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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Anthony is 22 years old and has 443 plate appearances with an OPS of .805, which translates to an OPS+ of 129. He actually is hitting, and it doesn’t matter that you only measure hitting by RBI and don’t like OPS…
  2. notin
    On that list, I’m surprised Marte and Paredes stayed put m. The rest were a bunch of players either their teams didn’t want to move or no one wanted to acquire…
  3. notin
    Thats been the problem all year…
  4. notin
    My wife says I’m a good listener. At least I think that’s what she is saying. Honestly I usually just walk away after a sentence or two…
  5. notin
    Are you two dating the same girl? And how weird is it to find out on this forum?
  6. notin
    Tayron Guerrero is simply not a Major League pitcher. And Tracy keeps bringing him in for close games and watching him push the lead just past the Sox late rally. I’d rather see Ryan Watson than Guerrero…
  7. notin
    Because anyone trading for Chapman is only looking at 2026. Chapman is far from being part of any 2027 plans anyway since he has a mutual option that he can decline. In fact, his option is mutual so he only likely exercises if he tanks (at which point the team declines it). Not sure what he is worth in a trade but not likely anyone’s top prospect. But the Sox can at least pay some salary to get a better one. Theyre not going to acquire a franchise-altering piece here, unless it’s someone in A-ball that just breaks out, like Houston got with Yordan Alvarez for Josh Fields…
  8. notin
    Cut him some slack for 1999, when he split time between being a starter and a reliever (closer, actually). In fact from 1999 to 2001, he pitched in 190 games, including 66 starts and 56 GF. He did anything and everything the team asked. Unlike a certain nameless third baseman….
  9. notin
    Werner’s explanation for “full throttle” commentary proved to be nothing but stupid lip service. Not sure why anyone ever quotes the front office or puts any faith into their statements. By the way, it makes no sense to say this team can’t hit the baseball in one sentence and then follow it up with one saying they have the nucleus to compete for the AL East pennant…
  10. notin
    Ok you lost me. Your premise was to avoid those 1-2 year flier deals and sign one pitcher to a big deal, right? But now you’re opposed to it? Most free agent pitchers are 30 or older. Any worthwhile free agent under 30 seems unlikely to settle for a mere 5 years (source: history). And very few free agent pitchers have as many as 5 good years left. Hopefully Suarez does, and his non-reliance on velocity might help but it’s not any sort of guarantee…
  11. notin
    Year two of an 8 year deal that costs more than all the Sox one year fliers combined…
  12. notin
    True, but there voting history is littered with voters claiming “if Babe Ruth didn’t get in unanimously” or “Ripken is getting in anyway so I will vote for X instead.” None of that happened here. I mean, who voted against Ted Williams and why?
  13. notin
    It clearly wasn’t…
  14. notin
    KC was rushed, but Mayer was pressed into duty due to Bregman’s injury. If Bregman stayed off the IL, we probably don’t see Mayer last year. And if the options were Mayer, Sogard, or some other Abraham Toro clone, I get why they opted for Mayer…
  15. notin
    It’s a small honor, but IMHO an undeserved one. And undeserved honors are the basis of being overrated. ”Overrated” doesn’t mean “bad;” it just means you got more love than you deserve…
  16. notin
    Ive seen that, too. bWAR uses runs allowed while fWAR uses FIP. So pitchers with higher bWAR can benefit from defensive play better. Doubtful that makes the full difference here, but it’s the biggest difference…
  17. notin
    And pay down what it takes to get a worthwhile return…
  18. notin
    True. He did a bunch of 4 and 5 out saves, although I’m not going into each one to see who he faced. Thr current role of closer doesnt do that. But even taking that into account, does he make sense ss the first unanimous HOF selection? It seems like that unique honor - however small you may think it is - there were many more impactful players that were passed over for it…
  19. notin
    It’s a good way to represent perception. When the topic is closers being overrated, I need an inarguable method to show how overrated they are. If course saying closers are overrated isn’t saying relief pitching is overrated. I think Rivera was best used taking on other team’s best hitters when they come up rather than as working almost exclusively in the 9th inning when any hitter is due up. No, I do not believe the 9th inning are the “toughest outs in the game.” I do believe the best hitters on the other team are the toughest outs in the game. A little less romantic, a little less imaginative. But reality isn’t always romantic and imaginative…
  20. notin
    How many 30+ pitchers are worth their 5 year deal?
  21. notin
    And if we take out IKF and substitute Pete Alonso - because we know that was the choice…
  22. notin
    Slow down. Youre changing the meaning here. My original point is closers in general are overrated and WAR encapsulates their value just fine. I stand by that, and I think Bellhorn’s point about the scale of the role has relevance. As for Rivera, he is a Hall of Famer, but he is also far and away the most overrated player in MLB history. He is the best closer, but that role is also quite overvalued by many. Just because he is overrated does mean he’s useless. Not sure where you’re going here, but if I were to put the same flip on you, I’d say you were saying the Yankees without Rivera weren’t a playoff team at all. And I hope you’re not saying that. Rivera really is overrated and a product of right-place/right time. If the Yankee had let Mike Stanton or Gene Nelson close, does it cost them titles? (Did you know Stanton has more bWAR than Rivera in 2000 and 2002?) And as for overrated, do you really think Rivera should have been the first unanimous selection to Cooperstown? Instead of Cal Ripken? Ken Griffey Jr.? Ted Williams? Joe DiMaggio? Or Babe Ruth?
  23. notin
    How did they get them? Enlighten me. If you’re going with their bullpen, remember Rivera was a small part in that 4-headed monster…
  24. notin
    Trading Chapman isn’t punting 2027. He should be replaced, but at some point it’s going to stop being wise to rely on 39 yo relief pitchers…
  25. notin
    It’s unprovable either way, but in the WS in 1998 through 2000, the Yankees were 12-1. That means they got the lead every game. A lesser closer might have blown a game or two. Maybe. But that doesn’t put them on the cusp of losing any of those series. In fact, the only time a blown save did was game 7 of the 2001 World Series, which Rivera did blow and cost the Yankees a title. Aside from the 2001 World Series, the Yankees only played in other winner-take-all games, game 5 against the A’s in the 2009 ALDS, in which Rivera did get a 5 out save protecting a 2 run lead. This is a team that was always playing with the lead. Rivera certainly did his job holding it. But they were never in such close series that any lost lead was crucial. Except in 2001…
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