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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I have serious concerns with Mayer, as well as a DHam/Romy platoon. I'm not concerned with Rafaela, Story or Narvaez, except with their health. Our everyday players are more balanced than most team, which may not be a good thing, if we are balanced in mediocrity. We lack big bats, but we also have fewer black holes projected as starters than most teams. A lot depends on who we add. I hope it's a 3Bman like Paredes, so Mayer plays 2B, and we have Romy as a capable back-up or platoon partner for him. If we get a decent 2Bman, we'll have to live with Mayer and eeek Romy/Eaton at 3B, but we may just pass the M's in projected fWAR for 2026. BTW, I'm expecting the M's pitching to rebound in 2026.
  2. moonslav59
    Although the Sox are not ranked highly with their everyday players, and that is concerning, these are those 3 players' projected fWAR numbers: 3.2 Rafaela (609 PAs) 2.3 Story (665 PAs) 1.9 Narvaez (423 PAs) 1.5 Mayer (539 PAs) The Sox have 7 players at 1.9 or higher and 8 at 1.5 or higher. The Ms have just 5. Mariner fans should be worried.
  3. moonslav59
    Agreed, and Rafaela is an outstanding OF'er who put up a 3.8fWAR in 2025, and that is something harmony uses often. harmony also values projections, and Ceddanne has these three fWAR estimates for 2026: 3.2, 2.5 & 3.4. If he gives us 2.0, I'm not worried, and he shouldn't be either.
  4. moonslav59
    I'm not a Vientos fan at all, but Baty hits LH'd and Vientos brings power as a RHB. Baty has a little power, too. Masa might out OPS Vientos, but I think a Baty/Vientos add would be enough for our offense to balance the L-R set up and end the Masa issue once and for all. 1. L Anthony LF 2. R Contreras 1B 3. L Abreu RF 4. R Vientos DH 5. L Baty 3B 6. R Story SS 7. L Mayer/ R Romy 2B 8. R Narvaez C 9. R Rafaela CF Casas offers some LH'd power at DH or 1B. Vientos can back up 3B or 1B better than Masa can back up anywhere. Baty can play 2B, and Mayer can play 3B or SS. Romy can play 1B or DH. Just what Cora likes. Yes, we lose Duran's bat, but I think our offense improves and our budget looks better going forward. Baty and Vientos are pre-arb!
  5. moonslav59
    Agreed, and when you figure we will add a decent 3B/2Bman, we came very close to filling all 3 highest need areas and slam dunked saturated the SP'er area. SP# check, double check 2B/3B assume we check Power RHB nearly checked with Contreras. (If the 2B/3Bman can give us some pop or decent offense, we could say all boxes were addressed.)
  6. moonslav59
    Esp with STEAMER
  7. moonslav59
    Good points. On Duran/Hicks move: we'd have to dump Masa elsewhere to get Suarez.
  8. moonslav59
    Are you concerned these Mariners are projected with 250+ PAs and these wRC+? 94 Robles 94 Williamson 94 Emerson
  9. moonslav59
    For sure, but some look like better shots than others. Not sure Mayer does. Anthony sure does, but so did Campbell for a couple weeks.
  10. moonslav59
    That day may never come, but maybe someone else steps in and gives us more than we hope from Mayer. (Campbell? Arias? Godbout?) All great young players were once "suspects."
  11. moonslav59
    Oh, I'm very worried about that. I'm also worried that Story could play 155 game and see his OPS drop by 25-75 points. Mayer could stay 100% healthy and not get over .700. There are more worries than just health with those two.
  12. moonslav59
    You've said this as much as I've said "Botched." 🤪
  13. moonslav59
    I took the total games played. Sorry, if I misunderstood you meant season by season.
  14. moonslav59
    Looking at the winter as a whole, I do think spending most of our resources on 3 pitchers (Suarez, Gray & Oviedo) and a 1Bman (Contreras) looks misplaced, each move by itself looks okay to really good, to me. That doesn't mean I'm happy with the results, if this is it. I'm not. I had our biggest needs in this order: 1. Big bat with power (preferably RH'd) T2. 2B/3B T2. #2 SP'er (closer to a #1 than a #3.) Suarez certainly fills the 2nd need. Gray might have covered the same need. Oviedo filled none of the top 3 needs and maybe not even a top 6 or 7 need, especially when you factor in we added a solid #2 and a solid #3. While extra pitching does mitigate the other needs to some extent, we still need a 2B/3Bman. One could say Contreras almost filled the big bat need, so maybe the extra pitching can make up for that shortcoming, but that 3B/2B need is still glarin
  15. moonslav59
    I agreed both are injury prone. I do think saying 1 out of 4 when it was 2 out of 4 is misleading.
