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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    To a degree. I mean Theo did the same when he was here. This doesn't mean that the manager did not have input before hiring. But arguably the manager's biggest job is making the coaching staff work.
  2. sk7326
    I think you need an above average glove. The team went in 2022 from a fairly good up the middle defense to the saddest of trombones.
  3. sk7326
    Looking at the tiers in Passan's Free agency column, at least where my head is at pitching wise I assume Yamamoto goes to the Mets, but yes I'd be all for the Red Sox doing whatever it takes. All indicators are some version of good and 25 year olds just don't hit the market anymore. Snell is ceiling with durability questions. I do kind of like Montgomery better. Yariel Rodriguez' underlying stuff is fascinating and again a 26 year old FA has to be taken seriously - but unproven in MLB and can he start? Lucas Giolito is a good upside play - probably one of the better ones among the pitchers. I'd be disappointed if the team did not end up with at least 2 starters, maybe 3.
  4. sk7326
    The top 3 starters in particular had solid FIP/ERA gaps. Rodriguez in particular got very little help from the defense. In 2023, there was basically nothing reliable - the closest was Bello and he was more "promising" than anything.
  5. sk7326
    Heck, I'd even settle for 2021 rotation where the starters were solid and the mid-back of the rotation could soak up innings.
  6. sk7326
    Yeah - he gives more salary relief. Now, you can't trade for him unless you are willing to give him a $500M deal. But ... if I were Breslow and gang, I would kick the tires on it.
  7. sk7326
    Offer Garver something like 2/20 and let it be a Teel-Graver Now in theory you'd wonder what Graver can be with more PAs given being a 2 win player now is - but he has never had that workload and I have to assume other teams are smarter on this than me.
  8. sk7326
    Honestly, Graver probably remains attractive independent of the Teel question. They are a platoon match - and obviously Graver hits righties enough to be able to handle a closer to 50-50 jobshare. If Teel gets the call, having Graver allows the team to phase Teel in. Wong would be the guy sacrificed in this case.
  9. sk7326
    Yes. Verdugo is a plus asset at the price and contract. Now if he could help bring some solid controllable pitching - that would be a different deal.
  10. sk7326
    Also the $14 is a projection. After all, he got cut. It is certainly possible he gets significantly less than $14M as a base salary.
  11. sk7326
    That makes sense to me. I might subsitute Merrifield with Anderson on a prove-it deal. I wouldn't call myself bullish on either player - but I would not be surprised if Anderson bounced back some. He was arguably the worst regular in the league last year which seems flukish to me. Yamamoto is my top target - even with a bit more risk, 25 year olds are not hitting the open market. I would be surprised if Nola did not return to Philadelphia though it's certainly possible. I mean a 7/200 meal for Yamamoto means he is still just 32 at the end of it.
  12. sk7326
    Fair enough. I use OBP because it is the much more important side of the OPS equation ... and there is almost no combination of defense and power where a sub .300 OBP guy is a big league corner. Either way, he is the consummate 4A player.
  13. sk7326
    For me, Yamamoto is the top pitching option if he gets posted ... the posting fee will be bananas, but the player's contract will be almost certainly a bargain. There is definitely a lower floor, but you are getting a 25 year old starter with Top 3 rotation upside at a minimum. Tim Anderson on a prove-it deal might make sense for 2B.
  14. sk7326
    Dalbec did not have an OBP above .300 in any month before August. Basically his uptick coincided with not having to face righties anymore. And of course, being this miserable against right-handed pitchers means you can't be a big league starter.
  15. sk7326
    Yeah - I mean Dalbec really took off at the end of 2021 after he got a high level platoon partner - and I don't think the plan to see if he could hit righties was necessarily terrible, but the evidence was against it. He might still be able to stick in the league as the smaller half of a platoon, but that's about it.
  16. sk7326
    I remember Chris Young as an All-Ivy Center for Princeton basketball.
  17. sk7326
    I imagine it was like a lot of businesses - the pandemic shifted to a remote environment, and then it just stayed that way.
  18. sk7326
    We also know Rafaela has some real pop in the bat for a teeny tiny guy. Can he make enough contact (let's just dispense with the idea we are expecting him to walk a whole lot) to keep his glove out there? I think it's certainly possible.
  19. sk7326
    It could - but frankly I am more interested now in ripping the band-aid off and seeing what you have instead of more half-measures. If the team brings in a stud though that is a different calculus.
  20. sk7326
    One of the useful things from the statcast data is also seeing exactly how many outs above average there are in general - the spread. We know these positions are not all equal. Casas is bad at 1st - but the road to "good enough" is not all that diffcult. Kike is an interesting case - went from one of the best CFs in the game in 2021 to middle of the pack in 2022.
  21. sk7326
    There is a Jimmies and Joes thing. But I also wonder whether the shift rules impeded some of the ways the team could wallpaper over the issue. That said, Bogaerts this year was roughly the same as he was last year by Statcast data. Same with Dansby Swanson at the top of the list.
  22. sk7326
    Can you find Chaim Bloom highlights on youtube?
  23. sk7326
    He was a top 15 prospect entering the season, held that midseason and is one of the youngest regulars in Double-A. His stock is just fine. It only looks bad when compared to Roman Anthony who might be THE youngest regular at the level.
  24. sk7326
    Looking at the Success Rate Added via Statcast Data 1B: Triston Casas, 33rd out of 37 qualified 2B: Christina Arroyo, 26th out of 40 SS: Nobody Qualified on roster ... Kike Hernandez, 35th out of 35 3B: Rafael Devers, 31st out of 36 LF: Masataka Yoshida, 33rd out of 35 CF: Jarren Duran, 34th out of 38 (Adam Duvall 38th out of 38) RF: Alex Verdugo, 12th out of 36 So that is a grand total of 1 player who was above the median in Statcast metrics The middle infield in particular - to give some perspective 2022 - Bogaerts was 14th at SS, Story was 2nd at 2B. So the middle infield went from pretty good to pee-you.
  25. sk7326
    Well, if Story is just any sort of healthy that means one of the middle infield positions will be above average to plus. Casas will likely be better at 1B - if nothing else because he probably can't be worse. I could see a world where Rafaela is at 2B and Story at SS, and that would probably be solid, even if I think Rafaela is best optimized at CF.
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