ve been suggesting/advocating/yelling into the void for a non-1b slugger like Marte or Bichette or Bregman (my prediction but ultimately last choice on this list). It will be easier to get a discount mashing 1b/DH type than a discount mashing infielder. Some like Hoskins. I prefer Bell. Both will be significantly cheaper than Alonso, who will in turn limit what can be spent on the other infielder. Now if the Sox do get Alonso, my hope would be to trade for non-mashing but hard-hitting Brendan Donovan at 2b, as he was #3(I think?) on the MLBTR trade candidate list….
  22. notin
    That 2024 Padres outfield (Profar, Merrill, Tatis) was entirely comprised of shortstops as well. The Sox might just have to live with Story’s declining defense. It is only two years and tolerating decline is part of signing free agents…
  23. notin
    And if the Sox use Crawford and the inadvertently omitted Sandoval, they start no rookies…
  24. notin
    Only 8 folks in your lineup? Duran/Abreu, Password, Clarke, Harrison. Maybe Bello in the right deal (obviously! “No, let’s move him in the wrong deal!!”) to get a SP and maybe another good RP. One solid PR free agent contract, like Alonso, Bichette, or Bregman. Maybe one lesser deal for a bargain player with impressive metrics (Josh Bell) or a Fenway swing (Rhys Hoskins). Is that too little?
  25. notin
    Folks keep talking about losing Duran or Abreu if we deal one of them. Don’t we kinda already know who the replacement is? There is a reason it’s out there that these two are trade bait…
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