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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Zero chance to Sox add TWO big bats plus some Joe Ryan-esque pitcher. If they soend that kind of money, it is a clear sign of Armageddon. As in, Henry knows something and figures he can’t take it with him anyway. And 1b? Expect some combination of Casas, Lowe and/or Campbell. Same names for DH, but either Yoshida in the mix. (And given the resurgences Story and Sale both had in their 4th years of their contracts, this might be the wrong time to unload Yoshida.) If Bregman stays, I expect Mayer to take over 2b. If Bregman moves on, I am hoping on Marte as a replacement. Probably not going to get him, but I am hoping…
  2. notin
    Because Marte can field…
  3. notin
    Things you can’t touch…
  4. notin
    On BTV, if I substitute Abreu, I have to add in Kristian Campbell and either Payton Tolle or Connelly Early to make a fair trade that would tempt me (assuming I was the Dbacks CBO). Starting to get pricey. I’d rather deal Duran and keep my cheaper talent that enables me to buy a SP…
  5. notin
    Not getting this obsession with Joe Ryan. If I soend some talent to get Marte, I much prefer free agents Dylan Cease and Ranger Suarez over Ryan. Suarez is probably cheaper, but maybe the Sox can get RHSP for once…
  6. notin
    If the Sox trade anyone, it’s most likely an OF. The most likely candidates are Duran and Abreu. On BTV, Duran has more trade value than anyone on the Sox except Anthony. Couple that with his limited defense and struggles vs LHP, and I see him as the obvious candidate of the four. Hes an exciting player. But an outfield of Anthony-Rafaela-Abreu gives plenty of reasons to be excited on both sides of the ball. I wouldn’t be broken up if the Sox dealt Abreu instead. But they have to add more worthwhile pieces to that deal, at least according to BTV…
  7. notin
    But that’s baseball. The difference between hitting .250 and hitting .300 is a one measly hit for every 20 at bats…
  8. notin
    I think they do, but I prefer Lowe to Casas. I’d offer arbitration to Lowe and trade/non-tender Casas. But Lowe will be $10-12mill more expensive and I expect that will be a bigger factor than I want it to be…
  9. notin
    In my ideal world, the Sox bring back Lowe, trade for Marte and Bregman doesn’t opt out. There is an extremely good chance none of those things happen…
  10. notin
    Alonso would be a monster at Fenway, especially since he would set the record for the number of Wall Ball Singles. They might call him the Polar Bear, but he runs like a penguin trying to sprint while wearing stilts…
  11. notin
    I actually wonder if Bregman would really opt out. Granted, probably not fully healthy, but his OPS this half is .732. With him turning 32 in March and coming off the last part of this season, is there really a 5 year deal out there for him? And is it one that will not make him regret walking away from $40mill? I don’t think this is such as easy call for him and his agent, especially since he didn’t get the deal he wanted last time at one year younger. Free agency might not be his favorite thing and he might not be so eager to do it again. The difference is, this time he doesn’t have to…
  12. notin
    Huh? That was the point of the post. RF is kind of useless unless you’re comparing two players that play the same position for the same team. Cora has each player used situationally. Ref does play RF against LHP, while Yoshida is primarily a DH. Those roles dictate Ref play the field more. But honestly, I don’t like this usage. Platoons have a glaring weakness in their overall strategy - namely one player is always a worse defender. It’s minimized when it’s the RHH, but it’s certainly not non-existent. And in the case of Abreu and Refsnyder, the gap is monstrous. So much so the Sox are probably better off just leaving Abreu out their full time. Sure he will make more outs at the plate, but he will make more in the field, too. But the one position where platoons do make sense is DH, as this defensive flaw is omitted. I’d rather the Sox leave Abreu in RF full time and platoon Yoshida and Refsnyder at DH…
  13. notin
    Isn't that how most bench players get their starts? Do you have an actual point? Or are you just over actively refuting the minutiae in a post about the Red Sox being forced to start a significant amount of bench players recently, so maybe their biggest weakness isn’t their first baseman, who happens to be one of only 5 active first basemen with both a Gold Glove and a Silver Slugger, so maybe his recent transaction history is overblown as a concern?
