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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    It’s very possible Sandoval and Crawford are in that rotation…
  2. notin
    Do they list QOs?
  3. notin
    Schwarber and, when he officially opts out, Bellinger will carry QOs. Ditto Tucker. Alonso and Suarez cannot be offered one, as both have been tagged before…
  4. notin
    Fitts was the biggest subject on the Sox farm last off-season. But he just doesn’t seem to last well when thrown into starting roles. Make him a reliever. All will be fine…
  5. notin
    How far was he supposed to get? Even with a lead and moving on contact, it takes Eaton nearly 3 seconds to get to third, since he is starting from standstill. If he starts when the ball is pitched, that seems about right. How long does it take to pitch a ball, have it hit, and reach the edge of the infield? This doesn’t take 5 or 6 seconds. Catchers stand up and throw to second faster than that, and a batted ball can certainly be less timely. Or are you starting to realize how little time it takes for these plays to unfold?
  6. notin
    Just in case Jazz held the ball and didn’t throw to first. Eaton only scores if there is an error or defensive miscue on that play, right? Are you telling me Hudson should have foreseen one? And again, with Story up, it made sense to be conservative. If Hudson did send Eaton and Chisholm realized his only play was at home and gunned him down at the plate, would you defend sending Eaton as the right call?
  7. notin
    I think Alonso is possible if the Sox don’t spend or acquire significant money elsewhere. Like Bellinger, Schwarber is also a lefty dead pull hitter. But as he regularly tops 400 feet, the deeper parts of Fenway RF might not be so problematic. But he also strikes me as a free agent likely to attract lots of interest. Thankfully with Stanton still under contract, fitting him into the Yankee lineup isn’t easy. Unlike Bellinger, Schwarber is an incompetent fielder. He did not make it to MLB because of his glove. Hoskins is the relatively economical smart choice. At least thats how I see it. He does make sense if Bregman returns. TO? Is that Tyler O’Neill? Only played 54 games last year and struggled. Also doesnt do much vs RHP. In Boston, would he platoon at DH with Yoshida in your opinion?
  8. notin
    But the bottom line is Hudson had to take the possibility into account. Difficult play or not (including my hypotheticals), it wasn’t some simple no brainer many make it out to be. Had Hudson sent him, he scores easily, but Hudson had no idea if Chisholm would go to first and what would happen next. He certainly didn’t know Chisholm would one-hop the throw or that Rice wouldn’t be able to field it. And Hudson didn’t have time to consult his Ouija board or Tarot cards or Magic 8-ball or whatever prophesying device of preference he employs. Maybe if Wong (or similar) was up next, I could understand sending Eaton. But with Story up, I understand his conservative decision…
  9. notin
    Technically none of them are free agents yet. Bellinger has announced he plans to opt out of his deal. Hoskins isn’t a free agent yet, but the Brewers have already (successfully) replaced him with 4’3” Andrew Vaughn, who, even through the arb process, will still be substantially cheaper than Hoskins’ option. Murekami is likely just a name to pop into the occasional clickbait rumor. Not sure whose radar he will be on or what he would cost. Or if he will be any good…
  10. notin
    Does the act of throwing take over two full seconds?
  11. notin
    Hoskins? Bellinger? Munetaka Murakami?
  12. notin
    Despite my teetotaler tendencies, I will also be rooting for the Brewers. Partly because - f*** the Dodgers. Partly because they haven’t been to the series since 1982 with Harvey’s Wallbangers…
  13. notin
    MLB home run leaders, 2016-2025 (last 10 seasons) 1. Aaron Judge (368) 2. Kyle Schwarber (324) 3. Eugenio Suarez (308) 4. Manny Machado (301) 5. Matt Olson (288) Who knew THAT about Senior Suarez?
