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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    I think the Sox would definitely give him 5/100 or 5/110. I'm guessing Lester is looking for 6 years and that's the snag.
  2. Bellhorn04
    The Trout contract makes plenty of sense for the Angels.
  3. Bellhorn04
    OK thanks. There are a few different writers and calculation methods mentioned in that piece. One guy came up with $7 million. Dave Cameron's is a little over $6 million.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Where are you getting the $7 million per win number from? FanGraphs value per win for 2013 was not much over $5 million.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Saying Spring Training stats mean nothing isn't the same as saying Spring Training means nothing.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Carp's dollar value per FanGraphs last year was $6.2 million. His actual salary was $500K. So he provided $5.7 million of value above salary.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Agreed. But that money ultimately comes from us, and it's a zero-sum game. Wealth is not being created, just changing hands. It can't keep spiraling upward indefinitely. There's always a pop and a crash somewhere along the line.
  8. Bellhorn04
    I'm not buying $400 million. This bubble of insanity is going to pop at some point, and I think it'll be before it gets there.
  9. Bellhorn04
    The bubble has to burst at some point. It always does.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Yes, he's had a few alcohol-related incidents, including a DUI in 2011.
  11. Bellhorn04
    The extension itself is 8 years 248 million for an AAV of 31 million, the new record. Wow. He deserves to make the most but again it's just mind-boggling how much money these teams have and how much risk they're taking on. Miggy had some health issues late last year.
  12. Bellhorn04
    I always go back to the 1980 Oakland A's as the ultimate example of pitcher abuse. Billy Martin had a nice young pitching staff that year and he pitched them to death. Have a look sometime - the innings totals were incredible. All those pitchers were clearly ruined by what Martin did to them.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Why do you insist on these uninformed comments? 100 is not the magic number. For most good starters it's still more like 110, maybe 115. Look at Lester's game logs for 2013. In 33 starts he had: 19 pitch counts of 105 or more. 15 pitch counts of 110 or more. 11 pitch counts of 115 or more. 3 pitch counts of 120 or more.
  14. Bellhorn04
    The inflation rate is outrageous right now due to the short supply of free agent pitching and the surplus of money out there.
  15. Bellhorn04
    I'm looking at it strictly as a risk/reward thing. If Scherzer has a great season he can turn 144 million into maybe 200 million. That's a marginal increase of 56 million less taxes etc. Arguably, it's also money he'll never need. If a disaster befalls him, such as getting hit in the head like Chapman and being less fortunate, he could lose it all. Going from massive wealth of 144 million, less taxes etc. to zero. So I think he's taking a huge risk for little real reward, except in the ego department.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Exactly. I'm an accountant. From an agent's perspective, Scherzer is doing the right thing, he's going for broke. From an accountant's perspective, he's nuts.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Oh, I can see that point of view as well. It's just that he's also a guy who has only made $14 million in his career including this year. If he gets some serious out-of-nowhere injury this year, he'll have said goodbye to 10 times that amount. It's a risky play from that perspective.
  18. Bellhorn04
    That is a crazy amount of money to turn down alright.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Cordero has pitched 8 scoreless with a .399 OPS allowed. Pretty hard to do better. Apparently Breslow will start on the DL.
  20. Bellhorn04
    The Yankees aren't using their starting lineup for these games any more than other teams do. For Thursday's game at Jet Blue the Yankee starting lineup was this: Suzuki Anna Nunez Teixeira Cervelli Sizemore Solarte Almonte Wheeler Like the Red Sox, they've been using their starters in home games but very few starters in away games.
  21. Bellhorn04
    I hexed him.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Man, old Cliffy Lee sure mows us down most of the time doesn't he?
  23. Bellhorn04
    Maybe Montero and Pineda will both have good years, who knows? That's the beauty of baseball. There's so much s*** you just can't predict, even if you're the world's greatest Sabrmetrics guy.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Your numbers are indeed correct.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Patience with the kids now.
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