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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    So we’re in agreement it’s the most likely course of action…
  2. notin
    Duran does have 4 years of control left. Without you runnng out and getting hired by some MLB team, what team would want him that has surplus pitching? Id think if Duran did get dealt, it would be for prospect talent with the intention of flipping it for pitching. Until Henry told Breslow to keep those cheap prospects, too…
  3. notin
    This is why I like BTV. It shows that this deal is incredibly lopsided in favor of Boston and therefore unlikely to even be considered by Houston…
  4. notin
    It is rare, but I think managers need to get away from their 1990’s Bullpen Management By Inning ********. i do disagree with your irrelevant counterpoint about expected hitters. Just because a pitcher doesn’t have a 1.00 WHIP (which Jansen does, by the way) doesn’t mean they have a 1.33 WHIP. There is some gray area in between…
  5. notin
    Much like Ellsbury. Of course, opposing teams are aware of this, too. I think Duran falls into the extremely boring “in the right trade” category. And I’d be surprised if he was dealt directly for pitching…
  6. notin
    Will it change the fact that the game was on the line in the 7th with the bases loaded and Soto and Judge up? Bear in mind if you’re thinking of answering “yes”, that situation I just described turned out to be exactly when the game was decided…
  7. notin
    Most of those teams dealt prospects, not their 8WAR outfielder…
  8. notin
    I was all on top of Chapman last year as a solution. But he wasn’t in the budget. I think I’d prefer to try Romy or Grissom over Mayer (who is needed to over Story injuries) or Campbell (who could move to 2b if Grissom takes third)…
  9. notin
    I get the idea of Duran being a more valuable trade chip. But any team that wants him won’t be dealing their pitching…
  10. notin
    It’s certainly possible it’s been tried and/or discussed by Cora and Devers. And maybe it was a flop. My only thoughts are “but it’s my favorite position” is no reason to leave a player in place. But it does happen, and is why Mike Trout still plays CF in between injuries. But legitimate speculation aside, is it a good idea to move the worst defensive 3b in MLB to another position?
  11. notin
    Welcome to the 2025 Red Sox, Mr. Grichuk…
  12. notin
    I’d rather have O’Neill for one year at $20-22 mill than 5 years with an $18mill AAV…
  13. notin
    I’ll add the obvious comment. The Sox don’t need any outfielders. Unless there is a subsequent trade…
  14. notin
    And defensive limitations are not just about errors. Balls Devers cannot get to that maybe someone else can count as hits. They don’t effect fielding percentage or error counts, but they can lead to runs…
  15. notin
    Fangraphs does break down errors. For his career, Devers has 75 fielding errors and 66 throwing errors. My thoughts are not moving him to 1b because I think he will win a Gold Glove.. I would move him there because he fields third base like he’s wearing a Gold Glove. The chances thing isn’t really representative. The overwhelming bulk of Devers’ (or any 3b’s) chances are on balls batted to him. The bulk of plays any 1b makes are on balls thrown to him. By people who want him to catch it. This isn’t about whether or not 1b is easy. It is easier than 3b. My sources on this include Fangraphs (whose position adjustment for first is the lowest) and The Fielding Bible.. Look around MLB and you will see a lot of first basemen did start out at 3b and were moved to 1b because they couldn’t field 3b very well. Not just Vlad. A bunch of others converted in the minors. Some adjusted well (Michael Busch). Others not so much (Bobby Dalbec.) But all of them stepped aside so better fielders could play 3b..
  16. notin
    No one here expects our thoughts to translate to anything the Sox do. We make our suggestions and predictions, etc. because we enjoy them and the ensuing discussions. This forum is for our entertainment, not as a conduit to the FO. Not sure why that bothers you. Frankly it would bother me more if the FO came here looking at my ideas as possible solutions…
  17. notin
    Matt Duffy? That man can sprain his wrist signing a contract! Just try Romy or Vaughn Grissom at 3b first. If Grissom works out, it opens up 2b for Campbell. (Atlanta actually did try Grissom at 3b in hopes of making him a super utility player. But he was never meant to be a full time solution there because Austin Riley exists.)
  18. notin
    Ok. And then where does Duran go? CF with Rafaela to 3b? (I shouldn’t need to point out but I will that this is obviously not a serious suggestion.)
  19. notin
    They should probably keep playing the pitching hand they dealt themselves, too…
  20. notin
    It might be progress. As long as his 26th percentile sprint speed isn’t an obstacle…
  21. notin
    Common consensus never said 1b was easy. Just that it’s the easiest position to play. You don’t discredit that by telling me what first baseman do; you discredit it by telling me what position is easier. Preferably with some logic. And the point isn’t to just upgrade 1b. Devers is the worst defensive 3b in MLB using the metrics. The idea isn’t to use him to upgrade Casas (who is one of the worst defensive 1b in MLB); the point of moving Devers would be to upgrade 3b defense. Why do you suppose the Jays play Vlad at 1b? Most likely because he was worse at 3b. And when they did move Vlad, they replaced him with one of the best defensive third basemen in MLB, and improved their infield defense.
  22. notin
    And as bad as Devers is at 3b, Casas is only marginally better at 1b. Under the same parameters Casas ranks 50th in DRS and 49th in OAA out of 57 qualified first basemen. Devers might be worse, but there are only so many steps down he can go…
  23. notin
    I don’t think anyone thinks Yoshida is in demand. Most (all?) of the deals being thrown around include other players, money, or both. That’s not exactly a sign of selling high. And even then most acknowledge they’re still questionable…
  24. notin
    Not to mention, you keep focusing on the wrong side of this move. The issue isn’t whether or not Devers can play 1b; the issue is he cannot play 3b. With a minimum 700 innings since 2022, Devers ranks 54th out of 56 third baseman in OAA. And 55th in DRS. To paraphrase Dean Wormer, he is not AT the bottom of the barrel; he IS the bottom of the barrel. This is where the improvements can happen. If Devers sucks at 1b, then it’s status quo at 1b and an upgrade at 3b. That’s a good thing. Yes? No?
  25. notin
    Agree and disagree. The lackluster Sox cannot try to maintain the status quo, but this Duran hubbub started when I called it a small market move. What will those ticket-buying fans think if the Sox unload another young star? It’s been 6 years since Mookie was dealt, and while the situations are really not the same, to many fans they might be. No one cried when the Sox dealt Moncada or Hanley or Pavano or even Curt Schilling. But when it’s a good player they actually paid to see, that’s different…
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