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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Yoshida has averaged 26 HR per 150 games, so he does have some sock.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Like I say, they need something to write about during the slow holiday season.
  3. Bellhorn04
    moonslav and notin are trying to be the voices of reason, and I respect that. I'm just venting my spleen. I'm filled with doubt about the decisions that are being made, but Henry and Bloom are probably right on a number of them. I have to admit I'm fascinated by how the front office is going to handle it if 2023 really sucks.
  4. Bellhorn04
    No we don't know everything, but I think it's fair to say that the Red Sox have drawn somewhat conservative lines on far they'll go to keep any player, whether it's Betts, Bogaerts or Devers. We'll see how their strategy plays out.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Correct. The actual impact of the millionaire's tax for a Red Sox player is 2% of income above $1 million. The previous rate was 5%, now it's 9%, so the increase is 4%, * half a season played in Mass. So this will cost Kike Hernandez $200,000 on $10 million. That's the difference that needs to be made up.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Sale's tax hit is $25.8 mill. Eating $20 mill a year of it would be colossally stupid.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Well, this is a twist, other teams having reported interest that won't come to anything. MLB writers need something, anything to write about over the slow Christmas season.
  8. Bellhorn04
    And over the last 2 years Verdugo has a total fWAR of 3.2, 1.6 avg., which makes him by definition a below average player.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Yes, without Texas's favorable tax environment, who knows what they'd have had to pay for Seager, Semien and deGrom! They got all 3 for only $685 mill!
  10. Bellhorn04
    They went the ballsy route with Mookie. Can't really say that's been a resounding success either!
  11. Bellhorn04
    How can anyone doubt our coaching expertise after what we've done with those guys?
  12. Bellhorn04
    And as we know, the Red Sox having an exemplary recent history of making substandard outfielders better fielders.
  13. Bellhorn04
    A deadline trade of Devers might actually yield a better haul. But that plan runs the risk of the team being in the same position as last year.
  14. Bellhorn04
    A very good question.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Trading Devers before the season would really take balls.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Correa has an old injury that's causing concerns. Kind of a specific issue, isn't it?
  17. Bellhorn04
    Yes, and so far the Sox have been lucky in one sense, that Betts and Bogaerts have gone to the other league and the other coast and we don't have to watch them play against us very often. Devers in pinstripes is a more gruesome scenario.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Personally I lay the blame for Betts, Bogaerts and Devers all at the feet of ownership. You saw what happened with Judge. Hal Steinbrenner stepped in and said we'll pay whatever it takes, quite possibly against the wishes of Cashman. The same thing happened years earlier with A-Rod.
  19. Bellhorn04
    And he has seen how stupid some front offices are prepared to be.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Like what? There's nothing to indicate that Betts and Bogaerts are anything but model citizens. There's only one word that can justify any of it, and the word is RISK. Henry has been burned by that word on some really bad signings. Unfortunately, his newfound risk aversion may have led to letting go of the exact ones he should have made more effort to keep.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Why do you think that? At this point, if they were to pay Devers what he's asking, it would controvert the principles they're applying everywhere else.
  22. Bellhorn04
    The team could hire you as a defense lawyer. You know how to break things down into the contingencies and qualifiers and cast shadows of doubt everywhere. To use a current popular expression, from the "30,000 foot view", it seems strange that a team with the wealth of the Red Sox has failed to retain 3 young stars like Betts, Bogaerts and Devers. You'd think they'd manage to hold onto one of them at least.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Well, let's look at their OPS+ the last 5 years: Bogey 2018 135 2019 139 2020 128 2021 129 2022 131 Kike 2018 117 2019 87 2020 81 2021 108 2022 75 That makes Xander a 30-40% better hitter. Did Santa put some really nice ganja under the tree for you this year?
  24. Bellhorn04
    Those are some fairly sizable ifs.
  25. Bellhorn04
    They'll probably put some sort of medical clause in there, I'm sure they will strike a deal. As 5 Gloves might say, maybe this shows the Mets believe there's a Sanity Clause.
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