  14. notin
    Are you also rooting for the Brewers? Their big deadline acquisitions were Shelby Miller, who was on the IL at the time, and Jordan Montgomery, who was also on the IL at the time, and still is…
  15. notin
    There is a big difference between signing a player to a one year contract (with or without an option) and signing a player to a two year contract knowing they miss the first season. One year deals like the ones to Richard, Perez and Kluber are very common. Teams are not going to stop that because if it doesn’t work out, no need to worry about it in the future. Deals like the ones for Sandoval and Hendriks are often for much better pitchers. The only real risk these carry is the AAV is over two years even though the player only pitches for one. Neither of these deals are going away any time soon. Might as well say “stop signing guys that don’t work out.” Sure the total cost is substantial, but also it’s over 6 seasons. Not like the other option was one $70mill free agent. In fact, what is the other option? MiLB free agency?
  16. notin
    And thank God. The notion of building a team by constantly paying heavily for players in their 30s is beyond unsustainable…
  17. notin
    I believe the Union pressures players to take the most money in many cases. But sometimes players choose among the lucrative offers. Like Trea Turner comically telling San Diego to stop bidding because he (well, his wife) wanted to return to Philadelphia, but the union wanted Trea to just take the biggest offer…
  18. notin
    The Cubs’ loss has saddened my household. But I think we can all agree why the Brewers won - they listened to notin and acquired 4’3” Andrew “No Relation to Mo” Vaughn. <sigh> When will Boston follow suit?
  19. notin
    Jazz absolutely could have made a bad throw. But that’s a bad reason to send a runner. Using StatCast numbers, Eaton runs 29.7 feet per second. Lets cal it 30. He was exactly 90 feet from home when Jazz got to his feet. Three seconds to home . If Jazz looked to first and decided not to throw and took a full second to do so, Eaton is 60 feet from home plate. Oer StatCast, Chisholm thrown 82.3 mph, which is about 120 feet per second. He was probably 130-135 feet from home, so the throw home takes just over a second. Again, if he decides he has no play at first, Eaton would have been out by almost 25 feet. And that’s with Jazz holding the ball for a full second, which is unlikely. He had almost another second to make up his mind. Kerkering panicked. Kim was running on contact from maybe 75 feet away. Pages was unraveling from his swing and then running just over 90 feet. He has been taught since high school (hopefully) “know where you’re going if the all is hit to you.” He messed up on multiple fronts…
  20. notin
    You keep ignoring one very obvious outcome. What if Jazz simply held the ball and made no throw to first? If Jazz came out of his dive and held the ball, something we have both seen 1,000 diving middle infielders do, sending Eaton means he is probably dead at the plate. Jazz was at his feet just as Eaton was touching third and being told to stop, so therefore Jazz had three full seconds to see he had no play at first but did have a play at home. Plenty of time. And Hudson had no way of knowing what Jazz was going to do…
  21. notin
    That doesn’t exclude him from SS. If Story loves to 2b, Mayer is most likely the SS…
  22. notin
    If Story opts out or moves to 2b, why wouldn’t Mayer play SS?
  23. notin
    Sandoval is a lock. Everyone else already passed on him once. If you had to trade one - Bello or Tolle? I did rank Sandoval in between, but I doubt anyone is interest in him right now. To me, outting Bello as more tradable than Tolle was the only time I had to stop and think. Ive been pushing Fitts to the pen for multiple years. SoxProspects finally put him in there. Will the actual Sox follow? I think Perales might be best suited for the bullpen, but almost all pitchers are more suited for the pen than the rotation. I think it makes sense to give him a shot starting..,
  24. notin
    If teams avoid Abreu because he is the dreaded "platoon guy", what do these teams think about Kerry Carpenter? He's like an older Abreu without the defense.. Also I'd be shocked if anyone took Paez. A-ball pitchers rarely get selected, and I think fans get more excited about the Rule 5 draft than CBOs do. If anyone wants Uberstine or Mullens, have at it. The real question for the Sox - do you protect Noah Song?
  25. notin
    Ive actually found historical precedents that do refute my statement. But certainly Duran can be traded for prospects that are in turn flipped for a starter. Early has looked much better than Tolle in very limited action. I’d like them both penciled in between #6 and #9 on the SP depth chart, depending on how you rank them compared to Hunter Dobbin and Kyle Harrison
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