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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. What about a $200mill contract that is $200 a year for one million years? With deferrals?
  2. Anthony in LF, Duran in CF and Abreu/Rafaela in RF is a good all-around OF with some safety built in if Anthony struggles. Just return Duran to LF and Rafaela to CF full time. Of course this flies against the team declaration about playing Rafaela in CF “as much as possible.” Campbell has a shot at 2b, but so do Grissom and Hamilton, and there won’t be enough UI roster spots for everyone …
  3. I am pretty sure they think of Liam Hendriks as their closer, with Slaten or Chapman as Plan B…
  4. The Yankees did lose Soto, but added Fried. Did the Sox additions bridge the 19 game gap between the two teams?
  5. Welcome abound, Sean Newcomb. As Breslow continues to try to corner the market on left-handed pitching…
  6. Bear in mind it’s probably the type of hate that can be assuaged by a $450 million contract…
  7. I keep telling you - we’re signing Bregman. It’s a much better plan than trading Casas for Herrera and Arenado. I mean, try and figure out the Sox lineup with Arenado and no Casas. Who hits 3-5? Story? Yoshida? Abreu? Pretty docile lineup if you ask me…
  8. I could make that happen by cutting him off my fantasy team…
  9. Many take shorter offers or have opt outs because they do want to try free agency. That’s why I’m thinking he goes 3-5 years tops. Hit free agency at 31 and he could still get PAID.
  10. Foxx at 18?!?! Behind Parnell, Nomar and Lester?!?! Jimmie Foxx is so underrated in baseball history. Second player to hit 500 HRs, and retired as #2 all time on that list. He joined the Sox later in his career, but still played 887 games for Boston and had a 1.034 OPS in them. Oh and he once hit 50HRs on a team that didn’t hit 100 hrs. (1938 Red Sox) Pretty sure he’s the only name on that list in MLB history…
  11. I’m sticking with Alcantara as a good comp. Same age. Similar careers to date. Same salary for the age 26 season. I do think 5 yrs $55mill is light, but it’s probably a closer starting point than many think. I’m thinking a 4 yr $80 mill extension. Crochet gets security and had a chance to test free agency before it’s too late…
  12. How many for Yamamoto? I don’t see Yamamoto as a comparison at all. Glasnow was 2 years older when he extended, but that was too different. Crochet will be two years older than Yamamoto but he’s the benchmark? I think too many are hoping the Sox avoid Lester 2.0 by overbidding massively…
  13. But 27yo free agents, while far from common, are not unheard of. It does seem like many pitchers on track to reach free agency that young do extend beforehand, but also sign extensions short enough to still enter the free agent market at an age commensurate with their peers…
  14. Vlad’s reported contract demand of $450mill will be a much bigger obstacle than the 2 years $36mill left on Yoshida’s deal when Vlad hits the market…
  15. For performance, MLB certainly should have more weight than Japan. But what about for durability?
  16. Especially since they made the postseason that year and Strasburg didn’t pitch in their one series…
  17. I can’t find anyone, and it’s also difficult to find pitcher extensions greater than 5 years. Maybe a good parallel is Sandy Alcantara. After his age 25 season, he had 4 years of service time and only 486 IP, and was coming off a 4 bWAR season. He had some injury issues the first few years but no TJ. (He has had one since.) His extension was 5 years $55mill. Certainly inflation and baseball economics would dictate Crochet top that AAV, but double it? And for longer? The only pitcher my limited research has found to get a contract extension longer than 5 years was Jose Berrios. That’s the list…
  18. Potential payday of $250million? Where did that number come from? Only 4 pitchers in history have received contracts that large. Shohei Ohtani (an obvious unique case), Yamamoto (who was 25; Crochet will not be a free agent at age 25 and has less experience and an arm surgery), Gerrit Cole, and Stephen Straburg (it was actually $245mill, but close enough. Also a strong contender for the worst contract in MLB history, as Strasburg only pitched 31 innings on it before injuries ended his career. Washington still owes him $70mill over the next two seasons.) Ohtani will very likely see his pitching career end before that contract does, but he can clearly contribute other ways…
  19. The difference is the bidding war for Yamamoto actually happened and isn’t some conditional future possibility like it is with Crochet…
  20. Yamamoto had about 900 IP in Japan and had his salary determined by a multi-team bidding war. I stand by my Tyler Glasnow comp as the closest so far…
  21. I think Hanley did actually get hurt. Once he banged up his shoulder, he went from early MVP candidate to long term Manchurian Candidate…
  22. Contractually bound? And gagged?
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