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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Actually the one deal that makes the most sense for both teams would be Yoshida for Rodon. The cost of keeping/benching or releasing Yoshida is about the same as the cost of trading him for Rodon. Yoshida would cost about $55.8mill if they just released him (minus the league minimum if he signs after clearing waivers, and he will clear waivers). Assuming no money changed hands (not always a good assumption), taking on Rodon's deal means they take on an increase of $53.5mill. Fairly equal. The Yankees, on the other hand, save considerable cash not only in the salary but also with tax payments due to Yoshida's lower AAV. Boston takes on the AAV increase but can afford it. And Rodon probably only gives you 40 or so starts over the next 4 years, but those would be more beneficial than a benched/released Yoshida...
  2. notin
    Assuming it happened in the off-season, Yoshida would have 3 years $55.8mill left on his deal. Hader would have 4 years $76mill left. Tyler Anderson would have 1 year $13mill left. Ray has 2 years $50mill left, assuming he does not opt out after this missed season. I would guess the Angels would walk away from that deal, since Yoshida probably doesn't justify the cost. Seattle might not like it so much either. I can see pros and cons for them, so I assume they walk away. Houston might do it, especially if Pressly's $14mill option for '25 vests and if Hader continues to flounder. I can see the option vesting, but I think Hader will right himself somewhat. So it might come down to whether or not they simply want to cut some overhead. Rodon is owed about $111mill for the last 4 years. I'd just assume keep Yoshida... .
  3. notin
    The Sox have hit that .481 mark three times in the past decade, all three times coming in last place. Interestingly, they are the only 3 times since the league went to 3 divisions a team with a .481 winning percentage came in last place. (The 1991 Angels anthe 2005 Nationals did come in last with .500 records. The 1991 Angels came in last with a .500 record with 2 divisions per league.)
  4. notin
    I think that got obvious...
  5. notin
    Tyler Anderson? Carlos Rodon? Josh Hader? Robbie Ray?
  6. notin
    Hey it lead to some interesting research on my part, although I wanted him to add to my list. I can't give him a passing grade for this exchange until he does...
  7. notin
    8 times. You're questioning skills are getting premature. You need to calm down. Maybe just ask yourself a bunch of questions about yourself before you go all in with that loaded weapon. Or try thinking about baseball...
  8. notin
    Are we going to question everything?
  9. notin
    He does have good bat-to-ball skills. His strikeout rate for his career is roughly 13%, and the league average is around 22%. He's also upped his walk rate so far this year, but that is in a pretty small sample size. I don't think he is as useless as some think, and he is the closest thing the Sox have to a decent on-base hitter...
  10. notin
    Duran in CF is more tradable and is probably an equal liability respective to their positions, but also especially when compared to Rafaela. If the Sox tried to move Yoshida, they probably either pay more of the deal or take back an equally cumbersome one. If they try to move Duran, they might get back a decent player that can help the team. Plus at some point, Roman Anthony might force both of them out of the lineup anyway, although the Sox can certainly wait until that happens.
  11. notin
    It would have Betts in it, which makes for a significant improvement. Right now all that we have left from that deal is Wong, along with Fitts, Weissert and Giudice. Weissert has been good and Fitts is the top pitching prospect, but is their combination superior to Betts?
  12. notin
    Yoshi could also return to LF. While no whiz out there with the glove, it's probably worth it to upgrade the infield. I am not sure sure Yoshida is all that tradable unless he really starts hitting again. And trading players to simply dump them rather than actually get an improvement rarely works out...
  13. notin
    I apparently forgot about the champion of tripling more often than striking out - Tris Speaker. He accomplished it 3 times (1918, 1921, 1927), all with Cleveland. He also had two seasons where he had the same number of triples as strikeouts (1913, 1919). But I am sticking by this being a rare accomplishment. Any more questions?
  14. notin
    I think it's easier to pencil in Grissom for 2025 than Story for 2025. Or at least for all of 2025. Right now, Grissom is certainly head of Nick Yorke and his .725 OPS in AA. If we are not penciling in Grissom, there are fewer reason to pencil in Yorke. Certainly trades could change everything, but as the organization stands now, Grissom appears to be the frontrunner at 2B. Mayer is the only threat, and it seems more likely than Story will clear that path for him...
  15. notin
    You don't think so? I can name four players who have done it since 1900. Fox (1951), Musial (1943), Dale Mitchell (1949) and Joe Sewell (1925 and 1930). There might be others, but this is not something that anyone accomplishes very often...
  16. notin
    I do not agree. I absolutely would have him PENCILED in at a minimum. And even if he does have a very bad season - which he is off to so far - I don't think the Sox should just pack it in with him and look elsewhere.
  17. notin
    I'd say so. It's just below league average by definition. And his OPS was dragged down significantly because the diminutive Fox had almost no power with a career .363 SLG. His BA (.288) and OBP (.348) were actually very good over his career. What little "power" he had was probably more related to speed, since he had 112 career triples and only 35 career home runs. And he has to be on a very short list of players who had a season with more triples than strikeouts...
  18. notin
    I think the Sox have also done well against some good teams, with a road split against 20-17 Seattle and a series win at home against 22-16 Chicago. I'm on board with this team being able to improve. But their lack of depth could be a killer...
  19. notin
    Joe Sewell was another HOF player who had an elite ability to make contact. In 8,333 career PA, he struck out 114 times for a 1.3% K rate. Granted, his offensive numbers for the rest of his game were not as pedestrian as former MVP Fox...
  20. notin
    The bottom half of the order has been filled with guys no one expected any production from, let alone relied on it. This team is still down 3 starters from the lineup. If they could replace Romy/Hamilton/Cooper/Smith types with Casas, Yoshida, and Story, I suspect the hitting would be noticeably better. And even Romy is in there as an upgrade over the deadweight occupying that spot previously...
  21. notin
    A lot of the cards the sox dealt themselves are sitting out the games right now. Two of the three players you highlight are not available and the Sox have had to dig deep for replacements. When was the last time you saw a player get called up simply because he was the only healthy bat left on the 40 man roster? This team isn't a great defensive team with Casas and Yoshida in the lineup, but it is a better overall team...
  22. notin
    He could be absolutely brutal, but again, 4 games. At a bare minimum he should be "penciled" long enough to see how good he really is, and right now, like it or not, he is the clear frontrunner for the 2b position in 2025. The only other feasible option within the organization is Mayer, and you don't move him to 2B unless you have confidence Story will be showing up for work a rather large amount of time over the next 3 seasons. But right now any questions we have about Grissom - most of which I would suspect are tied to his 2 for 17 start - apply just as easily to any other internal option that we have. And if Grissom even appears to be a league average secondbaseman with the glove, how high is upgrading over him on the priority list? I mean, even if Grissom is a complete bust this year all around, is that the extent of his opportunity?
  23. notin
    Better summary. Despite finishing last the past two seasons, it's not like the Sox are winning 50 games or even 60 games. They're hanging around the .500 mark...
  24. notin
    I would right now. Who's knocking on that door?
  25. notin
    It doesn't increase his value, but it doesn't hurt it either. Devers' value is solely tied to his bat. But moving him does stand a chance at improving overall team play by upgrading the defense. Austin Riley made a difference with his glove last night, for example...
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