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Everything posted by notin
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MLB set a record $10.7 billion in revenue in 2019. I think a lot more teams have the revenue to spend like Boston, but simply choose not to…
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Do people really think they will be a bidding war for a 28yo pitcher who threw 238 innings total across the previous 4 seasons, and in them had an ERA+ of 97? I suppose that makes him Eovaldi 2.0…
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No. His OPS vs RHP is worse than Dalbec’s…
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It’s not the defense!!! I read it on here..
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And I was ripping the Sandoval deal before it was even finalized. I did like the Hanley deal, and didn’t know what to think about Castillo…
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Yes, assuming they find a good deal. But going over for a couple months is not in the same league as guaranteeing 6 or 7 years and $250 million to some 30+ vet just because the owner let you…
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Yes, because it was a prime inevitability. If you like, Cherington also showed the issues with spending. He got a short term victory, but then the team fell apart due to spending especially spending that prohibited other spending. But at least most of the deals he signed were short...
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So now you're side-stepping? I also mentioned the (pre-2021) Giants and Phillies by name. The Giants have never had anything to do with Dombrowski and the Phillies association is a little too recent to blame him for their high payroll flops of recent years...
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The premise of the post was "payroll = parades", basically. That teams only win because they spend so much money. And this does run counter to any notion of the randomness of the postseason, or at least it has to if you define success as World Series Champion and nothing else. Here's the issue 1. Plenty of small market and low payroll teams do extremely well, and plenty of high payroll teams do not. 2. Your definition of the "big picture" was exactly the opposite - a rather small one where we focus on the Sox teams that won. Well, the Sox teams that won in 2016 through 2018 were steps on an inevitable path to the teams in 2019 and 2020. THAT is the problem with spending heavy; it leads to short term success (occasionally) and long term failure (always). Especially when it's the only thing the GM can do.
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Stop. You cannot argue there is any randomness at all in the postseason and then follow up here like this. The disparity between Dodgers and the Rays in 2020 alone shows this. The 2016 Guardians - the back end of the time frame you chose - were 24th in MLB in payroll and took the World Series to extra innings in game seven. You don't get to ignore that one off simply because they didn't win. It's not like the difference was whether or not they spent a few more dollars. Meanwhile the Giants (pre-2021) and Phillies have been hanging out near the top of the MLB payroll for years and shown no hint of even making the postseason...
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So the big picture is still just Red Sox teams? Since 2014, the average place in their division for the top 5 payrolls in MLB is 2.5. The average finish of the bottom 5 is 3.4. So it’s “better”, but the correlation between heavy spending and winning isn’t as strong as the post implied…
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AGon was a pleasant surprise as an outfielder…
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Like the 2019 Red Sox? Or the 2020 Red Sox?
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I agree. I think he needs at least 85 plate appearances before we label him a success or bust…
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He must have attended the same hitting school as Chavis…
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I could see it not happening. But the odds of it happening do go up significantly if the NL adopts the DH. And maybe that’s a factor. If the NL decides to adopt the DH in 2023, if I was his agent, I’d advise him to take his last option in Boston. If they adopt it for 2022, no way would I tell him to accept now that up to 15 more teams just got interested…
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How will the regular season end for the 2021 Boston Red Sox
notin replied to mvp 78's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The guy pitching tonight? -
Schoop’s extension was reported on August 7, after the deadline. Now it’s pretty likely negotiations started prior to the deadline, but so far it’s not definitive…
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I still think it’s possible…
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I think that depends why it’s underwhelming. If for some reason he isn’t allowed to spend, do we blame Bloom? If he is allowed to spend, and sinks all his cash into Jake Arrieta and Ryan Zimmerman, yeah, we can blame Bloom…
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I made a post a while back comparing Fangraphs Future Values to Sox prospects of equal FV and one iteration of an equivalent package was Casas and Houck. Now as the FV values are not really all that definitive, I can’t for certain say that was the only way to get Rizzo, but what became obvious was that deal would have put a major dent in the Sox farm for two months of a first baseman whose OPS was under .800 at the time…
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Scherzer alone might have cost us Casas plus. But what probably hurt was not having any MLB ready pitching prospects…
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It was somewhat understanding in the off-season, since they had no idea of or when Sale would return. I can see holding back with the ace still in question. At the deadline, it made zero sense. Unless Henry just plans to stay under for a long time…
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Agreed. Especially now…
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Who? Seth Green? I will admit he only got to read for the part because he has the same initials…
