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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Maybe they're waiting for health reports on Sale and Paxton or something before deciding on further moves? I have no idea.
  2. Bellhorn04
    This offseason was Bloom's big moment, we pretty much all agreed on that. I do give him credit for what he's been doing with the farm. But I'm shocked at the approach to 2023. It still feels like it might be a punt, in spite of the bullpen additions. It's just really weird.
  3. Bellhorn04
    No, the blame is being pinned on ownership and Bloom about equally, I would say.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Can't answer with certainty, but it appears that the Astros' timing was just a hell of a lot better...
  5. Bellhorn04
    Bogey's OPS+ was 131. That's the most reliable number. The rest is mostly minutiae. Remember that power numbers were down all over baseball this year.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Bogaerts: RISP .909 Men on .889 Bases empty .777 JDM: RISP .659 Men on .682 Bases empty .890 So basically, JD was indeed lousy in RBI situations, whereas Bogey's low RBI number was just a random fluke.
  7. Bellhorn04
    The 2004 and 2013 teams were largely built on veterans and acquisitions by free agency and trade. Not a lot of homegrown youth on those rosters. There are always different ways to succeed.
  8. Bellhorn04
    It's two separate things. Failure to add stud prospects is a big problem, but failure to retain stars is arguably just as big or bigger. Part of the Astros' brilliant approach has been the deals with Altuve, Bregman and Alvarez.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Put it this way, injury-wise and s*****-luck-wise, Sale is a prime candidate for regression...
  10. Bellhorn04
    The point was mainly a joke, what some call gallows humor...
  11. Bellhorn04
    As the numbers I just posted in the 2023 rotation thread show, Sale had a higher fWAR in his 6 2022 innings than 3 of the other guys in our 2023 list.
  12. Bellhorn04
    I somehow forgot to include these stunning numbers, the 2022 fWAR's of our 2023 rotation & depth. Pivetta 1.5 Whitlock 1.4 Bello 1.3 Houck 0.7 Crawford 0.5 Sale 0.2 Wink 0.0 Pax 0.0 Seabold -0.2 Total 5.4 fWAR And oh yeah, Bogey's 2022 fWAR was 6.1, more than the entire 9 listed above. But everything's gonna just be way better this year...
  13. Bellhorn04
    If he doesn't add one of those, or make a trade for a starter, I'm going to have no choice but to believe Bloom is certifiably insane...
  14. Bellhorn04
    From Chad Finn: The Red Sox have signed quality players — closer Kenley Jansen and third baseman Justin Turner, and perhaps outfielder Masataka Yoshida will qualify — but those moves wouldn’t have moved the needle all that much even if the Red Sox had retained Bogaerts. And the fan base’s new, rational fear is that slugging third baseman Rafael Devers could be the next to go. Devers is the one remaining, healthy star. And that’s what is so mystifying about this from a media perspective. The Red Sox don’t really have anyone to market beyond Devers and maybe the unknown Yoshida to persuade fans to pay for NESN 360 subscriptions, or even just to tune in to watch the team on a nightly basis.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Still a lot higher than the success rate of prospects...
  16. Bellhorn04
    Here's a scary thought. What if the really rich owners (other than Henry) look at what Cohen is doing and decide they'd better keep spending their asses off the next 4 years until the current CBA expires, because there may be much worse penalties coming in the next one. What if Henry is using the right strategy but at the wrong time? Four More Years.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Here's a truly terrifying stat from 2022: Red Sox pitchers had a collective ERA of 5.22 after the All-Star Break. And if you say it's because we had to use guys like Crawford, Winckowski and Seabold too much, well, as it stands, they're apparently an integral part of the plan for 2023.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Let's not get totally fixated on HR's though. Bogey and JDM were #1 and #3 on the team in OBP, and #2 and #3 in SLG.
  19. Bellhorn04
    But you might not like it if he returns to health and form with another team while we pay a big chunk of his salary.
  20. Bellhorn04
    We're in no position to condemn the Yankees' management, I don't think. The Yankees are in a major drought championship-wise, but they make the playoffs every damn year, and they haven't finished below .500 since 1992. And they'll be one of the pre-season favorites to win it all this year.
  21. Bellhorn04
    It's great to try to model yourself after a system that's working. But you still need to make smart decisions all along the way. Bloom has done a pretty good job with the farm, no question. But we don't know yet if he's capable of making all those smart decisions. So it's not like there's any certainty here. Dombrowski is indeed the virtual antithesis to Bloom. Dave goes for the prime cuts and pays top dollar. Now he has an owner who seems to really dig that approach. The Phillies made it to Game 6 of the Series this year, and added Trea Turner and some other pieces. He's an Old Schooler's dream. We'll see how it all plays out.
  22. Bellhorn04
    moon, you are a true believer.
  23. Bellhorn04
    I must say, though, that fans who pay a lot of money to go to the games are in a different position than fans like me who don't spend much at all on baseball anymore. I think they have more of a right to gripe about paying big money to watch a season like 2022. And the prices going up for 2023.
  24. Bellhorn04
    2020 was just Bizarro World. Remember we didn't have to pay Price that year either. Then again the team lost a pile of money regardless, of course.
  25. Bellhorn04
    It's going to be all about run prevention, I think.
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