sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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probably have to put joe mccarthy there somewhere
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https://theathletic.com/5245693/2024/02/05/top-100-mlb-prospects-2024-keith-law/ blurbs Mayer Anthony Rafaela Teel Bleis
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It is good to have options. But where this team is, you keep the guys you think can be stars and trade guys on the next tier. I don't think Yorke is the centerpiece of a trade for a #1/#2 starter - but he does have value as a near ML-ready regular, and with all of that team control. To me, Bleis is the one to trade simply because he is so far away - just a wider range of outcomes. But he might make a leap this year, his Statcast numbers are promising. And obviously Zanetello is a wild card - the sort of elite, elite traits and tools which could rocket through the system ... I do think the team is serious in the trade market. As far as FAs go, who knows - the top guys are all Boras dudes, so nobody is going to learn anything for a while one way or the other.
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Yes. It only looks worse because he played through a hurt shoulder and Roman Anthony exists.
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The big difference is the actual Nick Pivetta more or less maxes out at Nick Pivetta's production level. Giolito's top end is much higher - and we don't have to stretch too far in the time machine to see it.
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The thing with Giolito is that he is a workhorse. Now, he is 29 - and his velocity has not dropped. But the strikeout rate has and the homerun rate has gone bananas. This is a case of whether Giolito and Bailey can fix what went haywire mechanically - because Giolito can still sling it. Giolito has been a 4 win pitcher as recently as 2021. Basically they are paying the sticker price for Nick Pivetta's production - with at least a low but plausible possibility there is a #2/#3 caliber starter in there. Obviously I want more for the rotation - but this is a perfectly good pickup.
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From Law's breakdown of the trade and the Giolito pickup: https://theathletic.com/5170577/2023/12/30/law-chris-sale-trade-atlanta-boston/ ....
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well Giolito and the likely starting 2B.
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The team was 78-84 and is about the same on paper.
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1. I don't think the Red Sox are conceding next year - and with the 3 Wild Cards they shouldn't (ever) 2. If Giolito is good, he will cost sticker price - but the Red Sox absolutely can (and should) pay it. It's not a super friendly deal for Boston, but if Giolito is good - $19M is a screaming bargain. Even if Giolito is just an innings sponge - it's not a good value for $19M but it is not debilitating.
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Yeah the glove was shaky - hopefully 2B helps - but it looks like he can hit.
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Maybe - but I think they wanted the freedom to trade from the middle infield group. This gives them some flexibility.
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obviously the team will miss Sale - he was still good when he was healthy. But he also once suffered a broken wrist while trying to type a Players Tribune article as to why the government wants us to be injected with Satan's DNA - so durability wasn't his strong suit.
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I won't say that - but Sale has also has 2.6 WAR over the last 4 seasons combined.
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Well there is the 2B answer possibly. Now does this mean that Breslow is looking at moving a middle infielder or two in trade? Fair question.
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Well, time to get a #1 pitcher I guess!
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I am still somewhat optimistic something shakes down with one of the good remaining pitchers. Of course, they are all Boras guys so things could be slooooooooooooooooooooow
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Honestly - assuming Sale doesn't get attacked by locusts ... Sale, Bello, Giolito, Pivetta, Crawford is not where you want to be at the top of the rotation, but it should be average to a little above.
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He will help. Most likely he is a mid-rotation guy. But there is a non-trivial (15-20%) he will be at least as good as Bello. If this is THE MOVE, boo ... but I do like the pickup.
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not enough obviously but I think one of the better short term options out there.
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A 7 or 8 year rebuild is crazy bananapants for a franchise like the Sox.
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I am actually kind of okay with turning over a lot of it to the kids - a lot of them are promising. But - even then, we know the going rate for these things now. And if we want to keep the Anthony-Mayer-Abreu core together (if that is the core), you're going to have to pay a sticker price eventually or you just end up trading every good 28 year old player. The thing with being the Boston Bleeping Red Sox is that you should be able to make Mookie Betts type of decisions from a position of strength.
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The McAdam piece was terrifying - if the team is not committed to the tax line as a minimum expectation, it is harrowing. Worst still will be if they want to pinch pennies in general. Like Tampa - we know they have a low MLB payroll, but they also have the largest pro scouting staff in the league and they put a ton of money into scouting, coaching and analytics. The Dodgers (the ONLY team that actually has more revenue firepower than Boston) spend on all of it. If the Red Sox want to be a team not as dependent on free agency, fine - but they then need to pour resources into scouting and development.
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Obviously if this is the move, LOL ... but if they have a Top 2 starter in mind AND Paxton, fine
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The length would have bothered me too - though it is increasingly the cost of doing business, especially if you want to get below the tax line. The thing with Nola is that he is an absolute workhorse in a league where that is increasingly rare - and there is some knockon benefit for the pitching staff there. And he was a 6 win player in 2022, and his history shows while it has been inconsistent, the high end stuff is pretty good.