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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Pretty good article by Joel Sherman on how analytics is shredding pitching staffs. https://nypost.com/2024/10/18/sports/mlb-bullpens-appear-to-be-reaching-a-breaking-point/
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Please explain B and what would motivate Arizona to do it.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
- rafael devers
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
Bellhorn04 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Nope, with his bum shoulder(s) Raffy's got virtually the same problem as Yoshida, 2025-wise. -
Yes, we traded away a pitcher who had a 6 win season, and those 6 wins would have put us in. But we're talking about where we stand for 2025. How do we get those 6 more wins? By signing Burnes and Fried? And we also have to replace Pivetta/Jansen/Martin/O'Neill. We're really not "just about there" barring Anthony and Campbell being instant stars and Brez pulling rabbits out of his hat IMHO. I'm afraid we're still in the position that our head coach, JH, thinks we need to punt again.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
- rafael devers
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
Bellhorn04 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Yeah, the surgery basically takes him off the table for now. -
That's some fine Pollyannalytics, sir! Comparing Yoshida's possible to Schwarber's real, and tossing out games played, Park Factor etc! Well done!
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
- rafael devers
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I'd argue that playing .400 ball after the ASB does not really suggest being "there", unless we're using Advanced Pollyannalytics...
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
- rafael devers
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Let's face it, this is just one more reason for them to punt again. "Things just didn't line up for us this year, but there will come a time they do, and it's coming soon." - Sam Kennedy, January, 2025.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
- rafael devers
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Classic. 😁
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We're here because we're obsessive.
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Article: A Red Sox Fans’ Guide to the 2024 Postseason
Bellhorn04 replied to Adam Morgan's topic in Talk Sox Front Page News
Wow. Closin' ain't easy, as Denny says. Last night's Yankee-Cleveland thriller came on the 20th anniversary of Game 4 of the 2004 ALCS!- 195 replies
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- mookie betts
- chris sale
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
Bellhorn04 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Posts like that one from Harmony seem like they're intended not just to present information, but to make us feel bad. 😭 -
As I posted the other day, Breslow is already letting us know he's not calling the shots: https://www.overthemonster.com/2024/10/10/24266818/craig-breslow-is-not-in-charge-of-the-red-sox You know, I think we are preparing for that to be the case. It’s obviously difficult to say, you know, this will be more aggressive in terms of what actually comes to fruition, because we can’t always decide those things, but we are preparing to be more decisive, more aggressive, you know, to field a team that is capable of winning the division, of making a deep playoff run, you know, I think we did several years, obviously predating me, building a really strong foundation, and the reason you do that is so you can deliver on the field. And I do think we are arriving at that point. That was the tone that Sam struck, that is, you know, the messaging I’m getting throughout the organization, is that, you know, it’s time to deliver to our fans the teams that they have come to expect, the competitive level they’ve come to expect of the Boston Red Sox.
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Epstein - gone - 2011 Cherington - gone - 2015 Dombrowski - gone - 2019 Bloom - gone - 2023 (4 championships among them) Leave it to the Red Sox to produce such a bizarre numerical pattern even in the midst of being successful...
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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On what basis have you determined that Bloom is docile and timid?
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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Yeah, "replaces" is definitely better, because then we can include Epstein and forego another major debate/dispute about exactly why he left. 😁
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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"He wouldn’t hatch some plan involving hiring a control freak to usurp all Ben’s responsibilities." Man, that is a really unique way to describe DD taking over Ben's job. Anyway, from now on I will make it a point to say Henry replaces his CBO every 4 years.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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What he's saying is it's that there's a common thread between the Red Sox "offer" to Cherington and their "offer" to Bogaerts (and Lester before him). And the latest of course is their reported "offers" to some personnel to stay on at reduced pay. It's just how they roll. They have their own way of expressing how much they appreciate your efforts and want you around.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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What we know is that Cherington quit immediately. Of course his role in personnel was going to be drastically reduced. You don't bring in Dave Dombrowksi to just kind of oversee things. That's not his profile. He was a decision maker before joining the Sox and he's been a decision maker since. I think Occam's Razor applies here.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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I think Henry knew there was a very strong possibility he would quit. Cherington had been in the organization many years so Henry knew him well and would have a good idea how he would take it.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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Are you actually trying to claim that Henry had nothing to do with Cherington leaving? That he had no idea Ben would quit upon learning of his replacement/demotion? It was a total shock?
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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I think you're leaning hard on technicalities and I'm not really sure what purpose it serves.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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