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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. Absolutely. They should be fun. To me, the question is whether there is enough defensive improvement to help the pitching at least a bit. We had the worst of all worlds last season.
  2. The team's position that position players are just lower risk and easier to project than pitchers is obviously correct - but at the same time you need pitching and have to get it somehow. If the team wants to focus draft priorities on bats/gloves - then you have to rely on your pro scouting to make deals like the Eduardo Rodriguez one. But what you also need is for your own pitching development to help. That is a little bit why I am "wait and see" about Breslow - because clearly part of his charge is to rebuild the pitching development infrastructure. Like, if Gonzalez makes a leap this year or finds some consistency ... and you have some other triumphs like that, or if Bello makes a leap, then I'm more positive.
  3. One thing is his corner is that he has made adjustments at every level to get better ... he has the aptitude to improve.
  4. Holliday has to be the favorite if/when he comes up. I think Abreu could also get some love if the power is there. But he should be good defensively in RF and he has a good approach at the plate. Whether he is a .240 hitter or a .260 hitter will make a big difference there.
  5. The NICE version I think is .. They had a couple of premium targets they really wanted to sign - like Yamamoto. Once that didn't happen - they decided to keep the CBT powder clean and to try to give a runway for some young talent to take some big league positions. Giolito was supposed to be a floor raiser, and we see how that went. Breslow is taking inventory - but I think his biggest job is how to fix the pitching infrastructure in the org.
  6. Story has had a solid spring. The most important thing Rafaela has shown is that he is capable of not swinging from time to time - or at least some improvement therein. If he can be a .310 OBP with the power he can generate and the way he can play CF, he could make a serious Rookie of the Year run.
  7. He did not force the players to not sign. That said, during the CBA negotiations I kept wondering why the players were not getting more assurances for $$ visibility from the owners. I was floored when the players allowed the CBT tax lines to not be tied to revenue. All of the conditions that resulted in the players (likely) in baseball getting the smallest share of the pie of the major sportsball players groups were still there.
  8. Montgomery is not a superstar ... but you add him and suddenly the rotation looks like it could be above average. It is a big floor raiser.
  9. Yes. Both of the players were unique prospects. Shohei speaks for himself. Yamamoto is a 25 year old FA with #1 starter upside - those just don't get to market on the regular.
  10. There is plenty of evidence they should keep developing him as a starter.
  11. coincidence
  12. What is useful is that Dalbec is a good athlete and can play the other corners passably. Between DH, LF, 1B (sometimes) there is plenty of specialist RHB at-bats if Dalbec can earn them.
  13. It's Boras. Owners in baseball have been getting stingier anyway compared to their bretheren in other sports.
  14. It's not a great distinction - but the team needed to add quality arms, and Sandlin qualifies. I think the deal was a no-brainer.
  15. Right. But can Wikelman just get his motion fixed so he knows where the ball is going (at least more often). Can Perales find enough consistency even with just two pitches to be a twice through the order guy. Again, the probabilties of both are low - but Breslow's job is to organizationally figure out how to help convert those probabilities.
  16. The real task for Breslow is how to get the "best case" outcomes for Perales and Wikelman.
  17. Yeah. I think Law put Sandlin in at #11 on the Sox prospects list ... the #1 pitcher in the system, and the only one with (as of this second) a reasonably likely path to being a starter.
  18. Maybe. But Royals offered Boston the guy who is likely becomes Boston's #1 pitching prospect in the org for a middle reliever - that is a hard deal to turn down.
  19. A good rule of thumb is to consider "replacement level" as basically a 40 win team or so ... so the ZIPS projections point to a .500ish team which seems about right
  20. Honestly, Boston was 78-84 last year and I see no reason to think they are worse. The defense has the promise of at least being average, and the pitching has not backslid (though it has not improved). A lot depends on Story and some youngsters - but in the land of the 3 wild cards, not all THAT much has to go right to see October baseball. It'd be nice if one of the Boras pitchers shows up - even on a short deal, but I am not betting anything important on that.
  21. Oh I think they are going to start him until he proves otherwise. He (sadly) immediately if the best starter prospect in the org.
  22. I give him a lot of credit to improve to "fine" at SS - not plus, but not a minus and a very good player when you add the bat. But makes sense for him to move.
  23. On paper this is a good deal Boston - trading Schreiber for a minor league prospect with some actual pathway to being a (back end but still) starter. Law's writeup (#7 in the Royals system) He is definitely a candidate to move quick, quicker still if it is the pen.
  24. I dunno - he was 13th in Statcast OAA among qualified shortstops in 2022, 16th in 2023. He is moving to 2B this season because the Padres want to promote a guy. But Bogaerts worked hard to make himself an acceptable SS. I think one of the things that colors Bogaerts' time here is how became a very good player but a very different than was advertised as a prospect. Bogaerts vs Nomar is interesting in that Nomar had a bunch of true MVP-caliber seasons compared to Xander but he was done as a quality regular by age 29.
  25. I actually agree with management that you need to give the kids a runway to take big league spots. Now, the not spending on the rotation is a different deal.
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