Honestly, Boston was 78-84 last year and I see no reason to think they are worse. The defense has the promise of at least being average, and the pitching has not backslid (though it has not improved). A lot depends on Story and some youngsters - but in the land of the 3 wild cards, not all THAT much has to go right to see October baseball. It'd be nice if one of the Boras pitchers shows up - even on a short deal, but I am not betting anything important on that.