According to FanGraphs Lackey has given $38.9 million value to the Sox so far. Big if, but if he can give them 2 more years of $15 million value that would be $69 million value on a cost of $83 million.
True, but...in 1978, after Torrez exited with the score 3-2 Yankees, Bob Stanley gave up an RBI double to Munson and a home run to Reggie, and we ended up losing 5-4. And if Grady had a lights-out closer he likely would have removed Pedro for him.
I think it'll count as 4.28 million toward their cap every year for 7 years.
The Red Sox are paying about 3.9 million a year for 3 years on the Dodger trade and that's what counts toward the cap for them.
I think my obsession with closers is because of the history of the Red Sox. So many of those epic defeats of the Sox, we blew the lead late in the game. 1975 Game 7, 1978 playoff game, 1986 Game 6, 2003 Game 7.
But Wainwright, who was the emergency closer in 2006, had 9.2 scoreless innings that postseason.
Here's a question/challenge: when was the last time a team won the World Series in spite of their closer pitching poorly in that postseason?
I checked Atlanta and Kimbrel was the leader by miles.
I will make a friendly bet that if we take all the closers and all the #1 setup men, the closers will have the edge. It'll be my project for the weekend.
But in general closer is the only player that can potentially be in the position of ending the game or blowing the game 3-4 times in one playoff series.
You have to admit it's a unique position, if nothing else.
Indications are now that the A-Rod fiasco could drag on well past December, totally f***ing up the Yankees payroll budgeting for 2014. They may just have to operate on the assumption they'll be paying him this year.
Even though I agree with most of this, I wonder if the time will come when baseball owners say 'no more 200 million contracts'. There are only 4 of them to date, and they aren't pretty:
A-Rod - certain disaster
Pujols - almost certain disaster
Fielder - almost certain disaster
Votto - potential disaster