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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Playing time, plus a more hitter-friendly ballpark that transformed Travis Shaw from a stopgap infielder in Boston to the Mayor of Ding Dong City…
  2. There are plenty of scenarios where the Sox miss the postseason; none of them are the one you’re predicting..
  3. Especially since the Sox are very unlikely to get that next regular season win at any point in the next 4 weeks…
  4. The thing is, today the Sox have a better team than Baltimore and Tampa. Thats actually difficult to debate against. Are the Sox ss good as Toronto and NY? On paper, they are hetting Yankees should be the tops in this division (until I factor in Bret Boone aka The Equaloser), and Toronto and Boston are roughly equal or at least close. But as a 162 game season wears on, plenty can change. And a lot of it will…
  5. Dude, their lineup is much worse. Especially with the early injuries to Westburg and Holliday. Although to be fair to the Orioles, they are getting pretty used to playing without Westburg. But they might be relying too much on Roman Anthony’s former high school teammate Coby Mayo to pick up the slack.
  6. But you apparently had no idea Judge had started 310 out of 324 games over the past two seasons, which is my point - you’re evaluating the Red Sox vs what you wanted them to do and not even looking at other teams, just giving them credit. 1. Toronto is credited for signing Cease and completely unknown Okamoto, but no mention of losing Bichette and Bassett 2. Baltimore is credited and expected to revert to the 91-71 team’s from 2024, despite no longer having Corbin Burnes (15-5) and Grayson Rodriguez (13-4), who accounted for 1/3 of that win total. 3. And now the Yankees “get Aaron Judge back” despite that he never left. I guess you were referring to those 4 games he sat out?
  7. Cole is returning from his second TJ. What’s the track record for pitchers returning after TJ #2 just stepping in to pitch right where they left off?
  8. Not to mention his argument that the Orioles would magically revert to the 2024 team’s 91-71 record despite no longer having Corbin Burnes and Grayson Rodriguez (combined record 28-9). They did add the mega-talented but oft-injured Trevor Rogers to pick up some of that, but overall I am sticking with my argument that a lot of these evaluations of other teams is being done without actually looking at those other teams…
  9. Baseball Digest had their 2026 preview, with their predictions for AL pistseason AL East 1. Toronto 2. Boston (WC) Yankees in 4th, missing the postseason AL Central 1. Detroit 2. Kansas City Not sure about KC over Cleveland here. AL West 1. Houston 2. Seattle
  10. 90 wins and 4th place, FYI, is actually NOT reasonable. The AL East isn’t going to be that dominant and those teams do all play each other. Also your faith in Baltimore is solely based on getting Pete Alonso, right? And not on scoring 110 runs fewer than Boston last year and already losing two starting infielders?
  11. Doesn’t PECOTA make projections by comparing players stats at similar ages and assume they will match up at later ages? So for, say Wilyer Abreu’s age 25 was similar to former journeyman Jon Nunnally, the PECOTA system assumes their age 26 season’s will align as well. i know every projection system has flaws (except the remarkably accurate WAPM) and anything designed to predict the future is going to be wrong at times,, but the PECOTA system just feels lazy…
  12. Just because a player has more trade value doesn’t mean he’s a better baseball player; it just means he is better relative to his salary…
  13. No, but maybe stop placing holder posts…
  14. Ridiculous. Just because they didn’t spend what you wanted them to doesn't make turn non-competitive…
  15. Why do Sox fans consider Texas and KC and Baltimore threats but not Cleveland?
  16. Plus most dogs know how poorly that team is run…
  17. Definitely not. Unless you have much greater concerns about Mayer’s durability, not that Keaschall has established himself as immune to injury. Mayer has similar offensive numbers in the minors but also is a capable defensive MLB-caliber shortstop, giving him a much higher floor. Keaschall is a bat-first infielder whose minor league numbers are lower than Kristian Campbell’s were before making the Sox. The problem with bat-first prospects is if they don’t hit, you don’t have anything else. I’d keep Mayer and the higher floor here. With Mayer, his defense is a better reason to keep him in the lineup to learn to hit MLB pitching. Keaschall doesn’t give you that…
  18. 91 wins a absolutely puts the Sox in that conversation…
  19. You’re not anti Yoshida? Really? You’ve tried pawning him off with a multitude of prospects hundreds of times. And to keep a utility infielder?
  20. He’s only 75 centimeters tall…
  21. A couple more wins and they’re a 91 win team. Have we reached the point where we are complaining about a 91 win team?
  22. The Sox replaced Bregman’s OPS+ of 128 with Willson Contreras’ 123. Not so sure the 5% dropoff constitutes a “gaping hole”…
  23. Maybe you’re overvaluing Bregman. Try to think of Bregman like you did when the Sox acquired him….
  24. Apparently they have Ray’s, Original Ray’s, Famous Ray’s, and Famous Original Ray’s and they’re all completely unrelated and probably have nothing to do with the actual original Ray’s…
  25. Bregman for Ranger Suarez and Caleb Durbin sounds like a winning trade to me…
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