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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Pressure from team to team and player to player is unknown. Especially for a marginal player like Hamilton, who has always faced demotion to the minors, which I’d think would be a bigger factor than anything the press could ever write…
  2. notin
    It was a triple that was dropped by Seiya Suzuki. Incredibly tough play in the corner of Wrigley, but the ball did hit his glove. Hamilton then scored on a wild pitch. Hamilton has 0 home runs so far this year…
  3. notin
    There is value in keeping some young players cheap, but at some point they can price out the future. It’s a risk but so is free agency. The one extension everyone questioned was Rafaela, but right now that looks like the best one. Bregman is 32, and signed through age 36 and hasn’t been the same player he was in 2017-19 since, well, 2019. Chances are very good he continues to decline over the next 5 seasons and is no longer “good” before they end. With free agency, you need to get the good years upfront or you’re f***ed. With extensions, you still have a chance if the player doesn’t hit the ground running…
  4. notin
    It was 30 games 105 PA. This year he is at 45 games 159 PA. Not huge difference…
  5. notin
    We were talking about the “top prospects” Breslow was seeking…
  6. notin
    But we saw far less productive outfielders get decent returns, notably Robert snd Ward, both of whom are inferior to Duran…
  7. notin
    And Ranger has worked out. Would people prefer Bregman with more Bello in the rotation? Or Ranger and Durbin? Again - one year ago today Durbin had a .501 OPS, not much better than his current. He finished with a .721. If he can do that again…
  8. notin
    My point is it’s actually silly to take these little contracts like IKF and Sandoval and pretend had they been avoided, a superstar was easily affordable. Sure they spent $15mill on them, but that’s still $160mill short on Bregman. I think we can both safely assume the Sox don’t look solely at AAV. And at some point in this deal, Bregman is likely to decline, but his contract never will. Sure it’s easy to cite the extensions for young players that haven’t worked out yet. But we both know that free agents rarely last as long as their deals. Whats preferable? A $50mill deal to a younger player with a bad year or two upfront? Or a $180mill deal to an older player with an equally bad year or two at the end?
  9. notin
    Exactly. My point all along. The Dodgers were not going to deal May if they thought he had anything left. A couple key arm injuries in July, August, September - hardly unrealistic - and they’re scrambling through the Oklahoma City Comets to see who go 2 innings without throwing 60 pitches. If they had May (plus faith in May), there’s no need for that headache. That conversation goes from “Why’d we trade Dustin?” to ”Why’d we trade Dustin?” ”Because he sucked.” ”Oh yeah”
  10. notin
    No it could not. In fact, the overwhelming bulk of trades nowadays are not for that reason. May was traded from a team in painfully obvious playoff contention. How many contenders trade away MLB pitching at any deadline?
  11. notin
    I think you might find the majority of hitters go through ranges like that in some order. And many of the ones that don’t just stay cold all year.
  12. notin
    What inconsistency? Bear in mind his bad 2026 was not known yet…
  13. notin
    It wasn’t. It was a stupid deal. If May was still effective, the Dodgers keep him. Especially since there is no more August waiver deadline if they find a sudden need for pitching.
  14. notin
    The Rays traded former BA Top 100 prospect Curtis Mead for Adrian Houser on the same day..
  15. notin
    Hindsight makes every decision easier. Luis Robert has been far worse than Duran the last couple seasons. Taylor Ward had his career best season by a good amount. Both were traded for pretty good returns, including the younger Acuna and Grayson Rodriguez respectively. Duran should have easily been able to top both of those returns…
  16. notin
    Sometimes getting washed in trades isn’t the fault of the CBO. Every scout in most orgs at least liked Vaughn Grissom. Ditto Caleb Durbin, who wasn’t the ROY Runner Up based on his lack of a neck. Sometimes trades just don’t work out. I don’t like stupid trades that never should have been made. I mean, if Dustin May had anything useful to bring to the mound, would the Dodgers have been willing to trade him?
  17. notin
    That’s not necessarily a ridiculous ask for an All Star outfielder that had been worth 11 fWAR over the previous two seasons. In fact, it might be pretty light depending on the prospects…
  18. notin
    They have a lot in common already. Matthew’s home run total was 512, which is Sandoval’s BMI
  19. notin
    I meant at the trade deadline, where the bulk of the activity is within 48 hours…
  20. notin
    Huh? Bregman signed a deal for $175million, slightly more than $26million. Even if you mean AAV, his deal $35mill per year, it’s still more than $26mill. If you disagree and think it’s not much more, can I borrow $9mill?
  21. notin
    Play out the season 4 times on MLB 9 Innings and see if the Sox make the postseason once. This is not rocket surgery…
  22. notin
    I never heard anything like that, which is meaningless. Have any links?
  23. notin
    Deal Contreras and in the off-season sign 4’0” Andrew Vaughn since they should have acquired the StatCast hero last year before he started blasting baseballs all over the Midwest…
  24. notin
    What did Breslow want for him? Duran had the good enough seasons behind him and good enough control ahead of him. I’d think the asking price should have been fairly high…
  25. notin
    … unless he is acting as a double agent
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