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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. For a pitcher throwing 80-120 pitches at 85-100mph, you’re pribably right. But most SS only get 400-500 assists per season, or less than 4 per game. While those aren’t the only throws they make, the workload is clearly substantially less, even when accounting for a starting pitcher taking 4 games off…
  2. I suggested a Story/Sean Murphy swap a while back. With Story short arming his throws and Murphy already injured, it looks bleak. But if Atlanta hotshot rookie catcher Drake Baldwin gets off to a good start and Story gets back in the groove, it’s not a crazy idea…
  3. By the end of 2025, the Sox bullpen will have a lights out core of Slaten, Whitlock, Fitts, and Guerrero…
  4. Chapman closed games the end of last year after the Pirates finally decided to have Dave Bednar put to sleep…
  5. The extra year of control isnt the only reason teams do not start prospects. Sometimes they just don’t have the same level of faith in them fans do. Sometimes they simply do not want to delete depth somewhere by DFAing someone of the 40 man roster. And sometimes they actually like the current starter, too…
  6. Atlanta seemed to be miracle workers last year. It’s pretty unusual to see a veteran pitcher finish a single season with more WAR than he had in the previous 5 seasons combined. Sale wasn’t even the only pitcher on the Braves to accomplish that last season…
  7. Zavala is a good catcher if you focus on defense. Sabol is DFA material, probably first man off the roster if the Sox keep one of their prospects and don’t have anyone heading to the 60 day IL. As for Wong in the OF, he’s an emergency candidate only, I assume…
  8. Wong was in the Dodger system at the same time as Will Smith, Keibert Ruiz, and Diego Amaya. The Dodgers used him at 2b, 3b and corner OF, just because of that depth…
  9. He’s not. Youre overestimating him. Last year, he had a .697 OPS and a 92 OPS+, lower than Dominic Smith. He’s did only have a .316 BABIP, which, with his speed, could be improved upon. But while he had his moments, he also had long stretches of not hitting. And his 25% K rate / 7% BB rate leaves lots of room for improvement. Especially that BB rate, since it was usually double that in the minors. He’s not useless. But he is a role player….
  10. Go through a few lists and see for yourself. You see players like Jesus Montero in the top ten multiple times, while Albert Pujols and Mookie Betts never cracked the top 40…
  11. He is for now. Long term I’m not convinced he’s much more than a utility infielder, but I also don’t think he’s a long term fixture at 2b. At some point, I think the Sox might want Grissom to make himself known. But for now, he’s probably heading to Worcester for a bit. Where he and Campbell play is TBD…
  12. The question is very limited - opening day. I wouldn’t look too deep into it. Last year, our opening day second basemen were Enmanuel Valdez and Pablo Reyes. Neither won the job based on their upside or potential…
  13. Not only a small sample size, but there is more to being a 2b than just hitting…
  14. Not sure why he wouldn’t be eligible, but I will say you won’t find pictures of him without his bleached dreadlocks…
  15. Immaterial. The 30 players to achieve AAAA status or below could be ranked 1-30. Most likely, they’re scattered randomly across the list…
  16. The Sox had a long stretch where they didn’t develop a lot of pitchers. But the expectation that every high draft pick has to pan out, and every ranked prospect has to succeed. Or else the future is doomed and it’s all the organization’s flawed development teams and processes. There are only 780 MLB roster spots available. That guy who “failed” didn’t screw up anything. He’s still an amazing player who’s better at baseball than most of the word is at anything. He’s just not in the top 780…
  17. Shame on Breslow for not getting ranked prospects when dealing unranked prospects. Picking on the Yorke trade is silly. How often do you see prospect-for-prospect deals like that? And right Now, the Sox need Priester more than they need Yorke…
  18. Apparently Yoshida will be unable to play OF on opening day, due to only throwing from 60 feet. He does look like a candidate to start on the IL…
  19. Oh I don’t know we are counting prospects who have never even debuted in MLB as top to mid rotation starters in the majors. After all, these are ranked prospects, and those never fail. I was saying that just the other day to Henry Owens. As you were never at the other site that I know of, I will introduce you to something I spent years (and by “years”, I mean “dozens of minutes”) developing - the Notin 10-30-30-30 Law of Prospects. Basically this law, and it is a law, says on average, lists of 100 prospects break down as follows: 10 All Stars 30 Starters, starting pitchers, and closers 30 Bench players, middle relievers 30 AAAA players and below. And rank is immaterial. Which group are Chandler and Harrington in?
  20. They do? When healthy, both teams have 3 starters in the rotation that they drafted or signed. Pitt has Skenes, Jared Jones, and Mitch Keller. Boston has Houck, Crawford and Bello. Skenes is a big deal, but he isn’t the product of superior scouting and, given his limited time in the minors, not really a product of superior development. Jones might be. Only 1.8 bWAR last year, but also only 22. A bit early to tell, but so far it looks promising.. Keller is basically Kutter Crawford. Or Brayan Bello. If our pitchers are backend starters, why aren’t theirs? Houck’s bWAR over the last two seasons is comparable to that of Keller, Crawford, Bello. But his IP are not. Rank him second or third on this list of pitchers, ahead of the Keller/Crawford/Bello crowd.
  21. Maybe Hansen and Meredith just sucked. I’m not so sure the Sox overrated Meredith; he was a sixth round pick, after all. And are you really comparing the Sox to the Pirates here? Do the Pirates call up the Nick Yorke’s of the world due to greater faith in their superior evaluations? Or due to the accompanying paycheck players like Yorke come with?
  22. Frankly, this 40 man roster has too many mediocre infielders and not enough mediocre outfielders. If the Sox go forward with Yoshida and Abreu to the IL, Devers at DH, that leave Hamilton/Grissom/Romy at 2b (if Campbell doesn’t surprise) and who in LF? Or RF? Thompson and Eaton are fine for short term, but what if Abreu lingers like Grissom did last year? Roman Anthony is an option. Or maybe move a backup infielder for a backup outfielder? Refsnyder is the only backup OF, and he can’t play OF very well. On many teams, that’s the only requirement to be a backup OF…
  23. Why would Cora do that? Let’s get Romy on the mound while we’re at it. And maybe see how Whitlock is behind the plate…
  24. Have to wonder how that promise went down. Their original offer to Devers was closer to Matt Olson money, and it was explained that this was because the Sox felt Devers’ future was as a 1b. Obviously the extension paid him substantially more, and at some point, maybe position came up?
  25. I hope so. I’m starting to take his non-responses personally…
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