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Everything posted by notin
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But at least they're both healthy. I have some faith in Robles, who at least had a decent season back in 2019. I think Davis was just brought in to be a LH placeholder until Darwinzon returns...
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Still upset at Bloom for passing on him?
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Ok, but this year, the list of Travis Shaw Things includes “post an OPS+ of 66” and “get released from a contender”….
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36yo Dave Robertson hasn’t been any good since 2018. He’s exactly the type of guy most Sox fans complain about if the Sox sign him…
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He can’t keep it up. No one can. But if he can OPS .800 the rest of the way, he’ll be fine…
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It doesn’t make up for it, but it does even it out. His OPS since July 1 is .772, a bit ahead of his .717 season…
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The Orioles and the Cubs both have 11 game losing streaks. With the Cubs, it’s somewhat understandable, as they had one of the biggest fire sales in recent years, unloading Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Javier Baez and Craig Kimbrel. And the only MLB player they got back for them is out for the season. But the Orioles? The only MLB player they dealt off their roster was Freddy Galvis…
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And I will add this disclaimer that my statement that begins with the phrase “he can’t be any worse than” is always false. Sure he can. The question is, will he be?
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Well as I said earlier, he did have two good series against Tampa and Toronto…
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Possible. His agent (Scott Boras) does like to see his clients reach the open market ASAP. And JD didn’t hire Boras to ignore his advice…
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But how many years would he likely get at 35? If he value years more, he opts out. If he wants as much money as possible for 2021 and will worry about the future later, he probably stays. Another thing working against him is that Dombrowski - the man who not only resurrected his career in Detroit but also gave him his current lucrative contract - will have no need for a DH until the rules change…
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That glass is half full!! So you’re not saying he’s been worse since, just that he was better then…
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Well, he has played 2b. But that doesn’t mean he can play there. He’s a worse option there than Arroyo, Hernandez, Arauz and probably Munoz…
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And that he could drop off at any time might be why he sees opting out after this year as his best option. Now maybe he is happy in Boston and stays. But he very likely won’t get as good of an offer - in terms of years and money - after 2022 unless he has another tremendous season. In fact, he’ll be at an age where he might not be able to do better than a series of 1 year deals until he retires…
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Clutch vs. choke - do these numbers mean anything?
notin replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
No one ever denied clutch exists, just that “clutch players” exist… -
Shaw’s boringly average defensive numbers might make that feasible…
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True. But then either way, he has to decide if he prefers money or years. If he stays, it still gets tougher to get a longer deal next year. If you think he is going to stay for the higher single season salary, what will he do the following year? Just retire? The QO could figure in for him for 2022, but he is also t going to avoid it in 2023 unless he is terrible. If he does want more years, opting out after this year is actually his best plan…
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But is he worse than Claudio or Gonsalves? You know the LHRP's who maybe should be added as opposed to Shaw...
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Cruz never exceeded the $14.25mill AAV, but he also got a 4 year deal when he was JD's current age. I don't know if JD wants money or years, but Cruz is certainly an example to show that teams will give an aging DH (up to) 4 years...
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As a free agent? If he opts out of a one year $19.35mill, it won't be to accept a one year $17mill. Maybe a 2 year $34mill. I could see that. I haven't seen anyone mention this, but one reason he might not opt out is that if he does, the Sox might extend a Qualifying Offer (should they still exist), which will make him a less attractive free agent. If that happens, opting out might position him to take the one year offer for less than his current guarantee. Now, if he was a 27yo Bryce Harper hitting the market, no one cares about the QO. But for a 37yo DH? It's very possible some teams do...
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Does he? Seen him pitch lately?
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He might opt out just to force the extension issue. (OK, technically, it would not be an extension at that point.) But yes, just because he opts out doesn't necessarily mean he's gone...
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Does Shaw bring anything? Right now, with Taylor and Darwinzon out, the only lefty in the Sox pen is Austin Davis. I would think Alex Claudio or Steve Gonsalves would be a bigger need. Especially now that the Yankees have Anthony Rizzo and Joey Gallo in the lineup..
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With JD, it might come down to whether or not he think he prioritizes years over money. More money is great, but at his age, years under contract also has to be a consideration. If he thinks he can get 3 or 4 years, then he might opt out. It will be easier to get that deal this year over next year...
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Giancarlo Stanton
