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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    That would be my plan. But the Sox never use my plans. If they did, we’d have Andrew Vaughn and Miguel Vargas and a more expensive bullpen…
  2. notin
    Some stats are less open to variations than other. Would Bregman have more home runs because of Fenway than Wrigley? Fair question. Impossible to answer. But StatCast data is a little less open. Stuff like exit velocity, hard hit rate, strikeout rate, walk rate, barrel %. You might argue it varies due to facing a different set of pitchers, but how much does that matter? The collective talent level of the pitchers multiple players face pribably evens out to some degree, and this becomes more true with each passing game. OTOH, ballpark and league are not really factors in exit velocity or hard hit rate. A 97mph line drive at Fenway travels the same speed as a 97mph line drive at Oracle. But after that, the variation kicks in…
  3. notin
    Of course you listen on Contreras. And if someone hits your price, sell. But don’t bother looking for big bats now. Not many options will be available. Let’s say any team more than 3 games out of the WC will sell. Right now, that leaves the Giants, Mets, Royals, Tigers and Angels. Which of those teams has the “big bat” you want? We do know none of them will have any interest in Chapman, Gray, or Contreras and maybe not Duran. Some here like Adames, but even if SF wants to deal, he has an NTC. And hreally, Hes a younger Trevor Story with one less hernia. Jo Adell has been mentioned. Spencer Torkelson is a nice match. Jorge Soler? Is this the talent pool to fix this team? Get prospects. Deal them this winter when everyone is making moves…
  4. notin
    I think it’s time the Sox used the Notin Approach to Analytical Hitting. It starts with a simple Q-A format.consisting of 3 simple questions Q1: Do you own a torpedo bat? Q2: Why not? Q3: Go buy a torpedo bat. Now.
  5. notin
    And no one said they’d all be immediate impact players on the level of Fred Lynn and Dustin Pedroia….
  6. notin
    The teams are similar in terms of runs scored, runs allowed, earned runs allowed, RBI, K/BB, team ERA, and, well, just about very team stat I looked at. San Diego does have 14 more home runs as a team, but also 5 fewer runs scored. And they’ve played 2 more games (so technically Boston’s offense is better with 5 more RS in 2 fewer games). So this is actually a pretty weird discovery…
  7. notin
    I dunno. Old Red is pretty convinced was us folks here on Talk Sox. We’re far more influential than those hillbillies on Sons of Sam Horn…
  8. notin
    Well, I believe you called him cheap and bad after I called him a potentially more available Paredes. But see what happens to my recommendations that the Sox ignore. Andrew Vaughn, now Miguel Vargas. Maked you maybe think twice about Matt Shaw. (Shaw actually might be mistimed; the Sox dont necessarily need even more sophomore players. Plus, honestly, Shaw is probably already earmarked for Detroit next month.)
  9. notin
    Wow, slow down Veryca. Only two players you call out has as many as 500 career plate appearances. And one of them has been injured for the past year. MLB is difficult. Not every top prospect is a superstar in his first season. There’s a reason only 5 players in MLB have a ROY and an MVP in their first 2 years…
  10. notin
    But it’s getting more hypothetical as we speak. Not even sure how signing Alonso alleviates the need for a 3b here. The Sox are struggling because all of their sophomore players (Antjony, Durbin, Mayer, Narvaez) are struggling along with two other veteran starters (Duran and the currently injured Story). Thats really it. Thats 2/3 of their lineup producing minimal results. Bringing in someone like Alonso doesn’t change this beyond maybe replacing one hitter and tacking on some “what if” ********. What also doesn’t help is injuries have pressed Yoshida and IKF into larger roles than anticipated. IKF has probably exceeded his low expectations; Yoshida has been another disappointment. But we’re into bench players at this point. The good news is - Antjony has been hitting the ball well, and tjis usually translates into production at some point. We know Duran really isn’t this bad. And even Durbin has gotten better of late. But thats probably too little too late. ..
  11. notin
    Again, the Sox had Contreras at 1b and expected Duran and Anthony to be LF/DH. Where would Alonso have played? They needed INF, and preferably not sophomore infielders. What good is benching, say, Duran but still starting Durbin, Mayer and Story?
  12. notin
    So… you’re saying the Sox should have signed Pete Alonso for the bench?
  13. notin
    Actually I briefly suggested pursuing Miguel Vargas (.860 OPS, 16 HRs), but was quickly told by someone who shall remain nameless (see, drewski? I’m protecting your identity 😉.) that cheap solutions were not acceptable….
  14. notin
    True. I wasn’t counting DH as an outfielder…
  15. notin
    Of the two, Boston is more likely to reject that deal…
  16. notin
    So is demanding the Sox spend more money and Henry sell the team but I don’t see you decrying that….
  17. notin
    They most definitely are not, at least not for fWAR, where they are tied for 13th with 5.2 fWAR…
  18. notin
    Why not? They pitched and played defense and scored very little and came within a lead one step longer of winning a ring…
  19. notin
    Yoshida was the 4th OF entering the season. While not an ideal 4th OF, he wasn’t anyone this team appeared to count for anything beyond occasional production. But his slump when pressed into duty has been another problem. Baring going on some short of crazy tear, I think Yoshida might not be on this team in August…
  20. notin
    Whats not to follow? The Sox ended the preseason with Anthony, Duran, Rafaela and Abreu on their roster. All looked like they deserved starting roles. None got traded. Three get to start in the OF and the fourth at DH. Signing Alonso, Schwarber, whoever benches one of them. They also desperately needed infielders. While Rafaela is an option there, he is a game changer in CF. Durbin always looked like a questionable choice to me, but he does look better lately. But still, grabbing another sophomore on a team already starting 3 is already a questionable decision. Heck just starting 3 is, especially for a CBO as impatient as Breslow…
  21. notin
    Was Breslow’s supposed to know about that stuff in February? I’m all for depth but I’m fairly certain even without asking him Pete Alonso was expecting a full time starting gig…
  22. notin
    GThe starting pitching has mostly been good and better than expected given Crochet’s absence. The bullpen is a two man show so questionable that it has turned Tyron Guerrero into a high leverage arm…
  23. notin
    You might have been thinking of Anthony Santander, their pricey free agent signing from the season prior who broke out in a big way just in time to sign a lucrative contract and then resumed his career of sub-mediocre production. But Toronto ladt year was pitching and defense. They just didn’t stop at starting pitching like another CBO I could name…
  24. notin
    Probably more of a clown for putting together a very inexperienced team. If we assume his 9 starters were: Narvaez, Contreras, Mayer, Story, Durbin, Anthony, Rafaela, Abreu and Duran - that means 4 starters in their second season. None of Durbin, Anthony, nor Mayer began the year with a full MLB season, and Narvaez had just one. That’s 44% of their lineup! Add to that Story letting another injury render him ineffective and the worst start of Duran’s career for whatever reason, and that means 67% of their starting lineup was ineffective, inexperienced or both.
  25. notin
    True, the Blue Jays offense definitely suffered with Bichette being limited to a mere 628 plate appearances in the regular season….
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