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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. I couldn't help it. Fred and I go way back.
  2. Furbush was given up for Fister.
  3. Fred also swore that Ortiz was done in 2009 because his bat speed was gone. Fred guesses like the rest of us and gets some right, some wrong.
  4. It's Lackey for the Sox today.
  5. I haven't give enough thought to the September roster rules to have an opinion on that. I'm generally opposed to rule changes in baseball, with the exception of replay reviews.
  6. Buehrle got off to a rough start but straightened himself out. Buehrle is one of those guys you have to like. Thank God the Yankees never got him.
  7. Keeping the roster at 25 puts some challenge in things for the manager. I wouldn't touch that rule at all. I think baseball is a game that functions beautifully as it is and shouldn't be messed with.
  8. Gomes is hitting 5th because he's made his living crushing lefties (874 career OPS). But obviously he hasn't been doing it this year. Farrell is kind of up the creek trying to find a reliable #5 hitter this year. Napoli was that guy earlier in the year.
  9. Tight strike zone.
  10. Being an accountant is not that bad, when you get to the point you have some control over what you're doing. I sit at a desk crunching numbers on the computer for 5-6 hours a day, surfing the net for the other 2 hours or so. My chargeout rate usually works out to about $200 an hour.
  11. That's right. Billy Martin had a lot to do with the modern thinking on pitch counts and inning counts when he blew out the arms of his entire rotation with the A's in 1980.
  12. However, this may be the equivalent of saying 'the days of the Nolan Ryan sort of starter are gone'. Part of it is the game has changed, but you also have to consider the possibility that guys like that are pretty rare physical specimens.
  13. Hopefully, Dopester/Dipster/Densester/Dumbster/Duncester will have one of his good games. Or I may have to start calling him names.
  14. That's not a bad idea.
  15. Yep, I think he has that crazy magic.
  16. So glad my accounting education was finished long ago.
  17. I don't think the 9th inning has any special magic as such. It is what it is - it's the end of the game. The end of the game is different from the beginning and the middle of the game. That applies in just about every sport.
  18. Right now Ellsbury, Pedroia and Victorino are in a virtual dead heat in 2013 WAR values.
  19. And that would be a winning bet. (H/M/L PA's) Papelbon 120/49/86 Bard 132/70/86 So although I'm pretty sure the total population of 9th inning PA's would have more high leverage PA's than the total population of 8th inning PA's would, you've pointed out an example where an 8th inning guy can be assigned more high leverage situations than the closer.
  20. s*** UN, I really didn't think I was cherry-picking. Generally speaking the leverage increases each inning. Of course sometimes the middle of the order will be up in the 8th. And sometimes they'll be up in the 9th. If you want to prove your theory maybe you could check out Robertson & Rivera...they've been a tandem for several seasons.
  21. I'll say one thing, that was some impressive s*** by Ellsbury in the 7th inning last night-the stolen base followed by scoring from second on Pedroia's single. A slower player might still have been on second base after that single, instead of in the dugout with the tying run on the board.
  22. Good stuff OJ. The only thing I disagree with is Ellsbury. He's gone baby gone. Bradley in CF, Vic in RF, Gomes/Nava in LF. Now you have lots more money to play with! An extension for one of Peavy or Lester maybe?
  23. I disagree. The 9th inning can have special significance, and not just for fans, depending on the closeness of the game. The difference between the 9th inning of a 1-run game, and the 6th inning of a 1-run game, is measured by the difference in win probability and 'leverage'. Statistically, a team has significantly less chance of winning a game they trail by one run in the 9th vs. a game they trail by one run in the 6th. So statistically the 9th is indeed special. The real question, presumably, is how this affects the pitcher who has to pitch the 9th vs. the pitcher who has to pitch the 6th. And the only people can answer this are the people who actually do it.
  24. Of course. But my post was directed to sk7326, who was saying that he thought Rodney would stay as closer because he couldn't set up. I couldn't understand his point.
  25. Koji's last 19 appearances: 21.2 innings 0 runs 6 hits 1 walk 27 K's Don't even know the right word to describe those numbers.
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