  14. notin
    And those OPSs were built by exceeding in his situational role. Good for Boston that they noticed he had this skill set. Previous organizations including New York, Toronto, Tampa, Minnesota, Cleveland and Arizona all either gave up on him quickly or failed to notice that his limited skillset did feature one specialty at which he excels. But really, thats all he has. Im not sure Hes much better defensively than Yoshida. Theyre both complete butchers out there and deciding which one is better is like debating whether or not syphilis is more fun than chlamydia…
  15. notin
    And he is the only one I labeled as a situational role player. Eaton, for example, might be on a bit of a hot streak, relatively speaking. But overall he is an AAAA player, and his career to date supports that. Refsnyder does have 5 starts vs RHP this year. Probably 5 more than you’d normally want from him…
  16. notin
    Refsnyder has 56 PA vs RHP this year with a .632 OPS. He has 128 PA vs LHP. Source: baseball-reference.com. So no on the half his PAs vs RHP. It’s actually less than a third. I called him a situational role player. Why is that wrong? The situation is an opposing LHP. Thats when he primarily plays and what he does best. That he started at all vs RHP means something went terribly wrong…
  17. notin
    The bad place? Did you ever watch “The Good Place”?
  18. notin
    I was the rarity that wanted to bring back Beltre and keep Youkilis at 1b…
  19. notin
    Tomorrow is Rizzo Day at Wrigley. I will be in attendance…
  20. notin
    Romero might not be an option if Mayer got injured in April. But he might be one in August. Hes less likely to be one ever if he battling Mayer for PT in Worcester…
  21. notin
    Depth is a good thing, but that doesn’t necessarily mean burying Mayer in the minors where he starts blocking those coming up behind him. If Bregman doesn’t come back, Mayer is the best internal option for 3b. Trevor Story compared him to a Nolan Arenado, which is high praise. (Although Story might also have been motivated to keep Mayer at 3b for obvious reasons.) Mayer could certainly get injured again, although maybe surgery finally corrects this problem. But the Sox could backup him up internally (Romy?), from below (Romero?) or with a multipurpose free agent (Luis Rengifo?) that also fills other needs. Or, if they tender arbitration to Nate Lowe, trade Casas for a candidate. (Also an option in the unlikely event the Sox put a Polar Bear at 1b.)
  22. notin
    Marte might be more available than you think. https://sports.yahoo.com/article/diamondbacks-rumors-arizona-open-trading-140557610.html The internet is littered with stories about his diva attitude, some of which might even be true. Certainly that makes a good argument against acquiring him, but he is also a legitimate superstar who is the best overall player at a position at which the Sox have had a void for well over half a decade now. BTV gives him a surplus value of $77mill. A deal sending Duran ($60mill) and LHP Brandon Clarke ($16mill) certainly seems fair. Another player (2b replacement David Hamilton? 1b Tristin Casas? Rule 5 eligible RHP Jedixson Paez) could make tjis deal more enticing. Does Arizona need Duran? Maybe. A couple years ago, their OF of the future appeared to be set with Carroll, Alek Thomas, and Jake McCarthy. But it turns out, there is a really good chance Thomas and McCarthy both suck. Still ridiculous?
  23. notin
    No 2013 title. Keep Rizzo? No AGon. No AGon? No way to unload Crawford, Beckett, Punto. Sox keep Crawford and Beckett? They cannot afford Victorino, Uehara, Drew, Napoli, etc…
  24. notin
    But he had a good fielding percentage in those 40 chances!!
  25. notin
    Yes. Dodgers, Padres, Yankees, Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros And even if Volpe - a 3 bWAR player the 2 previous seasons - is a crappy hitter, you named Austin Wells as one. Wells has a career OPS+ of 99. If he’s a crappy hitter, so is 50% of MLB…
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