  16. moonslav59
    I doubt that happens. Also, last 3 years OPS (300+ PAs) .859 Anthony (smaller sample size by a lot) .817 Contreras (w STL) .810 Duran .803 Casas ______________ 2025 only .859 Anthony .826 Romy .791 Contreras ,786 Abreu .774 Duran
  17. moonslav59
    True. He basically played one full season over the previous 3 seasons combined, but it was not one season in 4 years. Mayer was in the minors, where seasons are shorter, so his 333 games in 4 years is not quite as bad as it looks... also, a bit misleading.
  18. moonslav59
    It is scary about their injury histories, but in the last 4 years they have played: 320 Games Story (That's 2 full seasons.) 333 games Mayer (minors + majors, which is 2 full seasons in MLB.)
  19. moonslav59
    Like sign stealing and cheating... LOL.
  20. moonslav59
    Didn't think this one out too much, but here is my last BTV trade offering: Duran, Sandoval, DHam, Masas & $20M (about half of what Masa is owed) for Baty (3B) & Vientos (DH/1B/3B) Between the $8M x 2 saved on Masa, $8M on Duran and $8M on Sandoval, maybe we can afford to sign a couple RP'ers. A simpler trade, also accepted was Duran & Hicks for Baty. That might allow us to sign E Suarez to DH and not get Vientos for that. However, we'd still have Masa. Maybe Duran + Masa + $18M for Baty, then sign Suarez.
  21. moonslav59
    Didn't we hear the Dodgers and Mets were why there was going to be a lockout last time?
  22. moonslav59
    I'm wondering if the price for E Suarez is so low, he is what is holding up trades being made. We are a better team with E Suarez than without him. I think we are better with ESuarez + Duran than Donovan minus Duran or Paredes minus Abreu. I do not think JH wants us over line 3. That might be why we hung firm on the Breggie deferments.
  23. moonslav59
    I do think Masa can hit .760-.810, which is pretty close to what Duran is projected to hit, so I can see the idea of keeping him around, as the trade value between he and Duran is miles apart. I also don't see anyone paying Hicks full boat, so maybe he gets a look, too. The deals I suggested with those two involved giving a rich team someone they really wanted, taking back someone of lesser value and evening the deal by making them pay for Masa or Hicks, or my trade suggestions involved getting back high salary, too, but someone at a position of need, of which DH and RH'd RP'er are not high on our list. Adding blocked players helped sweeten the pot for the other team to say yes, we'll pay your higher paid sunken cost, if you take ours, but only if you include ____.
  24. moonslav59
    So, if they were FAs, they'd only get minor league offers or near min wage ML ones? While BTV is certainly not perfect, they claim Masa is worth $5.6M (or $2.8 x 2 yrs) and Hicks is worth $4.4M (or $2.2M x 2 yrs.) That is not far from min wage, granted, especially Hicks, but look what some similar players have signed for... Joel Payamps signed for higher AAV than $2.2M, although it was just for 1 year, Jake Fraley signed for more than Masa's $2.8M BTV value. Hell, Dustin May signed for $12.5M/1 which is a higher pay than what BTV says Masa+Hicks actual production value will be! BTV gives payamps a value of $1.4M/1, which is 2/3 of the yearly value they assign Hicks. They give Fraley the exact yearly value as Masa ($2.8M.) Somehow the give DMay a value of 10.8M, so that kinda exposes their system, a bit, right? The thing is, trading both to even save what the BTV value is ($5M x 2) won't likely create enough budget room for anything earth-shattering, but we do need an infielder and maybe a couple RP'ers, unless we convert some starters. I guess Brez wants a catcher, too.
  25. moonslav59
    I think it's more likely Romy platoons at 2B or 3B than DH/OF. Of course, after we make a trade, that could change.
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