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Everything posted by notin
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Is leaving in a pitcher who’s gone 4 perfect innings on 52 pitches instead of an overworked bullpen really a miraculous achievement?
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For me? Im not the guy who already signed Hendriks (and Fulmer, who also has closing experience). And not going to be the guy who packages Mayer for pitching, leaving Story as the only SS on the roster with anything remotely resembling a defensive skill set…
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Yeah yeah yeah. And Sale hadn’t been a productive starter since 2019 and is now 35. Are we learning lessons here or not? Hope or not, we both (and hundreds of thousands of others) know that if Story is healthy, he’s the starting shortstop. And will be for as long as that lasts…
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Yes. September call ups used to get no credit for service time…
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If the Sox had simply kept Sale, they’d be in right now, right? That’s one pitcher away…
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Having seen the Sox spend and lose anyway (2015, for example), why prioritize it over making the postseason? If the Sox actually get in, that’s a good thing…
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Nobody. Season will be over…
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We’re not Texas! We’re not Texas!! Didn’t that team win a ring a couple months back?
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Surprised no Wong at DH. Especially with Gasper on the roster… -
1. It’s going to be Story, at least until he breaks again. 2. 2b is likely between Hamilton and Grissom. Hamilton because he’s earned continued chances, and Grissom because they very likely want to give him a proper opportunity. They didn’t post $17mill on Sale’s salary to run up a white flag on 87 post-injury plate appearances. 3. Agreed. Although I suspect more likely a trade than a contract. SI thinks they’re marketing Mayer in just such a trade. Possible. 4. Hendriks? Isn’t this why they got him in the first place? 5. Yes. Yes. A thousand times yes! First up should be Duran and Houck…
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He very likely does. The Astros originally hired Cora because he was one of the most knowledgeable abut analytics. According to Andy Martino in “Cheated,” Cora looked at what the Astros were doing and told them how far behind the curve they were, and then pushed them ahead to where they needed to be. Among MLB managers, Cora has the reputation as being the most knowledgeable about all their analytics. The Sox may have pre-determined Criswell was only going 4IP, but they didn’t do so without some input from Cora…
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Paxton’s rather significant and recent injury history probably made him less of a desirable trade acquisition than Xander Bogaerts and maybe even JD Martinez the year before. But the decision both years to fritter, hum, twitter, waffle, and possibly even dawdle for two deadlines in a row was such a detriment.
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That’s some extremely cursory data analysis. It ignores all the other low spending successes like Milwaukee and Cleveland. As well as all the high spenders that rarely make the postseason, like the Mets, Giants and White Sox. I suspect this relationship is less clear than you think…
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It’s not convoluted. If the Yankees lose tonight, 50% of the division leaders are near the top in payroll and the other 50% are near the bottom. So that means your data is precarious. To me, it looks like spending is the easy way to compete. It’s no guarantee. The only guarantee is that eventually those big contracts wind down and the players bought decline, and that’s a tough situation to get out of. If the Sox are going to spend, it should be mostly on extension for arb-eligible players, or ones not yet arb-eligible…
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Let me add a fact that might alter your opinion one way or another. Alex Cora is not victimized by the data analysis of others. He was hired in both Houston and Boston because of his in-depth knowledge of these analytics. He’s THE GUY for this kind of thing, and has been for a long time. It’s a big part of why they want to promote him up the ladder. If you don’t like analytics, Cora is not your savior. He’s your nemesis…
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And the other two teams are ranked 21st and 23rd in spending. And the team ranked 22nd is 0.5 games out. That means an Orioles win coupled with a Yankee loss means that 50% of the division leaders are in the top ten in spending while the other 50% are in the bottom 10. So, yes, it’s probably a coincidence. If nothing else, it’s certainly far too precarious to be conclusive. And another interesting payroll fact, the team leading the AL Central in payroll - the Chicago White Sox. Also, the Sox decline appears to have started while they had the highest payroll in MLB…
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After his first 12 games, Hamilton was looking pretty DFA-able. .553 OPS. Couldn’t catch or throw. I’m all about giving players a legitimate chance and not making snap judgments on small sample sizes. But with Hamilton, I wasn’t sure there was anything else to see. Yet the Sox kept him and it’s worked out so far…
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Straw man argument. He was at 52 pitches and had retired 12 of 12 hitters…
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And baseball especially where many fans like to fantasize themselves as superior GM/CBOs, or even equivalent ones. I’ve never heard of anyone complaining about the job TV producers do and how they could do it better. “Vincent D’Onofrio!!!?! Really!?! Law and Order would have been much better if they took my suggestion and just sprung for Michael Madsen!!”
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Cora does have a history of pulling pitchers at unusual times. He used to do it quite often with Rich Hill. Bad management call or not, this loss is on the offense. Unless you want to argue Cora got outmanaged by gearing up for a righty opener before facing a lefty for the bulk…
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You’ll blame anything on analytics with no regard for whether or not you know what you’re talking about…
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Isn’t that what the Sox have been doing? Guys like Hamilton and Abreu got the call while the Mayer and Anthony stayed on the farm..
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I think this in general is one of the weirder aspects of baseball fandom. Fans decry teams that use analytics and baseball acumen to make a better team, but love it when they exploit financial advantages. I can hear their cries “stop thinking and learning and making smart decisions!! Just spend money!!” I know lots of fans think analytics are boring. But how exciting is outspending?
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Nice yet incredibly obvious observation. Also completely immaterial with regards to the question that was asked…
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Like Arizona did last year…
