notin
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Everything posted by notin
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Clutch vs. choke - do these numbers mean anything?
notin replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
And even then, how do we define “coming through”? Dave Henderson got a ton a Clutch Credit for game for pulling the Sox season out of the fire in game 5 of the 1986 ALCS. Now the home run was as clutch as it gets. But his game winning RBI came on a sac fly. Clutch or not? And Jimy Williams took a ton of flak for starting Pete Schourek in an elimination game in the 1998 ALCS. Schourek was masterful and left the game with a 1-0 lead that Tom Gordon lost. Was Schourek clutch or not? -
“Rebuilding the farm” does have varying levels of success. If you want to supplement your MLB roster, you need it to produce capable to goid Major Leaguers. If you want to use it to make trades, you just need really good minor leaguers…
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His tactic for winning works short term and fails long term, which it did in both Miami and, to a lesser extent, Detroit. In Boston, he did leave the team in a bad place with no farm to support a slew of hefty contracts. Winning is easier when your owner lets you spend a lot. Give Dombrowski the same constraints Cherington had and the 2018 Red Sox season might have been very differen. And by “to a lesser extent”, I meant the winning in Detroit. The aftermath was actually quite devastating. Still is, in fact…
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Depends. Maybe the problem was Bloom didn’t have the prospects to get Scherzer with Washington paying for some/all. Probably why, in the words of Mike Rizzo, talks “didn’t get very far.”
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They have. They’re 4-9 vs Houston this season…
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Dombrowski has also been fired twice in the last 6 years. Maybe Bloom doesn’t want his career…
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That also happened in Tampa. We remember the successes, but the same evaluation techniques also lead to acquiring Jake Bauers, Adeiny Hechevarria and Lucas Duda, among others…
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I think he also got handcuffed by believing in spin rates without necessarily seeing if they were artificial. But I do also think he brought in some undervalued players…
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Ok.. I’m less critical because for much of his moves, his hands are tied financially…
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Dombrowski wins short term because he empties the farm and maintains very high payrolls. It’s great when it works but he has also left 3 teams in very bad shape with aging talent, very heavy payrolls and barren farms. Next up - Philadelphia…
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If that happens, he would wind yup not being worth the deal by their standards. But it still doesn’t change the question about what one should expect from a pitcher on a 1 yr $5mill contract…
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Clutch vs. choke - do these numbers mean anything?
notin replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
It’s not just the sample size with postseason numbers; it’s also that they are often spread out over a range of years. Also they assume every at bat is some sort of important key at bat. When the Yankees are pummeling the Sox in game 3 of the 2003 ALCS, did you watch the hitter driving in the 19th run of that game and think “Nice clutch hit!!”? -
Stupid front office using stats and scouting and player evaluations when hindsight always works out so much better…
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There is also a difference in asking if Perez has sucked or not or if he’s worth his contract. What did you expect one a one year $5mill deal? Most players signing similar deals this off-season - Chris Archer, Kohei Arihara, JA Happ, Jon Lester - are having far worse seasons. Only Anthony Desclafini (2.0 fWAR) is doing better than Perez. Fangraphs currently has Perez worth $4.1 mill this season, putting him on more than pace to be worth his $5mill contract…
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Agreed, but then the team has also been so bad, one has to wonder what really could have been done. The Sox (or really any team) weren’t going to be able to upgrade starting pitching, get reliable bullpen help, find a 1b solution, and overhaul the bench. Not in one deadline…
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Justin has nothing but good things to say about you. Melvin, not so much…
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The Sox needed pitching help at the deadline. Overhauling the bench was a much, much lower priority…
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Let’s face it, in a baseball sense, Cal Jr. did all the heavy lifting. Not like Cal Sr. really gets the ol’ nipples poppin’
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No, but as little brothers go, he was ok. Upton’s?
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That really was Billy Ripken’s only noteworthy accomplishment
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Maybe not, but Little Poison was still a really good player…
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What’s the minimum? You got a Billy Ripken on there and he only hit 7 more…
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Also you left off the only brothers in MLB history who are both in the Hall of Fame. And the brothers with the most combined home runs…
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So I guess you’re also out on Shumpert/Betts? What Storm and Glenn Davis? I do think leaving out the Drews is a glaring omission…
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It made him look like a middle-aged science teacher as opposed to a professional athlete…
