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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. On BTV’s model, he’d have to break up his team to get Duran. Or take Yoshida, not the best contract for a team actively paring salary in recent years…
  2. My understanding is they use multiple projections somehow. Its a secret guarded as closely as the KFC spice combination that can make lumps of space age polymers taste like heavily salted chicken…
  3. Big power bat without high Ks isnt happening. That’s a recipe for Cooperstown. The closest active player to giving you that profile is Juan Soto, and he won’t see free agency for 14 more years…
  4. You can get some projected WAR from Fangraphs…
  5. Assuming Boston trades their two highest WAR values in one move, that deal strongly favors MN, with Boston trading $94mill for $76mill.. Of course that deal would never happen, as Buxton has been very open about his desire to stay in MN, and he has the 10/5 rights to ensure it…
  6. Or one Ketel Marte, who also has a surplus value of about $70mill. Unless they do deal him straight up for Marte (1 in 1,000,000,006 chance) I doubt they get back any package valued at $70mill…
  7. Yes. They basically use projected WAR (in USD) vs projected salary…
  8. Duran’s BTV values is off the chart. His surplus value is like $70mill, 6th highest among MLB outfielders, as opposed to only $33mill for Abreu. I honestly think it’s a little high…
  9. Some notin trades - BTV-approved 1. Jhostnyxon Garcia to SD for RHRP Jeremiah Estrada 2. Wilyer Abreu to Philly for SS Aiden Miller. Miller and LHPBrandon Clarke to MN for RHSP Joe Ryan. (I’m not a huge Ryan fan, but Breslow did try to get him before.) Then sign either Bregman and 1b Rhys Hoskins or 1b Pete Alonso and 2b Luis Rengifo. Cost is probably similar.
  10. Probably MLB’s all time leader in fewest pitches per at bat. The Gator was a pure hitter. RIP
  11. Johnny Damon and Andrew Benintendi come to mind…
  12. Give Jeter some credit. While not as good as ARod overall, he did get over 3,000 hits - a feat accomplished by exactly 0 mediocre hitters…
  13. “No point. It’s 6:30. He went to bed. Still grumbling.”
  14. … reliance on private nurses and walkers, complaining the kids don’t call. We can get all of that from Bregman
  15. Arias’ calling card is not his bat. This is true. I don’t think it keeps him out of MLB, however…
  16. If Bregman returns - still very likely even if he opts out - I think that takes enough budget to limit any new hitter. It probably removes Alonso as an option. But Rhys Hopkins, who seems geared for Fenway, might still be in play. If so, the Sox might leave Mayer at 2b and let Story play out his deal, as it (hopefully) takes Boston right to Franklin Arias taking over SS.
  17. One trade I think I’d like to see is Jhostnyxon Garcis to San Diego for RHRP Jeremiah Estrada. Garcia is a BA Top 100 prospect currently 6th on the Sox OF depth chart, sitting behind Duran, Abreu, Anthony, Rafaela and possibly Kristian Campbell. Using him as a RHH platoon option is a waste. Either play him or trade him. And it would take a lot of injuries to need to play him. San Diego needs an OF. They have virtually no prospect depth and started the rather vanilla Bryce Johnson in LF during the postseason. And their bullpen is absolutely stacked with Robert Suarez (whose option will be exercised), Mason Miller, and Adrian Morejon at the backend with Estrada. A bullpen with Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten, and Estrada at the back end can do wonders for the SP, leaving them fewer IP. BTV does value both players nearly identically. Make the call, Craig…
  18. Ummm…. Of course. Yes, they look forward to hearing from you. Just remember, when the time comes, those are …. ummm … party shackles. Theyre for fun! Lots of fun!
  19. If they do, I am holding you personally responsible. I hope you will be able to explain yourself when you’re called to testify before The Committee…
  20. Roster share? Like more Hamilton/Romy? Not even bring in someone like Luis Rengifo?
  21. Per StatCast, both Bregman and Story average 82.3 mph…
  22. That’s because is was all Casas’ fault!! If he knew how to run to first without crippling himself! (Let’s see who takes this accusation seriously.)
  23. It’s also the one day of the year mediasrojas comes here to post :)
  24. Matz and Refsnyder. Thats it. I do assume Bregman will get some priority if he opts out…
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