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Everything posted by notin
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They also have a lot of hitters underperforming. Some of them will turn it around, but some will probably also just continue and have a bad season...
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And how good is that? B-R has them at about 1 in 8 chance for making the playoffs. Probably a bit high, unless they have some serious luck avoiding injuries...
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He is key this year, but the OF is getting crowded and Duran's best position is LF. Even if they let O'Neill walk, they extended Rafaela so he is a guarantee. Abreu is also not going anywhere anytime soon. The Sox do need a right-handed bat with some pop. If they can't put one in CF or RF or 1B or 3B or DH, where do they add it? SS? And move Mayer (who bats LH)? 2B? Not a lot of power hitting second basemen out there; sign Gleyber Torres? Is he even a power hitter anymore? Catcher? The OF is getting crowded. And right now they have too many LHH in the lineup...
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If I told you in February, the Sox would about half of their fist 44 games without Casas, Yoshida, Grissom, and Story, and lose Giolito for the year, and Pivetta and Bello to IL stints. And go a couple weeks with a starting infield that included Reyes and David Hamilton, what would you have expected for their record after 44 games? What odds would you give that team to make the post-season?
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Pure luck? The TJ surgery everyone said he would eventually need was bad luck? His herky-jerky elbow flexing motion and a repertoire loaded with 4 seamer s and sliders leading to TJ was not luck. The only luck was involved in the timing of it. Falling of his bicycle might be considered bad luck, although one also might call it bad judgment. Given all the contract restrictions players get, I'm surprised he was allowed to ride anything that moved faster than a stationary bike...
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So you think the Sox will ignore the need for a RHH power bat?
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If Bloom was here, he wouldn't get traded, as an actual decision would be involved. Breslow? We don't know yet. Also there is still a chance the Sox are buying as opposed to selling...
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I'm still not down on this team. They're not under .500. They're not in last place. They have been exactly what I said - better than everyone anticipated. Some of the offense will come around. Some of it will continue to flounder. But before April ended, this team lost Giolito, Story, and Casas, and lost time from numerous others and is still managing to stay above .500. They might not actually be as bad as anticipated. Also I do not think one more 78-84 season will convince Henry to sell. Anyone who believes that while doubting what the team is actually doing has very questionable judgment...
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I do think the Dodgers are an unlikely destination, given they don't have a huge need for OF help. I suppose they could replace Teoscar in LF, but they also will eventually give a full time role to Andy Pages. But other teams with very weak positional farm systems (Atlanta? Miami?) that are top-heavy with pitching prospects are not out of the realm of possibility. Miami did unload their #2 overall prospect (RHP Jake Eder) for Jake Burger last year, so they do have a history of dealing young pitching for position players. I'm still not down on the Sale/Grissom trade yet. Grissom has 5 years left and shouldn't be judged solely on 40 PA, while Sale has a rather long history in recent years of not pitching a full season. Just because he has gone 49 IP without getting injured doesn't mean he is suddenly cured. He has not topped 103 IP since 2019, and I don't think anyone would be surprised if that streak continued...
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So tell us why it’s false. Mike Lowell said when he came to Boston that it was difficult not because of the top tier pitchers, as he’d seen them before. But the sheer volume of lesser pitchers made it a tough change at first. Are you saying you know more about it than Mike Lowell?
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Duran has another pre-arb year and Abreu has two more. The issue is neither bats right-handed and the OF is getting crowded. Duran might best be used as trade bait at some point…
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Pitching advancements are a definite help for the pitcher. New schedule? No real data to support it; it’s just a logical theory right now…
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He definitely accepts a QO. But it takes him from being $5.85mill player to being a $19mill player. I’m thinking more like $24/27mill over 3 years. Same AAV for 1-2 years is fine, but he’s too injury-prone to go longer than 3…
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Jury is out on O'Neill, but I think an extension might not be bad idea. They did give up on Renfroe after one year, but who didn't? Renfroe has become the MLB equivalent that girl everyone dated in middle school because she let everyone go further. Bradley and Kike were not here for one year...
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Just wondering what you meant. As he is sub-Dalbec levels right now, he's clearly off to a much worse start than many had hoped. He might not have a good season this year, since that's actually fairly common for players who switch leagues. But what are the expectations? .600OPS? .550OPS? Both of those are a big step up. I do wonder since this is only year 2 of the "balanced schedule", is that creating yet another advantage for pitchers? Hitters that used to face the same team 18-19 times per season at least got some familiarity with the pitchers on some staffs just from the repeated exposure...
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Grissom Watch for what?
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Your inclusion of O’Neill is a bit premature and only serves to pad a list that is otherwise just two names long…
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Yeah how awful for the Sox to have a right-handed power hitter with multiple Gold Gloves. I mean, no Triple Crown? Are we just supposed to settle here???
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No, but I could believe Kike was re-signed because Cora advocated for his defense and/or versatility. I’d be surprised if Cora was not involved in that discussion. But I doubt anyone said “we need to extend Kike because he had a good week last October and hasn’t hit since.” Not even facetiously…
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Given his injury history, it is really tough to sell O'Neill as a juicer. Steroids do promote the healing process of many tissues...
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I would imagine Cora is involved in most if not all roster decisions in some capacity...
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I go the other way, but at the end of the day citing preference for either one is like trying to decide if you'd rather have syphilis or chlamydia...
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I doubt the Sox put all that much faith in his brief hot streak and paid much more attention to how well he played CF. They didn't extend him until September, 2022, nearly a year after that post-season and after he was well on his way to a .630 OPS season. More likely, they simply valued his glove and overall play than his bat. They likely hoped for the 5.0 bWAR player from 2021, which is a massive discount at that price even if he only achieves half that total. And it's not like $10mill gets you a superstar player anymore. That off-season, $10mill gets you the remarkably unspectacular Eduardo Escobar or the equally bland Eddy Rosario. Boy, did the Sox miss out there...
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Kike looks like a much better signing if they leave him in CF, where he can make a positive difference in a game even without hitting...
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I can agree with that. Admittedly, I have more faith in Cooper than I do in Smith, but even Smith is better than this...
