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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    With the Betts trade I keep coming back to the fact that it didn't seem to develop until really late. Seems like there must have been indecision on the Sox part. (Would that be a surprise?) Whereas the Padres started shopping Soto right away I think. Or maybe it was the inclusion of Price in the deal that minimized our return.
  2. Bellhorn04
    And the Red Sox traded their best player one other time recently when they traded Betts. That was a disaster. There's a whole spectrum of outcomes. San Diego got a phenomenal return for Soto as it turns out, but I don't think it's the norm.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Iglesias had a 3.1 bWAR and 2.5 fWAR in less than half a season this year. That's a little better than utility level. Pretty impressive really and yes a little surprising.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Fun fact: Duran's Offensive Runs Above Regulation per PA was virtually the same in 2024 as it was in 2023. 2024 32.8 in 735 2023 15.9 in 362 It was the improvement in defense (and being on the field) that really boosted his WAR.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Well done. I find little to disagree with, with the possible exception that maybe Houck pitched like a #2 this year based on his WAR at least. But I think it's spot on about Crawford.
  6. Bellhorn04
    2024 was Duran's last year at minimum wage. 2025 is his first of 4 arb years.
  7. Bellhorn04
    What's really surprising to me is anyone thinking that our offense would look fine without him.
  8. Bellhorn04
    They probably don't make a big effort to extend him because he's such a late bloomer - he'll be 32 by the time he's a free agent. They've got him for 4 arb years - prime years age-wise - that's a pretty good situation for the team. Not a lot of risk.
  9. Bellhorn04
    The $325 million man and the $324 million man both stunk yesterday, but their teams bailed them out. The Dodgers' rotation is in shreds, mostly because of injuries, but also because Yamamoto does not look very good. I don't see how they can win it with their rotation as it stands.
  10. Bellhorn04
    I like Gausman, but trading Mayer for 2 years of him seems a bit extreme. What does BTV say about this trade?
  11. Bellhorn04
    It's almost like a lot of Sox fans think the offense will just magically appear, because offense is the easy part, or because Sox fans are used to having strong offenses or because our top prospects are all position players.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Duran was #8 in MLB in Total Bases with 330, ahead of Juan Soto and Yordan Alvarez. He led MLB in BOTH DOUBLES AND TRIPLES! Sox TB leaders: Duran 330 Devers 271 Rafaela 212 O'Neill 210 Not. Even. Close.
  13. Bellhorn04
    I thought the rotation WAR actually ended up fairly good? I'm all for beefing up the rotation and the pen, obviously. But if you think we have plenty of offense to spare, I'm not really sure what numbers you're basing that on.
  14. Bellhorn04
    2024 Offensive Runs Above Replacement: Duran 32.8 Devers 22.5 (on IL at end of year) O'Neill 16.0 (free agent) Refsnyder 9.4 Abreu 8.4 Wong 5.5 Yoshida 4.6 Hamilton 3.4 Casas 3.0 Story 0.1 Talksox Intelligentsia: "Trade Duran!" 😄 Sorry guys but you really gave me a new toy to play with here.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Because "feeling" is exactly the right way to describe it. "Hunch" is also a perfect fit.
  16. Bellhorn04
    It's not just the clutch hitting. It's having one of the worst K/BB ratios in MLB. It's having a .654 OPS in September. Now just imagine how our 2024 offense would have looked without Duran.
  17. Bellhorn04
    If we're just talking about bodies, sure. What we don't have is a surplus of offense. We sure as hell don't have a surplus of 8 win position players. His speed and defense obviously contributed a lot to his WAR. I think it's kind of nice to have a guy with Duran's OPS, speed and defense. Really not sure why so many are so anxious to see him go...
  18. Bellhorn04
    I'd prefer not to put Anthony and Campbell in the position of being the kids who are coming to save our offense.
  19. Bellhorn04
    We can put everyone in that pile, I guess, if we assume there are other teams out there who are prepared to give back more than they get. But in general the best approach is to trade from an area of surplus to strengthen an area of need.
  20. Bellhorn04
    There never were that many, though. With the Red Sox over the last 50 years we're talking Tiant, Eckersley, Clemens, Pedro, Schilling, Price, Sale...like I say, just think of the guys with HOF credentials or close to it. Bring up names like Beckett and Lester and that's when the arguments start...
  21. Bellhorn04
    Trading Duran would be dumb because: a) this is a team that still needs offense in a big way b) there are other ways to acquire pitching which this team has-prospects and money
  22. Bellhorn04
    Nope, logic fail. Since the Red Sox would be giving up those 4 years, you have an offsetting argument for keeping him.
  23. Bellhorn04
    My definition of an Ace, based on who most fans seem to think is an ace, is a pitcher who has some chance of being a Hall of Famer one day. I know that sounds silly, but I think it's also pretty accurate.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Soto, but it was a very different situation. -Soto is one of the best players in the game and a long-term proven commodity -Soto was in his contract year So yeah, it would be comparable to the Betts trade, except the Padres did much better on the return.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Not even the current Sox brain trust could be that absurd IMHO.
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